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1587 County Road 7714
B- Composite 68.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

1587 County Road 7714 · Troy, AL 36081
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1972 1.01 ac lot $45/sqft · 125% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

FINAL CALL FOR OFFERS!!! All offers due 5/19/2026 by 5:00 PM Central. Situated on ~1 acre, this property offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for space, privacy, and potential. Whether you're searching for an investment or a place to make your own, this property is full of possibilities. Conveniently located just outside of Troy! Property sold "As-Is". Buyer and/or buyer's agent responsible for verifying all pertinent information deemed relevant by the prospective buyer, including but not limited to square footage, acreage, utilities, taxes, zoning, permitting, condition, school zones, HOAs, etc.

Key facts

  • 1.01 acre lot
  • Built 1972
  • Listed 48 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1.01 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing single-family property; Not a tri-level, split-level, or split-foyer design
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden or patio area noted; No decks listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Solid surface countertops
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No additional built-in interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $799 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 2.0% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#148 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Pike County (rural): math 19% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #68 of 129 in AL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Goshen Elementary School (math 14% / reading 44%, grade F, #379 of 627 statewide, top 61%, 462 students, 72% FRL); Goshen High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 387 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 42 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 86% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.60%
Cap rate
23.72%
Cash-on-cash
62.24%
DSCR
3.77
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$25,321
List price
$55,000
Delta
117.21%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.2%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$41,950
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
65.8%
Equity multiple
7.62×
Total profit
$101,998
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36081

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $226/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$799

Break-even live

Break-even rent $418
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $830 -5% $814 +0% $799 +5% $783 +10% $768
Rent -10% $686 -5% $742 +0% $799 +5% $855 +10% $912
Rate -1.0pp $826 -0.5pp $813 base $799 +0.5pp $784 +1.0pp $770

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    listed $55,000 Active 622-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$226 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$226 · $19/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 86% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,148
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$226
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$9,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,213
After-tax cash flow
$7,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pike County
NCES district ID
0102790
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$34,318
Composite
25.85/100
National rank
#7348
State rank
#68 of 129 in AL

Livability — Troy

Score
64/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#13713

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety B- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pike County · 15,143 people
City population
15,143
Metro
Troy, AL
Population (ZIP)
15,143
Household income
$44,375
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
934.0

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,683 people
By 2030
35,552 · +2.5%
By 2040
37,056 · +6.8%
By 2050
38,617 · +11.3%
By 2075
43,393 · +25.1%
By 2100
45,455 · +31.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 42% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · China, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 37.1% · R 62.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+17.4 2016: R+20.3 2012: R+13.7 2008: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.93%
Current HPI
128.0786
Rent YoY
Metro
Troy, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $226 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…