Fourplex
412 S Court St · Seymour, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$515,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity: Like New Four-Plex Unit!This is your chance to own a stunning four-plex unit, with more than 4,000 square feet of living space, all under one roof. Each of the four units features:- Spacious Layout: Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, approximately 1,050 square feet of living space, and a full bath, providing ample room for families or roommates. - Modern Design: Enjoy a large open living area and kitchen equipped with bar seating, perfect for entertaining or casual dining. All appliances convey!- Stylish Finishes: The units are adorned with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, complemented by dark gray cabinets and stainless steel appliances, creating a contemporary and
Key facts
- Four plex unit
- Open living area
- Dark gray cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $515k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-698 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-174/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $414k (19.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $362k (29.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $362k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.0% in Seymour — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#374 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Seymour R-II (rural): math 28% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #218 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Seymour Elem. (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 309 students, 40% FRL); Seymour Middle (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #272 of 391 statewide, top 70%, 166 students, 35% FRL); Seymour High (math 57% / reading 34%, grade D-, #174 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 240 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 58% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 168 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $53k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $49k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Webster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$85k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($453k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.81%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $514,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 S Court St | 0.00mi | 12/— | 4,150 (0%) | 1mo | $515,000 | $124 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $219,828
- Equity at exit
- $446,640
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.71×
- Total profit
- $678,463
- Equity at exit
- $945,349
Cash invested: $144,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65746
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 47.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,622 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,701
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$644 /mo · $7,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$215
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$761
- Net cashflow
- $-698
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-342 | -5% $-520 | +0% $-698 | +5% $-876 | +10% $-1,054 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-984 | -5% $-841 | +0% $-698 | +5% $-555 | +10% $-412 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-438 | -0.5pp $-567 | base $-698 | +0.5pp $-831 | +1.0pp $-967 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | — | $3,624 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $906 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $906 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $906 |
| #4 | 3 | — | $906 |
| Total (4 units) | $3,622 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $128,750
- Closing costs
- $15,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-22price $515,000
-
2025-11-01status Active
-
2025-08-19price $500,000
-
2025-07-01price $525,000
-
2025-04-14$549,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,848
- − Property taxes
- −$7,725
- − Insurance
- −$2,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,477
- − Management
- −$3,477
- − Depreciation
- −$14,982
- Taxable loss
- −$17,620
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,229
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seymour R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2927930
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,134
- Composite
- 29.57/100
- National rank
- #6485
- State rank
- #218 of 324 in MO
Livability — Seymour
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #16499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seymour, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,302
Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,400 people
- By 2030
- 40,125 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 41,169 · +4.5%
- By 2050
- 41,286 · +4.8%
- By 2075
- 40,104 · +1.8%
- By 2100
- 33,683 · -14.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Portuguese 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · German/W. Germanic 23% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Webster
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.2) · D 18.4% · R 80.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.2pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -62.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.2 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+40.8 2008: R+29.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.54%
- Current HPI
- 272.7643
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
-6.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $515,000 SOMO
- 2025-11-01 Relisted — SOMO
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $500,000 SOMO
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $525,000 SOMO
- 2025-04-14 Listed $549,900 SOMO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…