🏗️ New Construction
Peacock V G Plan · Harvest, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$258,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
- Open Floor Plan - Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms - Two Car Garage - Brick & Siding Exterior - Covered Patio - Recessed Can Lighting in Kitchen - Separate Master Shower - Walk-In Master Closet
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 956 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-803 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (30.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (39.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#27 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Johnson Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 363 students, 51% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Limestone County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 326 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 956 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 956 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.53% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.61%
- DSCR
- 0.48
- GRM
- 15.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,189
- List price
- $258,990
- Delta
- -12.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24582 Mia Grace Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (0%) | 0mo | $262,535 | $176 | 82 |
| 28157 Ferguson Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+7%) | 12mo | $292,000 | $183 | 77 |
| 28454 Molly Bee Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (0%) | 12mo | $265,135 | $177 | 73 |
| 28298 Ferguson Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,640 (+10%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $174 | 72 |
| 24372 Bekah Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (0%) | 16mo | $258,990 | $173 | 70 |
| 24548 Jake Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (0%) | 11mo | $258,990 | $173 | 70 |
| 28438 Molly Bee Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (-8%) | 4mo | $247,990 | $180 | 67 |
| 28243 Ferguson Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,702 (+14%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $159 | 63 |
| 24360 Bekah Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (-8%) | 12mo | $247,990 | $180 | 60 |
| 28448 Molly Bee Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+11%) | 9mo | $268,315 | $162 | 58 |
| 24424 Bekah Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+11%) | 22mo | $267,554 | $161 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $110,215
- Equity at exit
- $266,830
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.40×
- Total profit
- $364,814
- Equity at exit
- $575,430
Cash invested: $82,933 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35773
- Home prices YoY
- 28.8%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 13.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,575 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,553
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$370 /mo · $4,443/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $-803
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-598 | -5% $-700 | +0% $-803 | +5% $-905 | +10% $-1,007 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-927 | -5% $-865 | +0% $-803 | +5% $-740 | +10% $-678 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-653 | -0.5pp $-727 | base $-803 | +0.5pp $-879 | +1.0pp $-957 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,047
- Closing costs
- $8,886
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27555 Michael Ln Toney, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $1,575 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $258,990 Active 956 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $258,990 Active 953 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $258,990 Active 952 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $258,990 Active 951 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $258,990 Active 950 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $258,990 Active 948 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $258,990 Active 945 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $258,990 Active 944 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $258,990 Active 943 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $258,990 Active 942 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $258,990 Active 939 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $258,990 Active 938 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $258,990 Active 937 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $258,990 Active 936 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $258,990 Active 935 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $258,990 Active 934 DOM
-
2024-08-07price $258,990 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
- Open Floor Plan - Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms - Two Car Garage - Brick & Siding Exterior - Covered Patio - Recessed Can Lighting in Kitchen - Separate Master Shower - Walk-In Master Closet
-
2023-11-08$253,990 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
- Open Floor Plan - Three Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms - Two Car Garage - Brick & Siding Exterior - Covered Patio - Recessed Can Lighting in Kitchen - Separate Master Shower - Walk-In Master Closet
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,591
- − Property taxes
- −$4,443
- − Insurance
- −$1,481
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,512
- − Management
- −$1,512
- − Depreciation
- −$8,616
- Taxable loss
- −$15,255
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,661
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Limestone County
- NCES district ID
- 0102100
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,972
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6829
- State rank
- #52 of 129 in AL
Livability — Harvest
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #5986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 30,710
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,977
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 149.14%
- Current HPI
- 666.8602
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+2.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2024-08-07 Price Changed $258,990 Zillow
- 2023-11-08 Listed $253,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…