212 7th Ave NW · Bowman, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Large dining areas
- Custom-built kitchen
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Block foundation; Basement: Block, concrete, finished
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 50 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#53 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Bowman County 1 (rural): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #33 of 53 in ND (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Bowman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Bowman County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.57%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,640
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 2nd Ave SW | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 832 (-7%) | 24mo | $75,000 | $90 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $14,114
- Equity at exit
- $33,664
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $43,767
- Equity at exit
- $50,152
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58623
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $856 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,429/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-05-25$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,429 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,429 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,267
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,429
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$821
- − Management
- −$821
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable loss
- −$13
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowman County 1
- NCES district ID
- 3803200
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,839
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5794
- State rank
- #33 of 53 in ND
Livability — Bowman
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #6541
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowman, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,918
Population outlook (Bowman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,563 people
- By 2030
- 3,792 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 4,299 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 4,955 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 7,322 · +105.5%
- By 2100
- 9,588 · +169.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 26% Romanian 6% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bowman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.1) · D 12.8% · R 85.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -73.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.1 2020: R+70.4 2016: R+68.8 2012: R+50.1 2008: R+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- Current HPI
- 102.2128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $80,000 Badlands BOR MLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,429 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…