243 Pirate Cove Way · Hertford, NC
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Holiday Island, a hidden waterfront community in Hertford, North Carolina, perfectly situated between the Yeopim River and Perquimans River, where they meet the Albemarle Sound. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits at the end of a quiet canal, offering a peaceful setting with direct water access. Enjoy your private dock, perfect for fishing, kayaking, or relaxing just 3,500 feet from the mouth of the Albemarle Sound. Holiday Island features a clubhouse, pool, playground, basketball court, boat ramp, and a small yacht club for residents to enjoy. Explore nearby Edenton, Hertford, and Elizabeth City, or play a round at Albemarle Plantation's championship golf course just minut
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Private dock
- Waterfront community
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($72/year, approximately $6/month); Community amenities: boat dock, clubhouse, meeting room, playground
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water available; Water available; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story home; Entry level: 1; Residential property in Holiday Island subdivision
- Construction: Frame construction; Foundation details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Canal-front waterfront with dock; Enclosed patio/porch; Patio; Porch; Shingle roof; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Rooms total: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level; Partially furnished; Accessible full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-201 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (14.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (29.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.2% in Hertford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#570 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Perquimans County Schools (rural): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #83 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Perquimans Central (391 students, 65% FRL); Perquimans County Middle (math 39% / reading 48%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 366 students, 59% FRL); Perquimans County High (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 518 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 339 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Perquimans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Perquimans County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $205k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.31%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $123,272
- Equity at exit
- $225,220
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.33×
- Total profit
- $372,993
- Equity at exit
- $485,695
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27944
- Home prices YoY
- 9.5%
- Active inventory
- 339
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,761 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,261/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$6
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $-201
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-60 | -5% $-131 | +0% $-201 | +5% $-272 | +10% $-343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-341 | -5% $-271 | +0% $-201 | +5% $-132 | +10% $-62 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-76 | -0.5pp $-138 | base $-201 | +0.5pp $-266 | +1.0pp $-332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $6 · $72/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-02status Active
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $250,000
-
2026-02-09$265,000 Active
-
2026-01-08status Active
-
2025-12-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-22historical
-
2025-11-11$265,000 Active
-
2025-11-03historical
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-08-13price $269,000
-
2025-08-11price $269,000
-
2025-07-09$275,000 Active
-
2025-07-09$275,000 Active
-
2023-11-17soldstatus $205,000 Closed
-
2023-08-08status Pending
-
2023-07-18$209,500 Active
-
2005-10-31soldstatus $154,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- +$789/yr (+$66/mo · 62.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$1,261
- − Insurance
- −$2,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,691
- − Management
- −$1,691
- − HOA
- −$72
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$6,905
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,657
- After-tax cash flow
- $-760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perquimans County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703600
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,593
- Composite
- 38.75/100
- National rank
- #4124
- State rank
- #83 of 178 in NC
Livability — Hertford
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #570
- US rank
- #21148
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,255
Population outlook (Perquimans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,018 people
- By 2030
- 12,716 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 11,895 · -8.6%
- By 2050
- 10,981 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 8,931 · -31.4%
- By 2100
- 7,101 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Perquimans
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.4) · D 29.7% · R 69.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.9pp · 2024: -39.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.4 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.77%
- Current HPI
- 261.91
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+62.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-10 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $250,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $265,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-22 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-22 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-11-11 Listed $265,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $269,000 REINMLS
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $269,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed $275,000 REINMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed $275,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-11-17 Sold (MLS) $205,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-08-08 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2023-07-18 Listed $209,500 Hive MLS
- 2005-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,261 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…