🏷️ Likely Rental
102 Elaine Dr · New Cordell, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$37,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This adorable home is a 3 bedroom 1 bath. It has been a great rental and has a tenant in place. Home has central heat and air and a fenced yard. Located in a great quiet neighborhood. Schedule your viewing now to get into this home. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Must have at least 24 hour notice for showings. Property goes with MLS#1002954
Key facts
- 6,820 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($961 rent vs $38k).
- Cap rate 22.1% vs local median 6.6% in New Cordell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#335 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Cordell (town): math 37% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #33 of 270 in OK (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Washita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washita County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.55%
- DSCR
- 3.52
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,624
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 E 1st St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 4mo | $71,000 | $70 | 78 |
| 119 Elaine Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,110 (+13%) | 4mo | $113,500 | $102 | 68 |
| 220 N Symcox St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+12%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $86 | 66 |
| 307 N Symcox St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-12%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $93 | 57 |
| 318 N College St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+0%) | 18mo | $43,000 | $44 | 54 |
| 412 N College St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 931 (-5%) | 12mo | $58,800 | $63 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $25,725
- Equity at exit
- $5,651
- IRR
- 60.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.98×
- Total profit
- $63,470
- Equity at exit
- $3,277
Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73632
- Home prices YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $961 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$199
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $538/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,475
- Closing costs
- $1,137
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-08historical
-
2026-04-03price $37,900
-
2026-03-23price $44,500
-
2026-03-06price $49,000
-
2026-02-27price $52,000
-
2025-12-19price $59,900
-
2025-12-02price $65,000
-
2025-10-31$37,900
-
2022-09-06soldstatus $55,000
-
2022-09-02soldstatus $55,000 Sold 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
This adorable home is a 3 bedroom 1 bath. It has been a great rental and has a tenant in place. Home has central heat and air and a fenced yard. Located in a great quiet neighborhood. Schedule your viewing now to get into this home. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Must have at least 24 hour notice for showings. Property goes with MLS#1002954
-
2022-08-10status Pending 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
This adorable home is a 3 bedroom 1 bath. It has been a great rental and has a tenant in place. Home has central heat and air and a fenced yard. Located in a great quiet neighborhood. Schedule your viewing now to get into this home. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Must have at least 24 hour notice for showings. Property goes with MLS#1002954
-
2022-08-01price $59,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
This adorable home is a 3 bedroom 1 bath. It has been a great rental and has a tenant in place. Home has central heat and air and a fenced yard. Located in a great quiet neighborhood. Schedule your viewing now to get into this home. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Must have at least 24 hour notice for showings. Property goes with MLS#1002954
-
2022-08-01price $55,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
This adorable home is a 3 bedroom 1 bath. It has been a great rental and has a tenant in place. Home has central heat and air and a fenced yard. Located in a great quiet neighborhood. Schedule your viewing now to get into this home. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Must have at least 24 hour notice for showings. Property goes with MLS#1002954
-
2022-04-07$60,000 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
This adorable home is a 3 bedroom 1 bath. It has been a great rental and has a tenant in place. Home has central heat and air and a fenced yard. Located in a great quiet neighborhood. Schedule your viewing now to get into this home. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Must have at least 24 hour notice for showings. Property goes with MLS#1002954
-
2015-10-26soldstatus $75,000
-
2007-08-31soldstatus $40,000
-
2007-08-30soldstatus $40,000
-
2007-04-20$45,000
-
1999-06-08soldstatus $29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $538 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $538 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,123
- − Property taxes
- −$538
- − Insurance
- −$190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$923
- − Management
- −$923
- − Depreciation
- −$1,103
- Taxable income
- $5,738
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,624/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cordell
- NCES district ID
- 4008640
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,294
- Composite
- 30.21/100
- National rank
- #6304
- State rank
- #33 of 270 in OK
Livability — New Cordell
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #335
- US rank
- #18607
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Cordell, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,041
Population outlook (Washita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,143 people
- By 2030
- 12,276 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 12,522 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 12,740 · +4.9%
- By 2075
- 13,198 · +8.7%
- By 2100
- 13,189 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Washita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.8) · D 11.8% · R 86.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.9pp · 2024: -74.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.8 2020: R+73.0 2016: R+70.5 2012: R+61.8 2008: R+55.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.38%
- Current HPI
- 203.69
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+28.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Delisted — SBOR
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $37,900 SBOR
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $44,500 SBOR
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $49,000 SBOR
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $52,000 SBOR
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $59,900 SBOR
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $65,000 SBOR
- 2025-10-31 Listed $37,900 SBOR
- 2022-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MLSOK
- 2022-08-10 Pending — MLSOK
- 2022-08-01 Price Changed $59,000 MLSOK
- 2022-08-01 Price Changed $55,000 MLSOK
- 2022-04-07 Listed $60,000 MLSOK
- 2015-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2007-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2007-08-30 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLSOK
- 2007-04-20 Listed $45,000 MLSOK
- 1999-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $538 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…