26 Ebenezer Church Rd · Swainsboro, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
Key facts
- Large lot
- Large kitchen
- Own well
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Private water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Phone available; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One level; Resale property
- Construction: Built in 2022; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Level, open lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Double vanity; Separate shower; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Mud room; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($380/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.2% in Swainsboro — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#450 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Emanuel County (town): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #110 of 174 in GA (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Swainsboro Middle School (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #333 of 470 statewide, top 72%, 647 students, 98% FRL); Swainsboro High School (math 21% / reading 22%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 810 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 76 units permitted in Emanuel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Emanuel County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.82%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $293,984
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -43.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-24,733
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-18,985
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30401
- Home prices YoY
- -11.8%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,855/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-18statusdays on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Price Change 37 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Price Change 36 DOM
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2026-06-16pricestatus $165,000 Price Change 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $175,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-09$175,000 New 165-char remark
-
2024-09-05soldstatus $190,000 Sold 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-07-21status Under Contract 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-07-09price $187,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-05-16price $189,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-04-22status Price Change 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-04-22price $194,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-04-11historical 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-03-21price $199,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-02-27price $204,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-01-26price $205,500 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2024-01-02price $207,500 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2023-11-10price $209,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
-
2023-10-11$219,900 New 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Brand new 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home on over an acre in Emanuel county! With over 1,700 square feet this home is perfect for anyone who needs space! Located only 10 minutes away from Swainsboro, this home is in a great location!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,855 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,855 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,855
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,361
- − Management
- −$1,361
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$2,429
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$583
- After-tax cash flow
- $962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Emanuel County
- NCES district ID
- 1302040
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,771
- Composite
- 23.21/100
- National rank
- #7941
- State rank
- #110 of 174 in GA
Livability — Swainsboro
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #450
- US rank
- #21414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 14,232
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,232
Population outlook (Emanuel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,093 people
- By 2030
- 21,595 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 20,343 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 18,759 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 14,327 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 8,496 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Emanuel
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+24.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.97%
- Current HPI
- 209.5498
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $165,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2024-09-05 Sold (MLS) $190,000 GAMLS
- 2024-07-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-07-09 Price Changed $187,900 GAMLS
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $189,900 GAMLS
- 2024-04-22 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2024-04-22 Price Changed $194,900 GAMLS
- 2024-04-11 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-03-21 Price Changed $199,900 GAMLS
- 2024-02-27 Price Changed $204,900 GAMLS
- 2024-01-26 Price Changed $205,500 GAMLS
- 2024-01-02 Price Changed $207,500 GAMLS
- 2023-11-10 Price Changed $209,900 GAMLS
- 2023-10-11 Listed $219,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+1597.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,855 · +1597.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…