1068 Hedges Rd · Xenia, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,008 square feet of comfortable living space on a generous 0.5-acre lot. Perfect as a primary residence, investment property, or rental opportunity, this move-in ready home combines modern upgrades with classic charm. Step inside to discover brand-new flooring throughout, freshly painted walls, and all-new drywall, creating a clean and inviting interior. The fully updated kitchen features contemporary finishes, while the renovated bathroom boasts fresh fixtures and a modern design. Major system improvements include new plumbing, a new well, and a recently cleaned and coated septic system—offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or settle into a comfortable and efficient home, this property offers flexibility and long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own this turnkey home in a peaceful, convenient Xenia location!
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- New plumbing
- New well
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Xenia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in OH, #3,892 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
- Xenia Community City (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #478 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $160k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.62%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $249,728
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -35.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,507
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $38,820
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45385
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,670/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $285
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1414 Camden Ln Xenia, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-04-02historical $1,700
-
2026-02-13$160,000 Active 965-char remark
Show marketing remark (965 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,008 square feet of comfortable living space on a generous 0.5-acre lot. Perfect as a primary residence, investment property, or rental opportunity, this move-in ready home combines modern upgrades with classic charm. Step inside to discover brand-new flooring throughout, freshly painted walls, and all-new drywall, creating a clean and inviting interior. The fully updated kitchen features contemporary finishes, while the renovated bathroom boasts fresh fixtures and a modern design. Major system improvements include new plumbing, a new well, and a recently cleaned and coated septic system—offering peace of mind for years to come. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or settle into a comfortable and efficient home, this property offers flexibility and long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own this turnkey home in a peaceful, convenient Xenia location!
-
2025-12-02$1,700
-
2025-05-20soldstatus $60,000
-
2025-05-09soldstatus $60,000 Closed 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Great investment opportunity! 3 bed, 1 full bath in Xenia that has great potential for your next home or to turn into a rental.
-
2025-03-28status Pending 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Great investment opportunity! 3 bed, 1 full bath in Xenia that has great potential for your next home or to turn into a rental.
-
2025-03-28$60,000 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Great investment opportunity! 3 bed, 1 full bath in Xenia that has great potential for your next home or to turn into a rental.
-
1998-03-26soldstatus $28,000
-
1985-11-01soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,670 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,083 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$413/yr (+$34/mo · 24.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,670
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,616
- − Management
- −$1,616
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Xenia Community City
- NCES district ID
- 3904515
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,206
- Composite
- 40.31/100
- National rank
- #3752
- State rank
- #478 of 656 in OH
Livability — Xenia
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #3892
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Greene County · 132,120 people
- City population
- 40,617
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,617
- Household income
- $76,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 906.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,301 people
- By 2030
- 171,840 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 171,408 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 167,806 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 154,430 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 138,669 · -18.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.15%
- Current HPI
- 239.0473
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-92.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Rental Removed $1,700 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-13 Listed $160,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed for Rent $1,700 APPFOLIO
- 2025-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-09 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-03-28 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2025-03-28 Listed $60,000 Dayton MLS
- 1998-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,670 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…