100 W Main St · Ellisville, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Auction - You’ll fall in love with the front porch on this charming two-story home. Step inside and enjoy the character throughout, from the beautiful woodwork in the Living Room to the spacious Dining Room that’s perfect for gatherings. The Kitchen offers ample cabinets, generous counter space, and an informal dining area, while the Den features a built-in bookshelf ideal for book lovers. Upstairs, you’ll find three oversized bedrooms, a laundry room, and a full bathroom. A full basement, two car detached garage, and fenced yard complete this wonderful property. Schedule your showing today. All measurements are approx. & not deemed reliable. Property in an online auc
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Front porch
- Built-in bookshelf
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning; Subdivision: Original Town Ellisville; Directions: West through Fairview to Ellisville
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Septic system
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1905
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on upper level)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in main living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in secondary dining/kitchen areas; Other flooring in additional spaces
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Propane heating; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Non-functional living room fireplace (one)
- Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,032 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Spoon River Valley CUSD 4 (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #314 of 919 in IL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Spoon River Valley Sr High Sch (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #179 of 693 statewide, top 27%, 73 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.26%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $35,258
- Equity at exit
- $17,941
- IRR
- 56.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.43×
- Total profit
- $82,997
- Equity at exit
- $27,649
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61431
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,035 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,370/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $477
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
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2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $39,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $39,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $39,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-12price $39,900 845-char remark
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2026-05-08$49,900 Active 845-char remark
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2026-05-04historical
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2026-05-04status Active
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2026-04-16status Pending
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2026-04-06Active
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2026-03-20status Active
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2026-03-20historical
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2026-03-20historical
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2025-12-17historical
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2025-12-07historical
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2025-12-06Active
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2025-11-22price
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2025-10-22price
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2025-09-24price
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2025-08-22Active
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2020-02-03soldstatus $50,000
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2018-04-04historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,415
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$1,370
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$993
- − Management
- −$993
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $5,463
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,311
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spoon River Valley CUSD 4
- NCES district ID
- 1736960
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,341
- Composite
- 37.03/100
- National rank
- #9073
- State rank
- #314 of 919 in IL
Livability — Ellisville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1032
- US rank
- #19793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ellisville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 283
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,356 people
- By 2030
- 32,144 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 29,518 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 26,775 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 19,972 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 13,580 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-20.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-07 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-06 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-22 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-04 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,370 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…