10 Lands End Dr · Canton, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on a quiet private street, 10 Lands End Drive offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or buyers seeking peaceful mountain living with immediate income potential. The home has 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms plus a bonus room and sits on a generous 0.42-acre lot, featuring a nice flat, green yard—perfect for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or pets. The home includes a comfortable layout with a spacious primary suite complete with an ensuite bath and walk-in closet. Enjoy the best of outdoor living a on the large deck - an ideal spot to relax and take in the surrounding mountain setting and wildlife. A detached shed and large barn provide additional storage for tools, equipment, o
Key facts
- Large deck
- Flat green yard
- Private street
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private maintained gravel road access
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Shared well water; Septic system
- Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One story; Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl exterior
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Cleared lot; Scenic views; Barn(s); Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Two access exits
- Laundry & utility: Utility room; Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (14.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.8% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#258 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Enka High (math 77% / reading 63%, grade B+, #119 of 535 statewide, top 22%, 1,045 students, 58% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Buncombe County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.78%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-20,744
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-4,354
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28715
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,673 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $547/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $282 | -5% $227 | +0% $172 | +5% $117 | +10% $62 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $40 | -5% $106 | +0% $172 | +5% $238 | +10% $304 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $270 | -0.5pp $222 | base $172 | +0.5pp $121 | +1.0pp $70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Jellico Dr Unit Vacant Candler, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $195,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 1439-char remark
-
2026-04-28$195,000 Active 1439-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $547 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,599 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,052/yr (+$88/mo · 192.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$547
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,606
- − Management
- −$1,606
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$1,258
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$302
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buncombe County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700450
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,981
- Composite
- 40.32/100
- National rank
- #3749
- State rank
- #72 of 178 in NC
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #11353
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Buncombe County · 241,085 people
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,328
- Household income
- $71,716
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 419.0
Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,475 people
- By 2030
- 302,237 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 330,687 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 356,370 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 409,383 · +42.9%
- By 2100
- 437,270 · +52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.92%
- Current HPI
- 255.1985
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $195,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $547 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…