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178 Meadowdale Dr
C- Composite 50.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

178 Meadowdale Dr · Gates, NY 14624
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1951 0.34 ac lot $128/sqft · 26% below area Est $242k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Easy one-floor living! First floor laundry. Open floor plan. 2 or 3 bedroom Ranch on quiet lot next to neighborhood walking path. Convenient to shopping, park, expressways but feels like the country.

Key facts

  • Wood stove
  • Formal dining room
  • Brick surround

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTHARDWOOD FLOORSWOOD STOVEBRICK SURROUNDFORMAL DINING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Electricity available and connected with circuit breakers; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story; Existing construction
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Gravel driveway; Shed(s) / storage; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms; Main level primary bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Home office; Basement finished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-76/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (0.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (0.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#582 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Gates-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #491 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $180k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $178,775 (0.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.15%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$242,392
List price
$179,900
Delta
-25.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
134 Arrowhead Dr 0.22mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,440 (+3%) 3mo $240,000 $167 78
140 Lettington Ave 0.36mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,368 (-3%) 3mo $240,000 $175 71
36 Walbert Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,392 (-1%) 4mo $305,000 $219 67
45 Cheshire Ln 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,458 (+4%) 0mo $354,000 $243 67
274 Hinchey Rd 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,328 (-5%) 6mo $169,900 $128 65
69 Cheshire Ln 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,386 (-1%) 7mo $250,000 $180 63
90 Caroline Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,453 (+4%) 5mo $220,000 $151 58
122 Fisher Rd 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,428 (+2%) 7mo $226,000 $158 58
107 Burben Way 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,360 (-3%) 3mo $114,000 $84 57
19 Ingram Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,290 (-8%) 4mo $220,000 $171 56
26 Merrydale Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,305 (-7%) 1mo $250,000 $192 55
51 Caroline Dr 0.67mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,512 (+8%) 1mo $225,000 $149 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-29,326
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-25,121
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14624

Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$552 /mo · $6,622/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,988
Max offer price $178,775
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
254 Fisher Rd Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,250 $2.05 44d 1 1.03mi
266 Fisher Rd Rochester, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 44d 1 1.09mi
32 Stanton St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1390 $1,500 $1.08 10d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $179,900 Active 1211-char remark
  2. 2014-12-09
    soldstatus $83,000
  3. 2014-12-08
    soldstatus $83,000 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Easy one-floor living! First floor laundry. Open floor plan. 2 or 3 bedroom Ranch on quiet lot next to neighborhood walking path. Convenient to shopping, park, expressways but feels like the country.

  4. 2014-07-07
    listed $89,995 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Easy one-floor living! First floor laundry. Open floor plan. 2 or 3 bedroom Ranch on quiet lot next to neighborhood walking path. Convenient to shopping, park, expressways but feels like the country.

  5. 1999-04-07
    soldstatus $78,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,622 · $552/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,622 · $552/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,755
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$6,622
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,900
− Management
−$1,900
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$2,878
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$691
After-tax cash flow
$614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gates-Chili Central School District
NCES district ID
3611880
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,045
Composite
36.23/100
National rank
#4719
State rank
#491 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gates

Score
67/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#10531

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,626
Household income
$87,989
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, India
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.26%
Current HPI
267.356
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $179,900 UNYREIS
  • 2014-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-08 Sold (MLS) $83,000 UNYREIS
  • 2014-07-07 Listed $89,995 UNYREIS
  • 1999-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,622 · +30.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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