23425 Fm 1995 Lot 200 #101 · Van, TX 75771

$134,900

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,820 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1998 1.04 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.1/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.1/10.0
• Schools +5.9/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great house on a shady 1 acre lot in Lindale ISD! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home has a 1 car garage and golf cart garage, french doors opening up to a large deck and tons of closet space. The home is a split floorplan and living area and dining are open to the large kitchen. Come check it out!

Key facts

• 1.04 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1998

Tags

• BASS LAKE RANCH COMMUNITY
• PRIVATE COMMUNITY LAKE
• LOW-MAINTENANCE LIVING
• PEACEFUL SURROUNDINGS

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Treated as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
• HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

• Parking: Garage faces side; Covered parking (1 space); 1-car garage
• Utilities: Cable available; Not in a municipal utility district
• Home design: Residential mobile home; Attached property; One level
• Construction: Built in 1998; Pillar/post/pier foundation
• Exterior features: Property sits on about 1.04 acres; Subdivision: J SANDERS TRACT; Directions: From FM 1995 turn south into Bass Lake Ranch; at the Y turn right and the home is immediately on the left

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Cable TV available; One living area; One dining area; Total of 4 rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
• Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.6% in Van — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#505 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Lindale ISD (town): math 71% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #20 of 826 in TX (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Velma Penny El (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #199 of 4,322 statewide, top 5%, 541 students, 48% FRL); E J Moss Int (math 66% / reading 59%, grade B+, #128 of 1,662 statewide, top 8%, 981 students, 45% FRL); Lindale H S (math 79% / reading 75%, grade A-, #60 of 1,632 statewide, top 4%, 1,265 students, 38% FRL).
• Market conditions: 640 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $134,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.47%
• DSCR: 1.60
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.14×
• Total profit: $5,124
• Equity at exit: $20,114

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.04×
• Total profit: $39,170
• Equity at exit: $11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75771

• Home prices YoY: -30.6%
• Active inventory: 640
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,638 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$707
• Tax from tax record: −$106 /mo · $1,273/yr
• Insurance: −$56
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$344
• Net cashflow: $424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,101

Max offer price $134,900

Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $500	-5% $462	+0% $424	+5% $386	+10% $348
Rent	-10% $295	-5% $359	+0% $424	+5% $489	+10% $553
Rate	-1.0pp $492	-0.5pp $458	base $424	+0.5pp $389	+1.0pp $353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,725
• Closing costs: $4,047
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-03
   days on market $134,900 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   remarks 683-char remark
3. 2026-06-02
   listed $134,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,273 · $106/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,469 · $206/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,195/yr (+$100/mo · 93.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,650
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,556
• − Property taxes: −$1,273
• − Insurance: −$674
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,572
• − Management: −$1,572
• − Depreciation: −$3,924
• Taxable income: $3,077
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$739
• After-tax cash flow: $4,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lindale ISD
• NCES district ID: 4827510
• Math proficiency: 71% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 66% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $57,325
• Composite: 58.85/100
• National rank: #974
• State rank: #20 of 826 in TX

Livability — Van

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #505
• US rank: #9995

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Smith County · 180,570 people
• City population: 3,790
• Metro: Tyler, TX
• Population (ZIP): 21,238
• Household income: $93,462
• Rent vs Own: 21.7% rent · 78.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 166.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 248,890 people
• By 2030: 261,665 · +5.1%
• By 2040: 286,114 · +15.0%
• By 2050: 308,006 · +23.8%
• By 2075: 354,171 · +42.3%
• By 2100: 372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -88.40%
• Current HPI: 200.187
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Tyler, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+22.7% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $134,900 NTREIS
• 2022-07-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2020-11-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2020-11-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2020-11-06 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
• 2020-05-20 Listed $109,900 GTAR

Property tax history

+22.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,273 · +290.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.