10134 Boca Vista Dr · Boca Raton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
$850,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BOCA VISTA CENTRALLY LOCATED AT WEST BOCA. SMALL EXCLUSIVE GATED COMMUNITY. IT CLOSED TO EVERYTHING. WALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPPING. ALL A SCHOOLS. ONLY 30 HOMES IN THE COMMUNITY WITH CLUB HOUSE AND COMMUNITY POOL. LOW HOA FEE INCLUDED LAWN SERVICES & GATED. NICE SIZE BACKYARD HAS PLENTY ROOM FOR YOUR POOL. ONE BEDROOM AND FULL BATHROOM DOWNSTAIRS. WALKING LAUDRYROOM DOWNSTAIRS. GRANITE KITCHEN COUNTER TOP. GREAT LAYOUT. A MUST SEE!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Community pool
- Centrally located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (dogs and cats OK); Part of a community with 30 units
- HOA & community: Association: BOCA VISTA; Monthly HOA fee of 299; Community amenities include a pool and sidewalks; HOA covers grounds maintenance, security, trash, common areas and recreation facility
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; Driveway and guest parking; Two covered parking spaces; Two open parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors; Security system; Gated community (no guard)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two-story home; Devonshire model; Resale property; Faces north
- Construction: Stucco and concrete block (CBS) construction; Built with concrete/tile roof
- Exterior features: Fenced backyard; Concrete and tile roof; Entry on first level; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Tile
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (one on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Roman tub; Blinds and sliding window treatments; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with inside laundry closet; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $850k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-770 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $714k (16.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $605k (28.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $605k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.7% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sunrise Park Elementary School (math 80% / reading 81%, grade A+, #104 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 1,074 students, 23% FRL); Eagles Landing Middle School (math 66% / reading 67%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,508 students, 27% FRL); Olympic Heights Community High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 2,602 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 27% FRL vs 52% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $46k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($837k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $472k; list at $850k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.88%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $131,237
- Equity at exit
- $465,182
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $446,703
- Equity at exit
- $789,518
Cash invested: $238,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33498
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,047 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,457
- Tax from tax record
- −$436 /mo · $5,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA
- −$299
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,270
- Net cashflow
- $-770
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-289 | -5% $-530 | +0% $-770 | +5% $-1,011 | +10% $-1,251 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,248 | -5% $-1,009 | +0% $-770 | +5% $-531 | +10% $-293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-342 | -0.5pp $-554 | base $-770 | +0.5pp $-990 | +1.0pp $-1,215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,500
- Closing costs
- $25,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10902 Tamoron Ln Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2673 | $4,800 | $1.80 | 26d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 18474 Old Princeton Ln Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2330 | $4,800 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 19323 Carolina Cir Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $4,150 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 19323 Carolina Cir Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2301 | $3,955 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 18280 Coral Isles Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2728 | $5,500 | $2.02 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 18280 Coral Isles Dr Unit 18280 Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2728 | $5,500 | $2.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9067 Long Lake Palm Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3014 | $6,875 | $2.28 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 17358 Santaluce Mnr Boca Raton, FL | 5.0 | 6.5 | 3969 | $17,000 | $4.28 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $299 · $3,588/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $850,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $850,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $850,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $850,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $850,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $850,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $850,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $850,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $850,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $850,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $850,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $850,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $850,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $850,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$850,000 Active
-
2013-12-02historical
-
2013-09-21historical
-
2007-07-24soldstatus $472,000
-
2007-07-01soldstatus $472,000
-
2007-06-12historical
-
2007-06-05$489,000
-
2007-06-01historical
-
2007-03-03$489,000
-
2006-12-21$499,000
-
2006-07-18$525,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,238 · $436/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,055 · $588/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,817/yr (+$151/mo · 34.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,561
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,613
- − Property taxes
- −$5,238
- − Insurance
- −$4,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,805
- − Management
- −$5,805
- − HOA
- −$3,588
- − Depreciation
- −$24,727
- Taxable loss
- −$24,465
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,872
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,371/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boca Raton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #3070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 250,102
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,853
- Household income
- $146,765
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 65.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 6% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.68%
- Current HPI
- 325.4026
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+61.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $850,000 Beaches MLS
- 2013-12-02 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2013-09-21 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $472,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-01 Sold (MLS) $472,000 Beaches MLS
- 2007-06-12 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-06-05 Listed $489,000 Beaches MLS
- 2007-06-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-03-03 Listed $489,000 Beaches MLS
- 2006-12-21 Listed $499,000 Beaches MLS
- 2006-07-18 Listed $525,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,238 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…