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130 S Fairview Cir
C+ Composite 60.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

130 S Fairview Cir · Tarboro, NC 27886
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,396 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 1945 6,120 sqft lot Est $198k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3BA/2BA, formal living room, den, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.

Key facts

  • Back yard
  • Large kitchen
  • Separate meter

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE KITCHENBACK YARDSEPARATE METERJACK AND JILL BATHROOMOWN ENTRANCE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RA6
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete on-site parking; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as residential single family (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Back yard fencing; Open lot; Paved road frontage; View

Interior

  • Kitchen: No listed appliances (electric water heater noted separately)
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Pantry; Storm windows; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.0% in Tarboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#456 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Stocks Elementary (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 99% FRL); Tarboro High (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #499 of 535 statewide, top 94%, 518 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $120k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.53%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
505 W Johnston St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,370 (-2%) 12mo $160,000 $117 66
1123 Albemarle Ave 0.36mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,508 (+8%) 3mo $214,992 $143 60
509 W Walnut St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,273 (-9%) 7mo $99,900 $78 59
1205 Cherry St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-14%) 2mo $142,000 $118 53
2230 Sherwood Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,227 (-12%) 18mo $199,999 $163 50
610 Tammy Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,365 (-2%) 14mo $227,000 $166 50
306 W 1st St 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,254 (-10%) 4mo $175,000 $140 48
2232 Sherwood Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-14%) 19mo $195,000 $163 46
607 W Johnston St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,276 (-9%) 14mo $90,000 $71 45
2304 Saint Andrew St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-14%) 9mo $205,000 $171 42
2314 Saint Andrew St 0.64mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,208 (-14%) 17mo $172,000 $142 27
920 Saint David St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,587 (+14%) 19mo $185,000 $117 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,043
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$11,903
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27886

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $797/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 102 DOM
  17. 2026-02-17
    listed $120,000 Active
  18. 2014-07-31
    soldstatus $24,000 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.

  19. 2014-07-31
    soldstatus $24,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.

  20. 2013-05-15
    listed $34,900 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.

  21. 2013-05-15
    listed $34,900 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$797 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$984 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$187/yr (+$16/mo · 23.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,532
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$797
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$143
After-tax cash flow
$2,388/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgecombe County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701320
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,711
Composite
19.85/100
National rank
#8696
State rank
#163 of 178 in NC

Livability — Tarboro

Score
62/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#16760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tarboro, NC
County
Edgecombe County · 37,913 people
City population
18,381
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
18,381
Household income
$52,850
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,800 people
By 2030
44,396 · -7.1%
By 2040
37,562 · -21.4%
By 2050
31,495 · -34.1%
By 2075
20,943 · -56.2%
By 2100
13,674 · -71.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.38%
Current HPI
237.6462
Rent YoY
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-07-31 Sold (MLS) $24,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-07-31 Sold (MLS) $24,000 Hive MLS
  • 2013-05-15 Listed $34,900 Hive MLS
  • 2013-05-15 Listed $34,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $797 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…