9626 Highway 3 · Plain Dealing, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Qualifies for 100% financing. Corner lot on nearly half an acre - just South of Plain Dealing. Large covered front porch. Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. Open concept living & dining. Primary bedroom with ensuite bath & walk-in closet. 2 guest bedrooms & full bath. Refrigerator, washer & dryer included with favorable offer. Seller will provide allowance for new central HVAC with favorable offer. This property is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Open concept living
- Ensuite bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (0.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#318 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $100k implies a 899% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.23%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,170
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -5.91%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 N Magnolia St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+9%) | 2mo | $106,000 | $85 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $41,308
- Equity at exit
- $66,238
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $113,481
- Equity at exit
- $123,204
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71064
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $993 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $886/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-02-05$99,900 Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Qualifies for 100% financing. Corner lot on nearly half an acre - just South of Plain Dealing. Large covered front porch. Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. Open concept living & dining. Primary bedroom with ensuite bath & walk-in closet. 2 guest bedrooms & full bath. Refrigerator, washer & dryer included with favorable offer. Seller will provide allowance for new central HVAC with favorable offer. This property is not in a flood zone. Will come with a 1 year Guard Home Warranty with a favorable offer to the seller.
-
2026-02-04historical
-
2026-01-28price $99,900
-
2025-09-30price $110,000
-
2025-08-07$135,000 Active
-
2025-04-10$109,900 Active
-
2025-03-25historical
-
2024-09-25$135,000 Active
-
2000-10-19soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $886 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $886 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,918
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$886
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$953
- − Management
- −$953
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $123
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$30
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bossier Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200270
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,326
- Composite
- 37.5/100
- National rank
- #4402
- State rank
- #17 of 98 in LA
Livability — Plain Dealing
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #21655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,993
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,993
Population outlook (Bossier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 143,247 people
- By 2030
- 151,802 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 168,194 · +17.4%
- By 2050
- 183,533 · +28.1%
- By 2075
- 217,009 · +51.5%
- By 2100
- 230,091 · +60.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (51%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 43% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bossier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.54%
- Current HPI
- 132.1034
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+899.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Listed $99,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-04 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $99,900 NTREIS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $110,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-07 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-10 Listed $109,900 NTREIS
- 2025-03-25 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-09-25 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2000-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+33.8%/yrLatest (2025): $886 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…