2659 Overhill Loop · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home nestled on a generous 0.7-acre lot in the heart of McLeansville! Offering 1,250 square feet of comfortable living space, this home features an attached garage and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood with easy access to I-40/85, shopping, dining, and just minutes from Greensboro. This is an affordable opportunity to own a home on a large lot in Guilford County, don't miss out! Schedule your showing today! Equitable interest / assignment of contract. Seller does not hold title. Sale subject to underlying agreement. Buyer to perform due diligence. Contact listing agent for detai
Key facts
- 0.7-acre lot
- Outdoor space
- 0.7 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Garage; Detached carport; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Well water supply; Septic sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Built in 1992; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Well water; Septic tank; Publicly maintained road; Lot approximately 0.7 acres; No pool; Subdivision: Oakdale Heights; Directions: From I-40 / I-85 take Exit 138 for NC-61 / Mount Hope Church Road in the McLeansville area; head north, turn right onto Millstream Road, continue then turn right onto Overhill Loop
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (9.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (31.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $225k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.24%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $114,890
- Equity at exit
- $202,608
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.46×
- Total profit
- $343,983
- Equity at exit
- $436,931
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27301
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,532 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $656/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $10 | -5% $-54 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-181 | +10% $-245 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-238 | -5% $-178 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-57 | +10% $4 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-4 | -0.5pp $-60 | base $-117 | +0.5pp $-176 | +1.0pp $-235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$224,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,844 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,188/yr (+$99/mo · 181.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$656
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,471
- − Management
- −$1,471
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$5,478
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,315
- After-tax cash flow
- $-95/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 329,421
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,897
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 32% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.75%
- Current HPI
- 310.08
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+899.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $224,900 Triad MLS
- 1989-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $656 · +17.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…