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9525 Manning Ave
D Composite 41.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$159,000

9525 Manning Ave · Kansas City, MO 66134
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,258 sqft · Townhouse public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1975 5,491 sqft lot $126/sqft · 22% above area Est $130k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully updated and move-in-ready townhome located in a quiet, well-maintained neighborhood in Kansas City! Offering 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, approximately 1,700 square feet of living space, and an attached garage, this property is an excellent opportunity for homeowners and investors alike. The seller will provide a brand-new HVAC system, giving buyers added peace of mind and long-term value. Additional recent updates include brand-new flooring, fresh interior paint, and numerous improvements throughout, creating a clean and modern feel from the moment you walk in. This vacant home is ready for immediate occupancy and presents an outstanding opportunity to bui

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1975
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with garage facing front; Shared driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; Residential property; Side/side split layout; Living area approximately 1,259
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Built approximately 51–75 years ago
  • Exterior features: Not in a flood plain

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (air conditioning)
  • Interior features: Finished basement with inside entrance; Side/side split floor plan; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Hickman Mills C-1 (urban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #314 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $146,846 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.14%
Cash-on-cash
3.04%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,334
List price
$159,000
Delta
21.99%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9528 Manning Ave 0.03mi 2/1.5 1,413 (+12%) 15mo $100,000 $71 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$26,326
Equity at exit
$71,493
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$83,664
Equity at exit
$110,180

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 66134

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,468 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,767/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,326
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9309 Farley Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 999 $1,411 $1.41 4d 1 0.41mi
9307 Stark Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,385 $1.29 43d 1 0.46mi
8713 E 92nd Pl Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,550 $1.44 43d 1 0.54mi
9214 Farley Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1060 $1,686 $1.59 12d 1 0.55mi
9516 Raytown Rd Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,445 $1.45 16d 1 0.62mi
9809 Wallace Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 956 $1,500 $1.57 23d 1 0.74mi
8501 E 92nd St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1107 $1,745 $1.58 23d 1 0.79mi
8407 E 98th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 940 $1,395 $1.48 23d 1 0.80mi
8407 E 98th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 940 $1,395 $1.48 16d 1 0.80mi
8506 E 91st Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1020 $1,450 $1.42 16d 1 0.81mi
8509 E 91st St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1350 $1,350 $1.00 43d 1 0.83mi
9727 Marsh Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,706 $1.34 43d 1 0.85mi
820 E 93rd Ter Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,165 $1.12 4d 1 0.85mi
9811 Marsh Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,295 $1.42 43d 1 0.87mi
8806 Crescent Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.5 1148 $1,795 $1.56 4d 1 0.97mi
10611 E 98th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,212 $1.10 3d 3 1.13mi
8620 E Utopia Dr Raytown, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 854 $1,050 $1.23 1d 10 1.15mi
9723 View High Dr Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 974 $1,295 $1.33 43d 1 1.18mi
8700 E 87th St Raytown, MO 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,481 $1.44 17d 1 1.20mi
8001 E 89th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,545 $1.52 43d 1 1.23mi
7800 E 91st St Kansas City, MO 3.0 3.0 1747 $1,895 $1.08 43d 1 1.23mi
9302 Fairwood Dr Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1526 $1,585 $1.04 23d 1 1.25mi
9000 E 85th Pl Raytown, MO 3.0 2.0 1580 $1,375 $0.87 43d 1 1.26mi
7902 E 89th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1068 $1,516 $1.42 17d 1 1.26mi
9115 E 85 St Unit 9115 Raytown, MO 2.0 1.0 892 $800 $0.90 43d 1 1.29mi
8500 Elm Ave Raytown, MO 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 43d 1 1.29mi
8300 E 104th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1204 $1,450 $1.20 23d 1 1.29mi
8300 E 104th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1204 $1,400 $1.16 12d 1 1.29mi
8600 Everett St Raytown, MO 3.0 1.5 956 $1,550 $1.62 43d 1 1.30mi
8002 E 88th Pl Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,495 $1.52 43d 1 1.32mi
8812 Manchester Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,586 $1.49 12d 1 1.37mi
10408 Smalley Ct Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,599 $1.07 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $159,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-04-23
    listed $1,350
  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $159,000 Active 834-char remark
  17. 2026-04-09
    historical $159,000 834-char remark
  18. 2026-04-08
    historical
  19. 2026-03-01
    historical $1,350
  20. 2025-12-19
    listed $156,000 Active
  21. 2025-12-19
    historical
  22. 2025-12-18
    historical
  23. 2025-11-04
    listed $1,350
  24. 2025-10-03
    listed $159,000 Active
  25. 2025-09-30
    historical
  26. 2025-09-30
    historical
  27. 2025-09-07
    price $165,000
  28. 2025-08-01
    listed $169,000 Active
  29. 2025-07-27
    historical
  30. 2025-07-09
    soldstatus
  31. 2025-07-01
    soldstatus Closed
  32. 2025-05-21
    status Pending
  33. 2025-05-21
    listed $85,000 Active
  34. 2016-02-16
    soldstatus Sold
  35. 2016-01-22
    status Pending
  36. 2016-01-15
    listed $36,040 Auction
  37. 1998-04-22
    soldstatus
  38. 1991-05-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,767 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,767 · $147/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,622
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$1,767
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$1,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$310
After-tax cash flow
$1,663/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hickman Mills C-1
NCES district ID
2914340
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,908
Composite
11.2/100
National rank
#9725
State rank
#314 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+341.2% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-05 Rental Removed $1,350 HMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-04 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed for Rent $1,350 HMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Coming Soon Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Rental Removed $1,350 HMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $156,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Coming Soon Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-18 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Listed for Rent $1,350 HMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Coming Soon Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-07 Price Changed $165,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $169,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-27 Coming Soon Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-07-01 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-21 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-21 Listed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-16 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-22 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-15 Listed $36,040 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-04-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-05-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,767 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…