4030 Lemay St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
Key facts
- Solid bones
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1917
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,703/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $338 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 89.35%
- DSCR
- 4.98
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,307
- List price
- $48,990
- Delta
- -2.62%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3893 Beniteau St | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 1,622 (+4%) | 17mo | $64,500 | $40 | 67 |
| 4688 French Rd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,458 (-7%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $117 | 65 |
| 4780 Hurlbut St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,489 (-5%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $104 | 64 |
| 2931 Garland St | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 | 1,558 (-0%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $138 | 61 |
| 2918 Garland St | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 | 1,546 (-1%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 4791 Saint Clair St | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 | 1,494 (-4%) | 17mo | $30,000 | $20 | 57 |
| 4735 Garland St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,528 (-2%) | 19mo | $12,500 | $8 | 55 |
| 3054 Cadillac Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,554 (-1%) | 11mo | $159,000 | $102 | 51 |
| 2991 Garland St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,755 (+12%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $71 | 47 |
| 5137 Saint Clair St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+10%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $17 | 45 |
| 4829 Hurlbut St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,700 (+9%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $94 | 42 |
| 5113 Bewick St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-12%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $44 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 90.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.17×
- Total profit
- $57,133
- Equity at exit
- $7,305
- IRR
- 93.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.74×
- Total profit
- $133,587
- Equity at exit
- $4,236
Cash invested: $13,717 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48214
- Active inventory
- 298
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,703 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $1,021
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,248
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4487 French Rd Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4667 Beniteau St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5342 Cooper St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8843 E Canfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4169 Burns St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1326 | $2,300 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5858 Seneca St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1348 | $999 | $0.74 | 18d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4811 Seyburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,037 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,990 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,990 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,990 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,990 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,990 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,990 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,990 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,990 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $48,990 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,990 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,990 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,990 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $48,990 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-04-14price $48,990 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-04-14price $48,990
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-02-28price $63,990 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-02-27price $63,990 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-02-27price $63,990
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-01-16$89,000 Active 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-01-15$89,000 Active 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
-
2026-01-15$89,000 Active
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
Step into the charm and potential of this classic 1917 Detroit bungalow, offering just over 1,500 square feet of living space on a . 09-acre lot, plus an adjacent vacant . 09-acre parcel included in the sale. This property presents a rare opportunity to restore and reimagine a piece of Detroit history while benefiting from additional land next door. The home features the solid bones and timeless character typical of early 20th-century construction, with a layout that provides ample space for renovation and customization. With the right vision and updates, this bungalow can be transformed into a standout residence or investment property. The included vacant lot offers endless possibilities--expand outdoor living space, create a garden, build an additional structure (buyer to verify), or hold for future development. This property is ideal for investors, renovators, or owner-occupants looking to bring a home to its full potential.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $658 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 17.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,744
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,635
- − Management
- −$1,635
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $12,192
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,926
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,331/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,595
- Household income
- $33,544
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1364.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 16% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -367.43%
- Current HPI
- 102.0969
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-45.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $48,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $48,990 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $48,990 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $63,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $63,990 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $63,990 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $89,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-15 Listed $89,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $562 · -35.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…