CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
361 Katie Ln
C+ Composite 60.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

361 Katie Ln · Chatsworth, GA 30705
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1997 1.00 ac lot Est $161k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to modern country living! This stunning, fully renovated singlewide sits on a private 1-acre lot and has been transformed from top to bottom with high-end finishes. Enjoy total peace of mind with a brand-new HVAC system, new roof, and fresh underpinning. The interior features a seamless flow of new LVP flooring, a fresh neutral paint palette, and all-new cabinets throughout. The chef-inspired kitchen is a true standout, boasting gorgeous butcher block countertops and a full suite of new stainless steel appliances. Step outside onto the massive new deck, perfect for entertaining or enjoying the quiet landscape. This turnkey home offers the luxury of a new build with the space and fre

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • New cabinets
  • New lvp flooring

Tags

PRIVATE LOTNEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW ROOFNEW UNDERPINNINGNEW LVP FLOORINGNEW CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in Chatsworth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#37 in GA, #4,588 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Murray County (other): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #107 of 174 in GA (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Coker Elementary School (math 25% / reading 28%, grade F, #718 of 1,228 statewide, top 59%, 641 students, 77% FRL); Gladden Middle School (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #265 of 470 statewide, top 57%, 548 students, 68% FRL); Murray County High School (math 10% / reading 32%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,102 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in Murray County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Murray County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $135k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.57%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$161,460
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
75 Willow Springs Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+12%) 11mo $180,000 $115 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,672
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$9,512
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30705

Home prices YoY
-11.2%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,443 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $254 +0% $207 +5% $160 +10% $114
Rent -10% $93 -5% $150 +0% $207 +5% $264 +10% $321
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $241 base $207 +0.5pp $172 +1.0pp $136

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-02
    listed $135,000 Active
  5. 1992-01-25
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,315
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,385
− Management
−$1,385
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$356
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$85
After-tax cash flow
$2,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Murray County
NCES district ID
1303840
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,127
Composite
23.39/100
National rank
#7901
State rank
#107 of 174 in GA

Livability — Chatsworth

Score
74/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#4588

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
33,078

Population outlook (Murray County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,666 people
By 2030
39,301 · -0.9%
By 2040
38,248 · -3.6%
By 2050
37,015 · -6.7%
By 2075
35,253 · -11.1%
By 2100
34,727 · -12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Murray

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.6) · D 14.1% · R 85.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.3pp toward R · 2008: -45.3pp · 2024: -71.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.6 2020: R+69.2 2016: R+68.8 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+45.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.36%
Current HPI
271.673
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+650.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted GCAR
  • 2026-04-06 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $135,000 GCAR
  • 1992-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $75 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…