921 34th St · Sioux City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,450
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful ranch style home with 2 bedrooms on the main floor. Basement offers 2 more bedrooms with still more space for tv room and more. Great location with great yard potential. Newer high-efficiency furnace, newer water heater, roof. This home has been well cared for. With the added egress windows it opens up great space in the basement.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Added egress windows
- Ranch style home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-255 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (22.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (34.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $199k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.47%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,257
- List price
- $199,450
- Delta
- -7.77%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3311 Virginia St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (-7%) | 8mo | $103,500 | $99 | 77 |
| 3412 Douglas St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,127 (+0%) | 2mo | $206,000 | $183 | 74 |
| 3616 Virginia St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,198 (+7%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 3130 Summit St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $191 | 57 |
| 3007 Nebraska St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,015 (-10%) | 8mo | $185,100 | $182 | 52 |
| 3710 Grandview Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 | 1,206 (+7%) | 9mo | $168,500 | $140 | 50 |
| 1318 28th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,003 (-11%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $165 | 48 |
| 3613 Nebraska St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,288 (+15%) | 8mo | $219,500 | $170 | 46 |
| 400 37th ST Pl | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,214 (+8%) | 7mo | $91,000 | $75 | 46 |
| 3625 Grandview Blvd | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,278 (+14%) | 1mo | $214,950 | $168 | 44 |
| 3606 Hamilton Blvd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (-12%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $172 | 36 |
| 2929 Douglas St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+9%) | 13mo | $188,000 | $154 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-48,577
- Equity at exit
- $29,739
- IRR
- -22.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.13×
- Total profit
- $-63,338
- Equity at exit
- $17,245
Cash invested: $55,846 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51104
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,046
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,882/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $-255
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-142 | -5% $-198 | +0% $-255 | +5% $-311 | +10% $-368 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-358 | -5% $-306 | +0% $-255 | +5% $-203 | +10% $-152 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-154 | -0.5pp $-204 | base $-255 | +0.5pp $-306 | +1.0pp $-359 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,862
- Closing costs
- $5,984
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 36th St Sioux City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3800 Glen Oaks Blvd Sioux City, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,275 | $1.66 | 45d | 4 | 0.85mi |
| 2722 Prospect St Sioux City, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,200 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2606 Apache Ct Ste 101 Sioux City, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 824 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,450 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $199,450 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,450 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,450 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,450 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,450 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,450 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $199,450 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,450 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,450 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,450 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,450 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,450 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,450 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,450 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,450 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-03-26$199,450 Active 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
Beautiful ranch style home with 2 bedrooms on the main floor. Basement offers 2 more bedrooms with still more space for tv room and more. Great location with great yard potential. Newer high-efficiency furnace, newer water heater, roof. This home has been well cared for. With the added egress windows it opens up great space in the basement.
-
2023-05-04$200,000 Active
-
2022-01-06soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,882 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,507 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- +$625/yr (+$52/mo · 33.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,172
- − Property taxes
- −$1,882
- − Insurance
- −$997
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$5,802
- Taxable loss
- −$6,696
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,607
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926400
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,967
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2371
- State rank
- #264 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sioux City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #2544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux City, IA
- County
- Woodbury County · 51,789 people
- City population
- 51,789
- Metro
- Sioux City, IA-NE-SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,197
- Household income
- $75,362
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 600.0
Population outlook (Woodbury County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,226 people
- By 2030
- 103,060 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 102,533 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 102,788 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 107,227 · +3.9%
- By 2100
- 113,980 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodbury
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+0.2 2008: R+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.54%
- Current HPI
- 218.5989
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sioux City, IA-NE-SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+121.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $199,450 NWIA
- 2023-05-04 Listed $200,000 NWIA
- 2022-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,882 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…