24102 Greenland Rd Unit D12 · Elysian, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Want seasonal living by the lake? Check out this 3-bedroom 2-bathroom home located in The Sakatah Trail Resort. The home is a 16x66 Friendship manufacture home built in 1998. The sellers had a professional install good foundation piers. They had a new metal roof installed in 2023 and also added a 12x22 addition off the back. It also has a 16'x10' deck in the front for those afternoons to sit and enjoy the outside. They have remodeled the bathrooms; put new oak cabinets in the kitchen and new flooring throughout and added a Culligan Iron Curtain water softener. If you are looking for seasonal living, this may be the home for you.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Oak cabinets
- Water softener
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private road frontage
- HOA & community: Sakatah Trail Resort association; Annual association fee of $2,500 (includes water and sewer); Association amenities include deck
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Shared water system; Shared septic; Electric with circuit breakers; Propane fuel
- Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home; One level
- Construction: Frame construction; Roof replaced or installed within last 8 years; Built on foundation with 1,320 foundation area
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; Storage shed; Lake view (shared waterfront); road between home and waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Bedroom dimensions include 14×10, 11×8, and 9×9; Bonus room on main level
- Bathrooms: Two 3/4 baths (including a primary 3/4 and a main floor 3/4)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: All living facilities on one level; Water softener (owned)
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry (7×6); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#661 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Waterville-Elysian-Morristown (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #135 of 301 in MN (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Le Sueur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Le Sueur County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.23%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,329
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $16,231
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56063
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,410 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$208
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $208 · $2,496/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-02-18$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − HOA
- −$2,496
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,213
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$291
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom 2-bathroom home in The Sakatah Trail Resort is in good condition with recent updates and a good foundation. It's ready for seasonal living by the lake.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves comfort
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves comfort ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterville-Elysian-Morristown
- NCES district ID
- 2700013
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,686
- Composite
- 41.74/100
- National rank
- #3401
- State rank
- #135 of 301 in MN
Livability — Elysian
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #661
- US rank
- #15857
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,059
Population outlook (Le Sueur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,622 people
- By 2030
- 27,346 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 26,451 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 25,299 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 23,188 · -16.1%
- By 2100
- 21,103 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Le Sueur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.4% · R 66.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -33.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.7 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.77%
- Current HPI
- 206.8446
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $110,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…