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412 S Court St Fourplex
D- Composite 38.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$515,000

412 S Court St · Seymour, MO 65746
12 bd · 0.0 ba · 4,150 sqft · MultiFamily · 337 Days on market
Built 2023 0.41 ac lot Est $515k · at est. ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity: Like New Four-Plex Unit!This is your chance to own a stunning four-plex unit, with more than 4,000 square feet of living space, all under one roof. Each of the four units features:- Spacious Layout: Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, approximately 1,050 square feet of living space, and a full bath, providing ample room for families or roommates. - Modern Design: Enjoy a large open living area and kitchen equipped with bar seating, perfect for entertaining or casual dining. All appliances convey!- Stylish Finishes: The units are adorned with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, complemented by dark gray cabinets and stainless steel appliances, creating a contemporary and

Key facts

  • Four plex unit
  • Open living area
  • Dark gray cabinets

Tags

FOUR PLEX UNITOPEN LIVING AREABAR SEATINGLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGDARK GRAY CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $515k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-698 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-174/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $414k (19.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $362k (29.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $362k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.0% in Seymour — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#374 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Seymour R-II (rural): math 28% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #218 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Seymour Elem. (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 309 students, 40% FRL); Seymour Middle (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #272 of 391 statewide, top 70%, 166 students, 35% FRL); Seymour High (math 57% / reading 34%, grade D-, #174 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 240 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 58% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 168 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $53k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $49k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Webster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$85k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($453k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $362,200 (29.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.81%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$514,600
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
412 S Court St 0.00mi 12/— 4,150 (0%) 1mo $515,000 $124 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$219,828
Equity at exit
$446,640
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
5.71×
Total profit
$678,463
Equity at exit
$945,349

Cash invested: $144,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65746

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
47.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,622 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,701
Tax est. 1.5%
$644 /mo · $7,725/yr
Insurance
$215
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$761
Net cashflow
$-698

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,505
Max offer price $414,046
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-342 -5% $-520 +0% $-698 +5% $-876 +10% $-1,054
Rent -10% $-984 -5% $-841 +0% $-698 +5% $-555 +10% $-412
Rate -1.0pp $-438 -0.5pp $-567 base $-698 +0.5pp $-831 +1.0pp $-967

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,622

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$128,750
Closing costs
$15,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    price $515,000
  3. 2025-11-01
    status Active
  4. 2025-08-19
    price $500,000
  5. 2025-07-01
    price $525,000
  6. 2025-04-14
    listed $549,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,464
− Mortgage interest
−$28,848
− Property taxes
−$7,725
− Insurance
−$2,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,477
− Management
−$3,477
− Depreciation
−$14,982
Taxable loss
−$17,620
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,229
After-tax cash flow
$-4,143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seymour R-II
NCES district ID
2927930
Math proficiency
28% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$38,134
Composite
29.57/100
National rank
#6485
State rank
#218 of 324 in MO

Livability — Seymour

Score
62/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#16499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seymour, MO
Population (ZIP)
8,302

Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,400 people
By 2030
40,125 · +1.8%
By 2040
41,169 · +4.5%
By 2050
41,286 · +4.8%
By 2075
40,104 · +1.8%
By 2100
33,683 · -14.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Portuguese 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · German/W. Germanic 23% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Webster

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.2) · D 18.4% · R 80.7%
2008→2024 swing
-33.2pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -62.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.2 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+40.8 2008: R+29.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.54%
Current HPI
272.7643
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $515,000 SOMO
  • 2025-11-01 Relisted SOMO
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $500,000 SOMO
  • 2025-07-01 Price Changed $525,000 SOMO
  • 2025-04-14 Listed $549,900 SOMO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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