🏷️ Likely Rental
2933 Castle Rock Blvd · Richland, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,695
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 280937 FURNISHED 3 Bed/2 Bath House in South RichlandApplications and Viewing Requests accepted from OUR WEBSITE ONLY: FULLY FURNISHED:1,560 sqft rambler with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in RichlandInterior: * Large open-concept living area * Lots of natural light * Stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar, pantry, & tiled backsplash in kitchen * Large primary bedroom with walk-in closet and attached bath with a dual vanity * 2 other bedrooms & 1 bathroom located away from primary bedroom * Laundry room with provided washer & dryer * Instant hot water tankExterior: * 2-car attached garage * Fully fenced back yard * Concrete patio in backAdditional Lease Information: * Short term lease options available, minimum 3 months * No pets * Property is fully furnished with kitchen items, bathroom items, linens, furniture, etc. * Wifi is provided * Landscaping is providedDeposit & Fees Include:$2,016 Refundable Deposit$389 Inspection Fee$190 Non-refundable Carpet Care FeeAmenities: Landscaping Included
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Pantry
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces total; Two covered spaces; Two-car garage
- Home design: Single-family residence, site-built on owned lot; One-story (single level); New construction
- Construction: Built as new construction
- Exterior features: Lot is approximately 6,534 square feet (0.15 acres); Located in the Cottages at Clearwater Creek subdivision; Zoned for single-family residential
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $3k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $3k).
- Recommended offer: $3k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 799.1% vs local median 2.8% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#112 in WA, #2,258 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Kennewick School District (urban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #141 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 544 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $81 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $755 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($3k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 84.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 799.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2831.44%
- DSCR
- 126.98
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $443,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2975 Bellerive Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,574 (+1%) | 10mo | $425,000 | $270 | 83 |
| 2923 Woodland Pl | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+0%) | 9mo | $445,000 | $284 | 82 |
| 521 Marysville Way | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-10%) | 2mo | $409,000 | $290 | 79 |
| 287 Wishkah Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-10%) | 6mo | $399,900 | $284 | 75 |
| 2963 Bellerive Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-10%) | 10mo | $418,000 | $297 | 69 |
| 8915 W Deschutes Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-2%) | 0mo | $390,000 | $254 | 67 |
| 10514 Clearwater Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,731 (+11%) | 2mo | $432,850 | $250 | 67 |
| 2952 Milton Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,743 (+12%) | 11mo | $428,000 | $246 | 65 |
| 9341 W 9th Pl | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-10%) | 1mo | $375,200 | $266 | 56 |
| 8819 W Deschutes Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (-6%) | 5mo | $370,000 | $252 | 55 |
| 705 S Texas St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-10%) | 9mo | $415,000 | $294 | 50 |
| 8826 W Bruneau Pl | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 3mo | $429,000 | $319 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 146.55×
- Total profit
- $109,835
- Equity at exit
- $402
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 304.71×
- Total profit
- $229,182
- Equity at exit
- $233
Cash invested: $755 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99352
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 544
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,277 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$14
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$3 /mo · $40/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $1,781
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $674
- Closing costs
- $81
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 867 S Zeelar St Kennewick, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1968 | $2,495 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 883 S Zeelar St Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1735 | $2,395 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8831 W Entiat Ave Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8180 W 4th Ave Kennewick, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $2,299 | $1.91 | 14d | 4 | 1.10mi |
| 10251 Ridgeline Dr Kennewick, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,739 | $1.93 | 14d | 27 | 1.11mi |
| 1080 N Montana St Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 725 N Center Pkwy Kennewick, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1086 | $2,195 | $2.02 | 14d | 9 | 1.17mi |
| 7803 W Deschutes Ave Kennewick, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,010 | $2.17 | 14d | 13 | 1.28mi |
| 7968 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $2,200 | $2.31 | 14d | 10 | 1.36mi |
| 250 Gage Blvd Richland, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $2,080 | $2.06 | 14d | 10 | 1.40mi |
| 7960 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $2,345 | $2.48 | 14d | 9 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,695 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,695 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,695 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,695 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $2,695 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,695 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $2,695 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,695 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,695 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,695 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $2,695 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,695 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$2,695 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$151
- − Property taxes
- −$40
- − Insurance
- −$13
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,186
- − Management
- −$2,186
- − Depreciation
- −$78
- Taxable income
- $22,673
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,441
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kennewick School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303930
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,191
- Composite
- 45.56/100
- National rank
- #5667
- State rank
- #141 of 291 in WA
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #2258
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richland, WA
- County
- Benton County · 186,895 people
- City population
- 62,989
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,430
- Household income
- $100,108
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 983.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,421 people
- By 2030
- 233,813 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 262,134 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 290,100 · +32.2%
- By 2075
- 363,525 · +65.7%
- By 2100
- 418,667 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -323.81%
- Current HPI
- 217.3435
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-99.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $2,695 PACMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed for Rent $2,695 APPFOLIO
- 2025-02-03 Sold (MLS) $2,495 PACMLS
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $2,595 PACMLS
- 2025-01-06 Listed $2,495 PACMLS
- 2024-05-28 Sold (MLS) $445,000 PACMLS
- 2024-04-17 Contingent — PACMLS
- 2024-04-12 Listed $449,500 PACMLS
- 2020-03-12 Sold (MLS) $310,517 PACMLS
- 2019-10-05 Listed $310,517 PACMLS
Property tax history
+31.0%/yrLatest (2026): $3,331 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…