510 Ridge Rd SE #301 · Washington, DC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover a hidden gem in the heart of Fort Dupont Park, where comfort meets investment potential. This charming 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom unit offers a unique opportunity for savvy investors looking to expand their portfolio. Built in 1958, this traditional brick apartment exudes character and warmth, making it an inviting retreat for future tenants. This well-designed space maximizes functionality while providing a cozy atmosphere. The association fee covers essential services such as trash, water, sewer, lawn maintenance, and heat, ensuring minimal management hassle and predictable expenses. This makes it an attractive option for renters seeking convenience and comfort. The property is situat
Key facts
- Investment potential
- $374 HOA
- Built 1958
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property manager is present
- Financial info: Condominium ownership interest
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $374; Association managed professionally off-site; Condo fee includes water, heat, lawn maintenance, snow removal, sewer and trash; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium unit/flat; Entry level: 1; Building name: Fort Dupont Park
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Above grade and below grade structures noted; Located within city limits; Ground rent paid annually
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: No basement
- Laundry & utility: No in-unit washer/dryer or hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $80k implies a 473% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.13%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $17,544
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $71,073
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20019
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $731/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$374
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $395
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $440 | -5% $417 | +0% $395 | +5% $372 | +10% $349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $266 | -5% $330 | +0% $395 | +5% $459 | +10% $523 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $435 | -0.5pp $415 | base $395 | +0.5pp $374 | +1.0pp $353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 Burbank St SE Apt 4 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 594 | $1,235 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4332 Gorman Ter SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $2,350 | $2.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3738 D St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $1,179 | $2.17 | 8d | 12 | 0.26mi |
| 4213 Hildreth St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 832 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 300 37th St SE Unit 101 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 305 37th St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3600 Ely Pl SE Washington, DC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,598 | $2.22 | 3d | 10 | 0.47mi |
| 3516 Ely Pl SE Unit 4 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 301 Anacostia Rd SE Unit 2 BEDROOM Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,300 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 319 Anacostia Rd SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,035 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4040 E Capitol St NE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 716 | $1,403 | $1.96 | 8d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4473 B St SE #304 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,999 | $2.58 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4427 A St SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,900 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4805 Texas Ave SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,166 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4701 Benning Rd SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4110 Ames St NE #14 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3539 A St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,123 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4732 Benning Rd SE #102 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 581 | $1,150 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3427 B St SE Unit 4 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 558 | $1,300 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4511 B St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,500 | $2.22 | 25d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 4020 Blaine St NE Washington, DC | — | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3315 Dubois Pl SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4820 C St SE #304 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $1,600 | $2.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3313 C St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,245 | $1.66 | 2d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 324 Saint Louis St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,750 | $2.73 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4615 Central Ave NE Unit B Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4236 Benning Rd NE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4236 Benning Rd NE Unit 302 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,195 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3217 Dubois Pl SE Unit 2 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 165 35th St NE Unit 3 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,625 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 165 35th St NE Unit 2 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 134 35th St NE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 832 | $2,275 | $2.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 229 43rd Rd NE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 195 35th St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,800 | $2.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 212 36th St NE #1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,550 | $3.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4601 Blaine St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5005 D St SE #104 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,700 | $2.20 | 6d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4348 Southern Ave SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,300 | $3.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4348 Southern Ave SE Unit Radiance Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,200 | $4.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 21 Randle Cir SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,477 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $374 · $4,488/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$79,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $731 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $731 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$731
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − HOA
- −$4,488
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,934
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$944
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,790/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,380
- Household income
- $58,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5115.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.91%
- Current HPI
- 326.4481
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
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| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+473.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $79,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 1968-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $13,950 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $731 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…