CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
31130 S General Kearny Rd #147
C+ Composite 62.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

31130 S General Kearny Rd #147 · Temecula, CA 92591
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · Manufactured · 220 Days on market
Built 2005 Fair condition $146/sqft · 13% above area Est $194k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUGE PRICE ADJUSTMENT!! This is the home you have been waiting for. Lovely manufactured home with drywall. Not an old mobile home OPEN FLOOR PLAN. 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms, formal dining room which opens to the spacious living room. Large kitchen with brand new dishwasher, refrigerator, sink faucets, and garbage disposal. New shower heads and new toilets. Turn key condition. Lots of storage too. The carport is very convenient as you park side by side instead of one in front of the other. Makes it easy if you have 2 cars. Heritage Park is located in a beautiful quiet park for ages 55 and better. One person needs to be 55+ other person can be 40+. Beautiful Temecula Wineries right down the street. Close to shopping, Pechanga Casino, Post office and great restaurants. Heritage Park has a heated pool, spa, gym, clubhouse, and putting greens. People that live there call it the Hidden Jewel.

Key facts

  • New toilets
  • Formal dining room
  • Brand new dishwasher

Tags

FORMAL DINING ROOMLARGE KITCHENBRAND NEW DISHWASHERBRAND NEW REFRIGERATORNEW SHOWER HEADSNEW TOILETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $722 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.6% in Temecula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#225 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Temecula Valley Unified (urban): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #173 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $105k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $220k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.23%
Cash-on-cash
14.06%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,479
List price
$220,000
Delta
13.12%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31130 S General Kearny Rd #57 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-4%) 6mo $180,000 $125 87
31130 S General Kearny Rd #56 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-4%) 10mo $160,000 $111 80
31130 S General Kearny Rd #28 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,460 (-3%) 13mo $305,000 $209 78
31130 S General Kearny Rd #144 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,488 (-1%) 20mo $132,500 $89 76
31130 S General Kearny #32 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-4%) 11mo $215,000 $149 74
31130-S General Kearny Rd #58 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-4%) 18mo $210,000 $146 72
31130 S General Kearny Rd #163 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (-12%) 4mo $353,500 $268 70
31130-#158 S General Kearny 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,350 (-10%) 20mo $160,000 $119 66
31130 S General Kearney #26 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,300 (-14%) 15mo $178,000 $137 64
31130 S General Kearny Rd #13 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-11%) 12mo $150,000 $112 63
31130 S General Kearny Rd #37 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,728 (+15%) 12mo $360,000 $208 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$6,326
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$48,810
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92591

Home prices YoY
-24.8%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
225
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,838 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$596
Net cashflow
$722

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,925
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $874 -5% $798 +0% $722 +5% $646 +10% $570
Rent -10% $497 -5% $610 +0% $722 +5% $834 +10% $946
Rate -1.0pp $832 -0.5pp $778 base $722 +0.5pp $665 +1.0pp $607

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30900 Branford Dr Temecula, CA 3.0 2.0 1689 $3,000 $1.78 45d 1 0.30mi
42093 Acacia Way Temecula, CA 3.0 2.5 1442 $2,750 $1.91 25d 1 1.05mi
42180 Calabria Dr Temecula, CA 3.0 2.5 2060 $3,200 $1.55 5d 1 1.12mi
30000 Rancho California Rd Temecula, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,482 $2.48 45d 1 1.14mi
41955 Margarita Rd Temecula, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 930 $2,665 $2.86 0d 16 1.24mi
30135 Rancho California Rd Temecula, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $3,022 $3.14 45d 1 1.28mi
42450 Moraga Rd Temecula, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1051 $2,750 $2.62 0d 7 1.47mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 220 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 217 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 216 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 215 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 214 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 212 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 208 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 207 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 206 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $220,000 Active 203 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 202 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 201 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 200 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 199 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    price $220,000 901-char remark
    Show marketing remark (901 chars)

    HUGE PRICE ADJUSTMENT!! This is the home you have been waiting for. Lovely manufactured home with drywall. Not an old mobile home OPEN FLOOR PLAN. 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms, formal dining room which opens to the spacious living room. Large kitchen with brand new dishwasher, refrigerator, sink faucets, and garbage disposal. New shower heads and new toilets. Turn key condition. Lots of storage too. The carport is very convenient as you park side by side instead of one in front of the other. Makes it easy if you have 2 cars. Heritage Park is located in a beautiful quiet park for ages 55 and better. One person needs to be 55+ other person can be 40+. Beautiful Temecula Wineries right down the street. Close to shopping, Pechanga Casino, Post office and great restaurants. Heritage Park has a heated pool, spa, gym, clubhouse, and putting greens. People that live there call it the Hidden Jewel.

  16. 2026-03-02
    price $255,000 901-char remark
    Show marketing remark (901 chars)

    HUGE PRICE ADJUSTMENT!! This is the home you have been waiting for. Lovely manufactured home with drywall. Not an old mobile home OPEN FLOOR PLAN. 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms, formal dining room which opens to the spacious living room. Large kitchen with brand new dishwasher, refrigerator, sink faucets, and garbage disposal. New shower heads and new toilets. Turn key condition. Lots of storage too. The carport is very convenient as you park side by side instead of one in front of the other. Makes it easy if you have 2 cars. Heritage Park is located in a beautiful quiet park for ages 55 and better. One person needs to be 55+ other person can be 40+. Beautiful Temecula Wineries right down the street. Close to shopping, Pechanga Casino, Post office and great restaurants. Heritage Park has a heated pool, spa, gym, clubhouse, and putting greens. People that live there call it the Hidden Jewel.

  17. 2026-02-12
    price $285,500 901-char remark
    Show marketing remark (901 chars)

    HUGE PRICE ADJUSTMENT!! This is the home you have been waiting for. Lovely manufactured home with drywall. Not an old mobile home OPEN FLOOR PLAN. 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms, formal dining room which opens to the spacious living room. Large kitchen with brand new dishwasher, refrigerator, sink faucets, and garbage disposal. New shower heads and new toilets. Turn key condition. Lots of storage too. The carport is very convenient as you park side by side instead of one in front of the other. Makes it easy if you have 2 cars. Heritage Park is located in a beautiful quiet park for ages 55 and better. One person needs to be 55+ other person can be 40+. Beautiful Temecula Wineries right down the street. Close to shopping, Pechanga Casino, Post office and great restaurants. Heritage Park has a heated pool, spa, gym, clubhouse, and putting greens. People that live there call it the Hidden Jewel.

  18. 2025-11-13
    listed $325,000 Active 901-char remark
    Show marketing remark (901 chars)

    HUGE PRICE ADJUSTMENT!! This is the home you have been waiting for. Lovely manufactured home with drywall. Not an old mobile home OPEN FLOOR PLAN. 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms, formal dining room which opens to the spacious living room. Large kitchen with brand new dishwasher, refrigerator, sink faucets, and garbage disposal. New shower heads and new toilets. Turn key condition. Lots of storage too. The carport is very convenient as you park side by side instead of one in front of the other. Makes it easy if you have 2 cars. Heritage Park is located in a beautiful quiet park for ages 55 and better. One person needs to be 55+ other person can be 40+. Beautiful Temecula Wineries right down the street. Close to shopping, Pechanga Casino, Post office and great restaurants. Heritage Park has a heated pool, spa, gym, clubhouse, and putting greens. People that live there call it the Hidden Jewel.

  19. 2021-01-14
    soldstatus $90,000 Sold 679-char remark
    Show marketing remark (679 chars)

    Welcome HOME to this amazing double wide, well maintained home! LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Close to everything. This is a wonderful home in a 55+ community featuring easy access, side by side parking for 2 cars, updated design, a spacious and welcoming living area that flows seamlessly to the kitchen and a TV room that can be transformed into a lovely dining area. Both bedrooms have own nice-sized private balcony! The Master Suite has an enormous bathroom with separate tub and shower areas, leading into a walk in closet. Other highlights include, full guest bath, lots of linen closets, inside laundry room for full sized washer and dryer and rear storage shed included.

  20. 2021-01-09
    status Pending 679-char remark
    Show marketing remark (679 chars)

    Welcome HOME to this amazing double wide, well maintained home! LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Close to everything. This is a wonderful home in a 55+ community featuring easy access, side by side parking for 2 cars, updated design, a spacious and welcoming living area that flows seamlessly to the kitchen and a TV room that can be transformed into a lovely dining area. Both bedrooms have own nice-sized private balcony! The Master Suite has an enormous bathroom with separate tub and shower areas, leading into a walk in closet. Other highlights include, full guest bath, lots of linen closets, inside laundry room for full sized washer and dryer and rear storage shed included.

  21. 2020-11-04
    historical Backup Offers Accepted 679-char remark
    Show marketing remark (679 chars)

    Welcome HOME to this amazing double wide, well maintained home! LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Close to everything. This is a wonderful home in a 55+ community featuring easy access, side by side parking for 2 cars, updated design, a spacious and welcoming living area that flows seamlessly to the kitchen and a TV room that can be transformed into a lovely dining area. Both bedrooms have own nice-sized private balcony! The Master Suite has an enormous bathroom with separate tub and shower areas, leading into a walk in closet. Other highlights include, full guest bath, lots of linen closets, inside laundry room for full sized washer and dryer and rear storage shed included.

  22. 2020-06-24
    listed $120,000 Active 679-char remark
    Show marketing remark (679 chars)

    Welcome HOME to this amazing double wide, well maintained home! LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! Close to everything. This is a wonderful home in a 55+ community featuring easy access, side by side parking for 2 cars, updated design, a spacious and welcoming living area that flows seamlessly to the kitchen and a TV room that can be transformed into a lovely dining area. Both bedrooms have own nice-sized private balcony! The Master Suite has an enormous bathroom with separate tub and shower areas, leading into a walk in closet. Other highlights include, full guest bath, lots of linen closets, inside laundry room for full sized washer and dryer and rear storage shed included.

  23. 2009-11-01
    price $119,000 Expired
  24. 2007-11-01
    historical
  25. 2007-09-09
    price $159,500
  26. 2007-07-07
    listed $165,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,055
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,300
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,724
− Management
−$2,724
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable income
$5,483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,316
After-tax cash flow
$7,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, particularly in landscaping and exterior painting, to improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and lack of landscaping.
  • Minor Exterior paint — Slight discoloration on exterior siding and carport.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — New fixtures enhance the home's appeal to potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and lack of landscaping. Minor $500–3,000
Exterior paint · Slight discoloration on exterior siding and carport. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — New fixtures enhance the home's appeal to potential buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Temecula Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0600028
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$84,032
Composite
57.48/100
National rank
#2264
State rank
#173 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Temecula

Score
71/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#7291

Category grades

Amenities B Commute B- Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Temecula, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
127,079
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,955
Household income
$114,160
Rent vs Own
39.5% rent · 60.5% own
Severe rent burden
1497.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Asian 10% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 17% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.45%
Current HPI
350.5314
Rent YoY
▲ 1.57%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $220,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $255,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $285,500 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $325,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-01-14 Sold (MLS) $90,000 TheMLS
  • 2021-01-09 Pending TheMLS
  • 2020-11-04 Contingent TheMLS
  • 2020-06-24 Listed $120,000 TheMLS
  • 2009-11-01 Price Changed $119,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-11-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-09-09 Price Changed $159,500 CRMLS
  • 2007-07-07 Listed $165,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…