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10 Lands End Dr
D+ Composite 47.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

10 Lands End Dr · Canton, NC 28715
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured public records · 51 Days on market
Built 2001 0.41 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located on a quiet private street, 10 Lands End Drive offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or buyers seeking peaceful mountain living with immediate income potential. The home has 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms plus a bonus room and sits on a generous 0.42-acre lot, featuring a nice flat, green yard—perfect for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or pets. The home includes a comfortable layout with a spacious primary suite complete with an ensuite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy the best of outdoor living a on the large deck - an ideal spot to relax and take in the surrounding mountain setting and wildlife. A detached shed and large barn provide additional storage for tools, equipment, o

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Flat green yard
  • Private street

Tags

PRIVATE STREETFLAT GREEN YARDLARGE DECKDETACHED SHEDLARGE BARNTURNKEY INCOME

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private maintained gravel road access
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic system
  • Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One story; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl exterior
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Cleared lot; Scenic views; Barn(s); Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Two access exits
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (14.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.8% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#258 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Enka High (math 77% / reading 63%, grade B+, #119 of 535 statewide, top 22%, 1,045 students, 58% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Buncombe County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $167,265 (14.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.78%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-20,744
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-4,354
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28715

Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,673 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $547/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,455
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $282 -5% $227 +0% $172 +5% $117 +10% $62
Rent -10% $40 -5% $106 +0% $172 +5% $238 +10% $304
Rate -1.0pp $270 -0.5pp $222 base $172 +0.5pp $121 +1.0pp $70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 Jellico Dr Unit Vacant Candler, NC 2.0 1.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 44d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $195,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    historical Active Under Contract 1439-char remark
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $195,000 Active 1439-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$547 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,599 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$1,052/yr (+$88/mo · 192.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,072
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$547
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,606
− Management
−$1,606
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$1,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$302
After-tax cash flow
$2,365/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buncombe County Schools
NCES district ID
3700450
Math proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$45,981
Composite
40.32/100
National rank
#3749
State rank
#72 of 178 in NC

Livability — Canton

Score
66/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#11353

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Buncombe County · 241,085 people
Metro
Asheville, NC
Population (ZIP)
30,328
Household income
$71,716
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
419.0

Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,475 people
By 2030
302,237 · +5.5%
By 2040
330,687 · +15.4%
By 2050
356,370 · +24.4%
By 2075
409,383 · +42.9%
By 2100
437,270 · +52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.92%
Current HPI
255.1985
Rent YoY
Metro
Asheville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $195,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $547 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…