None · Frostproof, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Short sale opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers ready to remodel. Enjoy views of Lake Reedy and a spacious yard with room for a pool or future expansion. With some improvements, this property could truly shine.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Room for a pool
- Future expansion
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.28 acres (approx. 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- Financial info: Homestead exemption indicated; No lease restrictions; Tax and pricing details available separately
- HOA & community: No HOA association; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Public utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces southwest; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Stilt/on piling foundation; Built area approximately 1,168 total building area
- Exterior features: Lake view; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#456 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Frostproof Middle/Senior High (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 1,150 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20 of equity ($684 loan paydown + $-664 appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $99k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.28%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $20,934
- Equity at exit
- $25,469
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $62,524
- Equity at exit
- $28,108
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33843
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 437
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,382 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,308/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $478 | -5% $450 | +0% $422 | +5% $394 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $313 | -5% $368 | +0% $422 | +5% $477 | +10% $532 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $472 | -0.5pp $448 | base $422 | +0.5pp $397 | +1.0pp $371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 S Palm Ave Frostproof, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,300 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 120 Chesney Blvd Frostproof, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,495 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-06price $99,000
-
2026-04-21price $105,000
-
2026-01-27$110,000 Active
-
2025-12-01historical
-
2025-10-07status Active
-
2025-10-02status Pending
-
2025-08-31$120,000 Active
-
2025-02-27historical
-
2025-01-03price $130,000
-
2024-12-03price $145,000
-
2024-10-21price $150,000
-
2024-09-27$155,000 Active
-
2023-11-13historical
-
2023-10-09price $130,000
-
2023-09-15status Active
-
2023-09-08status Pending
-
2023-08-18$137,800 Active
-
2023-05-24soldstatus $62,500
-
2023-05-19soldstatus $62,500 Closed
-
2023-03-21status Pending
-
2023-02-23price $79,000
-
2022-12-21$82,500 Active
-
2018-03-06soldstatus $33,000 Sold
-
2018-02-14status Pending
-
2018-01-24price $39,800
-
2017-12-11$39,900 Active
-
2004-12-16soldstatus $42,000
-
2004-08-26soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,308 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,308 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,308
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,702
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$888
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Frostproof
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #8297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frostproof, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,072
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.67%
- Current HPI
- 311.1519
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+182.9% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-31 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-03 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-03 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-21 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-27 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-09 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-15 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-18 Listed $137,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2023-05-19 Sold (MLS) $62,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-23 Price Changed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-21 Listed $82,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-06 Sold (MLS) $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-24 Price Changed $39,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-11 Listed $39,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,308 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…