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2933 Castle Rock Blvd 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,695

2933 Castle Rock Blvd · Richland, WA 99352
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2020 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MLS# 280937 FURNISHED 3 Bed/2 Bath House in South RichlandApplications and Viewing Requests accepted from OUR WEBSITE ONLY: FULLY FURNISHED:1,560 sqft rambler with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths in RichlandInterior: * Large open-concept living area * Lots of natural light * Stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar, pantry, & tiled backsplash in kitchen * Large primary bedroom with walk-in closet and attached bath with a dual vanity * 2 other bedrooms & 1 bathroom located away from primary bedroom * Laundry room with provided washer & dryer * Instant hot water tankExterior: * 2-car attached garage * Fully fenced back yard * Concrete patio in backAdditional Lease Information: * Short term lease options available, minimum 3 months * No pets * Property is fully furnished with kitchen items, bathroom items, linens, furniture, etc. * Wifi is provided * Landscaping is providedDeposit & Fees Include:$2,016 Refundable Deposit$389 Inspection Fee$190 Non-refundable Carpet Care FeeAmenities: Landscaping Included

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Pantry
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

MOVE-IN READYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBREAKFAST BARPANTRYWALK-IN CLOSETLAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces total; Two covered spaces; Two-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence, site-built on owned lot; One-story (single level); New construction
  • Construction: Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Lot is approximately 6,534 square feet (0.15 acres); Located in the Cottages at Clearwater Creek subdivision; Zoned for single-family residential

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $2,695 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$443,040) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $3k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $3k).
  • Recommended offer: $3k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 799.1% vs local median 2.8% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#112 in WA, #2,258 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Kennewick School District (urban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #141 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 544 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $81 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $755 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($3k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,654 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
84.50%
Cap rate
799.10%
Cash-on-cash
2831.44%
DSCR
126.98
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$443,040
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2975 Bellerive Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,574 (+1%) 10mo $425,000 $270 83
2923 Woodland Pl 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+0%) 9mo $445,000 $284 82
521 Marysville Way 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-10%) 2mo $409,000 $290 79
287 Wishkah Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-10%) 6mo $399,900 $284 75
2963 Bellerive Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-10%) 10mo $418,000 $297 69
8915 W Deschutes Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,535 (-2%) 0mo $390,000 $254 67
10514 Clearwater Dr 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,731 (+11%) 2mo $432,850 $250 67
2952 Milton Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,743 (+12%) 11mo $428,000 $246 65
9341 W 9th Pl 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,412 (-10%) 1mo $375,200 $266 56
8819 W Deschutes Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,466 (-6%) 5mo $370,000 $252 55
705 S Texas St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,412 (-10%) 9mo $415,000 $294 50
8826 W Bruneau Pl 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-14%) 3mo $429,000 $319 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
146.55×
Total profit
$109,835
Equity at exit
$402
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
304.71×
Total profit
$229,182
Equity at exit
$233

Cash invested: $755 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99352

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
544
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,277 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$14
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $40/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$478
Net cashflow
$1,781

Break-even live

Break-even rent $24
Max offer price $2,695
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$674
Closing costs
$81
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
867 S Zeelar St Kennewick, WA 4.0 2.5 1968 $2,495 $1.27 44d 1 0.47mi
883 S Zeelar St Kennewick, WA 3.0 2.5 1735 $2,395 $1.38 44d 1 0.48mi
8831 W Entiat Ave Kennewick, WA 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,995 $1.62 44d 1 0.71mi
8180 W 4th Ave Kennewick, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1202 $2,299 $1.91 14d 4 1.10mi
10251 Ridgeline Dr Kennewick, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,739 $1.93 14d 27 1.11mi
1080 N Montana St Kennewick, WA 3.0 2.0 1842 $2,600 $1.41 44d 1 1.14mi
725 N Center Pkwy Kennewick, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1086 $2,195 $2.02 14d 9 1.17mi
7803 W Deschutes Ave Kennewick, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,010 $2.17 14d 13 1.28mi
7968 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 951 $2,200 $2.31 14d 10 1.36mi
250 Gage Blvd Richland, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1012 $2,080 $2.06 14d 10 1.40mi
7960 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 946 $2,345 $2.48 14d 9 1.46mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,695 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,695 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,695 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,695 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $2,695 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,695 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $2,695 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,695 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,695 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,695 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $2,695 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,695 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $2,695 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,329
− Mortgage interest
−$151
− Property taxes
−$40
− Insurance
−$13
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,186
− Management
−$2,186
− Depreciation
−$78
Taxable income
$22,673
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,441
After-tax cash flow
$15,925/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kennewick School District
NCES district ID
5303930
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,191
Composite
45.56/100
National rank
#5667
State rank
#141 of 291 in WA

Livability — Richland

Score
79/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#2258

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime C+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richland, WA
County
Benton County · 186,895 people
City population
62,989
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,430
Household income
$100,108
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
983.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
219,421 people
By 2030
233,813 · +6.6%
By 2040
262,134 · +19.5%
By 2050
290,100 · +32.2%
By 2075
363,525 · +65.7%
By 2100
418,667 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -323.81%
Current HPI
217.3435
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $2,695 PACMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed for Rent $2,695 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-02-03 Sold (MLS) $2,495 PACMLS
  • 2025-01-14 Price Changed $2,595 PACMLS
  • 2025-01-06 Listed $2,495 PACMLS
  • 2024-05-28 Sold (MLS) $445,000 PACMLS
  • 2024-04-17 Contingent PACMLS
  • 2024-04-12 Listed $449,500 PACMLS
  • 2020-03-12 Sold (MLS) $310,517 PACMLS
  • 2019-10-05 Listed $310,517 PACMLS

Property tax history

+31.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,331 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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