130 S Fairview Cir · Tarboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3BA/2BA, formal living room, den, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.
Key facts
- Back yard
- Large kitchen
- Separate meter
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: RA6
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete on-site parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as residential single family (year built not provided)
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Back yard fencing; Open lot; Paved road frontage; View
Interior
- Kitchen: No listed appliances (electric water heater noted separately)
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Pantry; Storm windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.0% in Tarboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#456 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Stocks Elementary (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 99% FRL); Tarboro High (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #499 of 535 statewide, top 94%, 518 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $120k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.53%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,232
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 W Johnston St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,370 (-2%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $117 | 66 |
| 1123 Albemarle Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,508 (+8%) | 3mo | $214,992 | $143 | 60 |
| 509 W Walnut St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (-9%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $78 | 59 |
| 1205 Cherry St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $118 | 53 |
| 2230 Sherwood Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (-12%) | 18mo | $199,999 | $163 | 50 |
| 610 Tammy Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (-2%) | 14mo | $227,000 | $166 | 50 |
| 306 W 1st St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,254 (-10%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $140 | 48 |
| 2232 Sherwood Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $163 | 46 |
| 607 W Johnston St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,276 (-9%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $71 | 45 |
| 2304 Saint Andrew St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $171 | 42 |
| 2314 Saint Andrew St | 0.64mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,208 (-14%) | 17mo | $172,000 | $142 | 27 |
| 920 Saint David St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,587 (+14%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $117 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,043
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $11,903
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27886
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $797/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-02-17$120,000 Active
-
2014-07-31soldstatus $24,000 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.
-
2014-07-31soldstatus $24,000 194-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.
-
2013-05-15$34,900 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.
-
2013-05-15$34,900 194-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
3BR/2BA, formal living room, office, eat-in kitchen, bonus room, screened side porch, fenced back yard & small storage building. Seller will pay up to 3% in closing costs w/acceptable offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $797 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$187/yr (+$16/mo · 23.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,532
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$797
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$143
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edgecombe County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701320
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,711
- Composite
- 19.85/100
- National rank
- #8696
- State rank
- #163 of 178 in NC
Livability — Tarboro
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #16760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tarboro, NC
- County
- Edgecombe County · 37,913 people
- City population
- 18,381
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,381
- Household income
- $52,850
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,800 people
- By 2030
- 44,396 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 37,562 · -21.4%
- By 2050
- 31,495 · -34.1%
- By 2075
- 20,943 · -56.2%
- By 2100
- 13,674 · -71.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.38%
- Current HPI
- 237.6462
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+243.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS
- 2014-07-31 Sold (MLS) $24,000 Hive MLS
- 2014-07-31 Sold (MLS) $24,000 Hive MLS
- 2013-05-15 Listed $34,900 Hive MLS
- 2013-05-15 Listed $34,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $797 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…