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1055 Coleman Rd
D+ Composite 47.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

1055 Coleman Rd · New Market, AL 35761
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,161 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1987 0.50 ac lot Est $222k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover affordable space in the Buckhorn School District! This 4-bed, 2-bath home offers 1,677± sqft on a spacious 1/2 acre lot with a fenced backyard & above-ground pool. Freshly painted throughout, the home features laminate flooring, vaulted ceiling in the living room, & a functional layout with flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. The garage conversion created a large primary bedroom, while the original primary suite includes a walk-in closet & private bath. Enjoy the covered front porch, back patio, concrete driveway, gutters, & peaceful views of open fields across the road. Conveniently located near Sharon Johnston Park w/ fishing, camping,

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Vaulted ceiling
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDABOVE-GROUND POOLLAMINATE FLOORINGVAULTED CEILINGLARGE PRIMARY BEDROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Colony Square

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1987
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered front porch; Front porch; Patio; Private pool; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.1% in New Market — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#304 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: New Market School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 394 students, 40% FRL); Buckhorn Middle School (math 19% / reading 59%, grade F, #64 of 257 statewide, top 25%, 688 students, 38% FRL); Buckhorn High School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #59 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,287 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 391 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $225k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,290 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.40%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,751
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Coppersmith Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,130 (-3%) 8mo $213,000 $188 69
102 Harpeth Dr 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,306 (+12%) 1mo $250,000 $191 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-21,857
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-562
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35761

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,953 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $455/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,660
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 676-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$455 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$923 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$467/yr (+$39/mo · 102.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,435
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$455
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,875
− Management
−$1,875
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$1,044
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$251
After-tax cash flow
$3,025/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — New Market

Score
60/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#19258

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Market, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
13,557
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,557
Household income
$79,440
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
220.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.88%
Current HPI
261.8281
Rent YoY
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $225,000 VMLS
  • 2006-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $455 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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