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1068 Hedges Rd
B- Composite 65.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

1068 Hedges Rd · Xenia, OH 45385
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1956 0.50 ac lot $159/sqft · 36% below area Est $250k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,008 square feet of comfortable living space on a generous 0.5-acre lot. Perfect as a primary residence, investment property, or rental opportunity, this move-in ready home combines modern upgrades with classic charm. Step inside to discover brand-new flooring throughout, freshly painted walls, and all-new drywall, creating a clean and inviting interior. The fully updated kitchen features contemporary finishes, while the renovated bathroom boasts fresh fixtures and a modern design. Major system improvements include new plumbing, a new well, and a recently cleaned and coated septic system—offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or settle into a comfortable and efficient home, this property offers flexibility and long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own this turnkey home in a peaceful, convenient Xenia location!

Key facts

  • Renovated bathroom
  • New plumbing
  • New well

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENRENOVATED BATHROOMNEW PLUMBINGNEW WELLCLEANED SEPTIC SYSTEM0.5-ACRE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Xenia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in OH, #3,892 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
  • Xenia Community City (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #478 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $160k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.62%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,728
List price
$160,000
Delta
-35.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,507
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$38,820
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45385

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,670/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,323
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1414 Camden Ln Xenia, OH 3.0 2.0 1498 $2,250 $1.50 43d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 117 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 107 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 106 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    historical $1,700
  18. 2026-02-13
    listed $160,000 Active 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,008 square feet of comfortable living space on a generous 0.5-acre lot. Perfect as a primary residence, investment property, or rental opportunity, this move-in ready home combines modern upgrades with classic charm. Step inside to discover brand-new flooring throughout, freshly painted walls, and all-new drywall, creating a clean and inviting interior. The fully updated kitchen features contemporary finishes, while the renovated bathroom boasts fresh fixtures and a modern design. Major system improvements include new plumbing, a new well, and a recently cleaned and coated septic system—offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or settle into a comfortable and efficient home, this property offers flexibility and long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own this turnkey home in a peaceful, convenient Xenia location!

  19. 2025-12-02
    listed $1,700
  20. 2025-05-20
    soldstatus $60,000
  21. 2025-05-09
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 3 bed, 1 full bath in Xenia that has great potential for your next home or to turn into a rental.

  22. 2025-03-28
    status Pending 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 3 bed, 1 full bath in Xenia that has great potential for your next home or to turn into a rental.

  23. 2025-03-28
    listed $60,000 Active 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 3 bed, 1 full bath in Xenia that has great potential for your next home or to turn into a rental.

  24. 1998-03-26
    soldstatus $28,000
  25. 1985-11-01
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,670 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,083 · $174/mo
Expected delta
+$413/yr (+$34/mo · 24.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,196
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,670
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,616
− Management
−$1,616
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$877
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$210
After-tax cash flow
$3,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Xenia Community City
NCES district ID
3904515
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,206
Composite
40.31/100
National rank
#3752
State rank
#478 of 656 in OH

Livability — Xenia

Score
75/100
State rank
#244
US rank
#3892

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
40,617
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
40,617
Household income
$76,564
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
906.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,301 people
By 2030
171,840 · +0.9%
By 2040
171,408 · +0.7%
By 2050
167,806 · -1.5%
By 2075
154,430 · -9.3%
By 2100
138,669 · -18.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.15%
Current HPI
239.0473
Rent YoY
▲ 5.48%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-92.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Rental Removed $1,700 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $160,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed for Rent $1,700 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-09 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-03-28 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-03-28 Listed $60,000 Dayton MLS
  • 1998-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,670 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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