1943 Nc Highway 561 E · Harrellsville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to peaceful country living in Cofield! This well-maintained 2006 single-wide home sits on a spacious 0.51-acre lot and is in excellent condition, offering comfort, accessibility, and value. Enjoy relaxing mornings or quiet evenings on the screened-in front porch, perfect for taking in the serene surroundings. The home features a durable metal roof for long-term peace of mind and a convenient access ramp, making entry easy and accommodating for all. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this property delivers affordable living with room to breathe. Don't miss your chance to own a move-in ready home in a quiet rural setting!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- 0.51-acre lot
- Access ramp
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: RA-30; Lot is approximately 0.51 acres with road frontage on city street and state road
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); Single-story / one level; Entry at main level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built on a single level (no basement)
- Exterior features: Front porch with screened area; No additional exterior features listed; No pool; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Furnishing negotiable; Accessible approach with ramp; Screened front porch; Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#122 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Hertford County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #171 of 178 in NC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ahoskie Elementary (math 12% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,269 of 1,410 statewide, top 91%, 228 students, 99% FRL); Hertford County Middle (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #455 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 536 students, 99% FRL); Hertford County High (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #518 of 535 statewide, top 97%, 573 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Hertford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hertford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.05%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $29,914
- Equity at exit
- $31,025
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $76,270
- Equity at exit
- $47,814
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27922
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,033 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $387 | -5% $363 | +0% $339 | +5% $315 | +10% $291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $257 | -5% $298 | +0% $339 | +5% $380 | +10% $420 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $374 | -0.5pp $356 | base $339 | +0.5pp $321 | +1.0pp $303 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-29$69,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$991
- − Management
- −$991
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $3,156
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$758
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hertford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702160
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,467
- Composite
- 16.29/100
- National rank
- #9213
- State rank
- #171 of 178 in NC
Livability — Harrellsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #7395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 727
Population outlook (Hertford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,401 people
- By 2030
- 22,708 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 21,227 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 19,942 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 17,844 · -23.7%
- By 2100
- 15,148 · -35.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 29% Two or more races 18% Native American 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scottish 4%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hertford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.8) · D 63.0% · R 36.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.8 2020: D+34.0 2016: D+37.7 2012: D+44.3 2008: D+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $69,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $125 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…