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8283 Pelican Rd
C Composite 59.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

8283 Pelican Rd · Grove City, FL 34224
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1973 6,890 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come and make your this nice house. Perfect for an investment or to your home. Dont lose this opportunity. Very well located and close to everything

Key facts

  • 6,890 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1973

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (paved)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 1; North-facing
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built as resale property
  • Exterior features: Fence; Rectangular lot; South exposure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Bedroom on main level; Unfurnished; Great room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.8% in Grove City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#713 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.83%
Cash-on-cash
9.05%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-7,988
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,487
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34224

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
734
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,520 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,285/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,173
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $348 -5% $311 +0% $275 +5% $238 +10% $201
Rent -10% $155 -5% $215 +0% $275 +5% $335 +10% $395
Rate -1.0pp $340 -0.5pp $308 base $275 +0.5pp $241 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4341 Placida Rd #5 Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,350 $1.26 21d 1 0.29mi
4341 Placida Rd #6 Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,450 $1.35 21d 1 0.29mi
3280 Holly Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 900 $3,300 $3.67 21d 1 0.84mi
309 Boundary Blvd Unit B Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,450 $1.51 21d 1 1.12mi
100 Rotonda Lakes Cir Rotonda West, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $1,126 $1.10 14d 1 1.16mi
260 Rotonda Blvd W Unit 2 Rotonda West, FL 3.0 2.0 1047 $1,500 $1.43 21d 1 1.16mi
284 Rotonda Blvd W Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 897 $1,475 $1.64 21d 1 1.20mi
146 Boundary Blvd Unit B101 Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 815 $1,400 $1.72 21d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 46 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 148-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on marketlisting id $130,000 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 53 DOM
  18. 2026-04-07
    listed $160,000 Active
  19. 2026-02-13
    historical $1,250
  20. 2026-01-13
    listed $1,250
  21. 2025-12-10
    historical $1,250
  22. 2025-11-08
    listed $1,250
  23. 2025-10-10
    historical $1,250
  24. 2025-09-29
    listed $1,250
  25. 2024-04-10
    historical $1,600
  26. 2024-03-30
    historical $1,600
  27. 2024-03-30
    listed $1,600
  28. 2024-03-30
    listed $1,600
  29. 2024-03-26
    historical $1,600
  30. 2024-03-13
    price $1,600
  31. 2024-01-31
    price $1,700
  32. 2024-01-28
    price $2,000
  33. 2024-01-26
    price $1,500
  34. 2024-01-10
    historical
  35. 2023-12-12
    status Active
  36. 2023-11-11
    listed $1,800
  37. 2023-11-11
    historical $1,800
  38. 2023-11-08
    listed $1,800
  39. 2023-07-17
    listed $230,000 Active
  40. 2022-12-15
    historical
  41. 2022-10-12
    historical
  42. 2022-09-08
    status Active
  43. 2022-07-25
    status Pending
  44. 2022-07-14
    listed $217,000 Active
  45. 2008-05-22
    soldstatus $95,000
  46. 2006-12-07
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,285 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,285 · $190/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,242
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,285
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,459
− Management
−$1,459
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$1,325
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$318
After-tax cash flow
$2,978/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Grove City

Score
63/100
State rank
#713
US rank
#15171

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,536
Household income
$57,281
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
329.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.76%
Current HPI
325.0345
Rent YoY
▼ -0.11%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.8% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $160,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-13 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-12-10 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-11-08 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-10-10 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-09-29 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-30 Rental Removed $1,600 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-03-30 Listed for Rent $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-30 Listed for Rent $1,600 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-03-26 Rental Removed $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Price Changed $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-31 Price Changed $1,700 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-28 Price Changed $2,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-26 Price Changed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-10 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-12 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-11 Listed for Rent $1,800 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-11-11 Rental Removed $1,800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-11-08 Listed for Rent $1,800 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-07-17 Listed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-15 Rental Removed TURBOTENANT
  • 2022-10-12 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-08 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-25 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-14 Listed $217,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,285 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…