285 Brianna · Somerset, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$239,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A small slice of Heaven! Come see this lovely, four year old, 3 bedroom Manufactured home on .89 Acres. Home has been well cared for and the lot is spectacular, with many mature trees. Experience country living while still enjoying a reasonable commute to San Antonio. Priced to sell!
Key facts
- Electric gate
- Covered entryways
- Open-concept kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: SAVANNAH HEIGHTS S/D UNIT 3
- Financial info: Down payment resources available
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Annual HOA fee of $350; Association transfer fee $200; Subdivision amenities include a park/playground
Exterior
- Parking: Street paved access
- Utilities: Septic
- Home design: Pre-owned home built by Clayton; Composition roof
- Construction: Siding exterior; Approximately 9 years old
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Privacy fence; Wire fence; Storage building / shed; Mature trees; Partially wooded, level lot; Cul-de-sac location; Paved street
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; 15 x 7 kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (12 x 15) with walk-in closet, ceiling fan and full bath; Bedroom 2 (9 x 11); Bedroom 3 (9 x 15)
- Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with separate tub and shower and double vanity (8 x 11)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Eat-in kitchen; Utility room inside; Laundry room; All window coverings remain; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Utility room (6 x 8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (10.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (26.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Somerset ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #417 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.34%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $14,768
- Equity at exit
- $102,351
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $71,516
- Equity at exit
- $153,703
Cash invested: $67,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78073
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,758 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,256
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $951/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$29
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $-142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-6 | -5% $-74 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-209 | +10% $-277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-280 | -5% $-211 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-72 | +10% $-3 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-21 | -0.5pp $-81 | base $-142 | +0.5pp $-204 | +1.0pp $-267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,875
- Closing costs
- $7,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $29 · $348/yr
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,500 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $239,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $239,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,500 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $239,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,500 Active 89 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $239,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $239,500
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2026-03-05$245,000 New
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2023-12-18soldstatus
-
2023-12-15soldstatus Sold 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
A small slice of Heaven! Come see this lovely, four year old, 3 bedroom Manufactured home on .89 Acres. Home has been well cared for and the lot is spectacular, with many mature trees. Experience country living while still enjoying a reasonable commute to San Antonio. Priced to sell!
-
2023-12-12status Pending 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
A small slice of Heaven! Come see this lovely, four year old, 3 bedroom Manufactured home on .89 Acres. Home has been well cared for and the lot is spectacular, with many mature trees. Experience country living while still enjoying a reasonable commute to San Antonio. Priced to sell!
-
2023-11-09historical Active Option 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
A small slice of Heaven! Come see this lovely, four year old, 3 bedroom Manufactured home on .89 Acres. Home has been well cared for and the lot is spectacular, with many mature trees. Experience country living while still enjoying a reasonable commute to San Antonio. Priced to sell!
-
2023-11-03$169,900 New 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
A small slice of Heaven! Come see this lovely, four year old, 3 bedroom Manufactured home on .89 Acres. Home has been well cared for and the lot is spectacular, with many mature trees. Experience country living while still enjoying a reasonable commute to San Antonio. Priced to sell!
-
2020-01-10soldstatus Sold 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
New, move-in ready, 3/2 manufactured home on just under an acre~ built-ins in liv room, open floorplan, farmhouse style kitchen sink, kitchen refrigerator, separate garden tub & separate shower in master bath, master double vanity, thermal windows, rock skirting, mature oak trees on a gently sloping lot. Comes with warranty. Ask about extra incentive for using preferred lenders.
-
2019-10-08status Pending 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
New, move-in ready, 3/2 manufactured home on just under an acre~ built-ins in liv room, open floorplan, farmhouse style kitchen sink, kitchen refrigerator, separate garden tub & separate shower in master bath, master double vanity, thermal windows, rock skirting, mature oak trees on a gently sloping lot. Comes with warranty. Ask about extra incentive for using preferred lenders.
-
2019-09-18historical Active Option 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
New, move-in ready, 3/2 manufactured home on just under an acre~ built-ins in liv room, open floorplan, farmhouse style kitchen sink, kitchen refrigerator, separate garden tub & separate shower in master bath, master double vanity, thermal windows, rock skirting, mature oak trees on a gently sloping lot. Comes with warranty. Ask about extra incentive for using preferred lenders.
-
2019-08-17$134,900 New 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
New, move-in ready, 3/2 manufactured home on just under an acre~ built-ins in liv room, open floorplan, farmhouse style kitchen sink, kitchen refrigerator, separate garden tub & separate shower in master bath, master double vanity, thermal windows, rock skirting, mature oak trees on a gently sloping lot. Comes with warranty. Ask about extra incentive for using preferred lenders.
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2017-12-21soldstatus
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2017-12-20soldstatus Sold
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2017-11-26status Pending
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2017-11-03price $39,900
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2017-08-14status Back on Market
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2017-08-08status Pending
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2017-08-04$43,900 New
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2017-05-05status Pending
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2017-05-01historical Active Option
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2017-05-01historical
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2017-04-29$29,900 New
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2014-06-17historical
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2013-08-08$105,000
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2012-12-04soldstatus
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2012-11-29historical
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2010-05-14$25,900
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2010-04-29historical
-
2010-01-22$25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $951 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,383 · $365/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,432/yr (+$286/mo · 361.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,416
- − Property taxes
- −$951
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,688
- − Management
- −$1,688
- − HOA
- −$348
- − Depreciation
- −$6,967
- Taxable loss
- −$5,955
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,429
- After-tax cash flow
- $-269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840740
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,712
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5315
- State rank
- #417 of 826 in TX
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #639
- US rank
- #12187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,510
Population outlook (Atascosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,233 people
- By 2030
- 61,729 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 71,122 · +24.3%
- By 2050
- 80,906 · +41.4%
- By 2075
- 106,134 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 122,415 · +113.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 33% White 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atascosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+10.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Current HPI
- 289.1266
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+858.0% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $239,500 LERA
- 2026-03-05 Listed $245,000 LERA
- 2023-12-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2023-12-12 Pending — LERA
- 2023-11-09 Contingent — LERA
- 2023-11-03 Listed $169,900 LERA
- 2020-01-10 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2019-10-08 Pending — LERA
- 2019-09-18 Contingent — LERA
- 2019-08-17 Listed $134,900 LERA
- 2017-12-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-12-20 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2017-11-26 Pending — LERA
- 2017-11-03 Price Changed $39,900 LERA
- 2017-08-14 Relisted — LERA
- 2017-08-08 Pending — LERA
- 2017-08-04 Listed $43,900 LERA
- 2017-05-05 Pending — LERA
- 2017-05-01 Contingent — LERA
- 2017-05-01 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2017-04-29 Listed $29,900 LERA
- 2014-06-17 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2013-08-08 Listed $105,000 LERA
- 2012-12-04 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2012-11-29 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2010-05-14 Listed $25,900 LERA
- 2010-04-29 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2010-01-22 Listed $25,000 LERA
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $951 · -64.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…