403 W French St · Cuero, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home situated on a spacious corner lot! Completely renovated and fully updated, this light-filled gem features brand-new windows throughout that flood the interior with natural sunlight. The open concept living, dining, and kitchen area creates a warm and inviting space perfect for entertaining family and friends. The stunning kitchen boasts brand-new cabinets, beautiful wood block countertops, and modern stainless steel appliances. Two generously sized bedrooms and a full bathroom provide comfortable living, while the convenient utility room offers ample storage and space for a washer/dryer plus room for a freezer or extra refrigerator. Outside, the large corner lot showcases mature trees and fresh new landscaping, highlighted by a delightful micro-orchard in the front yard. Move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch, don't miss out on this opportunity! Schedule your private tour today!
Key facts
- Utility room
- Brand new windows
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.1% in Cuero — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#617 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Cuero ISD (town): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #454 of 826 in TX (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9 units permitted in DeWitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeWitt County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.51%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,178
- List price
- $174,999
- Delta
- 6.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Keller St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,240 (+2%) | 0mo | $119,000 | $96 | 55 |
| 506 Second St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,218 (0%) | 6mo | $154,500 | $127 | 55 |
| 110 Weldon St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,112 (-9%) | 6mo | $32,526 | $29 | 52 |
| 507 King St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (+12%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $26 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-16,596
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $805
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77954
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,791 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$240 /mo · $2,879/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $283 | -5% $234 | +0% $184 | +5% $135 | +10% $85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $113 | +0% $184 | +5% $255 | +10% $325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $272 | -0.5pp $229 | base $184 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 921 E Courthouse St Cuero, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 909 2nd St Cuero, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,999 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,999 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,999 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,999 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,999 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,999 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-26$185,000 Active 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home situated on a spacious corner lot! Completely renovated and fully updated, this light-filled gem features brand-new windows throughout that flood the interior with natural sunlight. The open concept living, dining, and kitchen area creates a warm and inviting space perfect for entertaining family and friends. The stunning kitchen boasts brand-new cabinets, beautiful wood block countertops, and modern stainless steel appliances. Two generously sized bedrooms and a full bathroom provide comfortable living, while the convenient utility room offers ample storage and space for a washer/dryer plus room for a freezer or extra refrigerator. Outside, the large corner lot showcases mature trees and fresh new landscaping, highlighted by a delightful micro-orchard in the front yard. Move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch, don't miss out on this opportunity! Schedule your private tour today!
-
2020-09-22soldstatus
-
2019-05-21historical
-
2018-11-21$13,900 Active
-
2011-10-06soldstatus
-
2006-10-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,879 · $240/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- +$324/yr (+$27/mo · 11.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,487
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,879
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,719
- − Management
- −$1,719
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$598
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cuero ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815960
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,956
- Composite
- 32.52/100
- National rank
- #5700
- State rank
- #454 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cuero
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #617
- US rank
- #11713
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cuero, TX
- City population
- 11,007
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,007
Population outlook (DeWitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,271 people
- By 2030
- 22,953 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 24,396 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 25,921 · +16.4%
- By 2075
- 29,672 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 29,516 · +32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · DeWitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.0) · D 16.2% · R 83.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.0 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+63.8 2012: R+55.1 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.54%
- Current HPI
- 171.7238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+1230.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $185,000 CTXMLS
- 2020-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-05-21 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2018-11-21 Listed $13,900 CTXMLS
- 2011-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+25.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,879 · +71.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…