14227 Glenfield St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE COLONIAL FOR POSSIBLE OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTMENT. PROPERTY IS ALSO BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH MLS 20261040293. $100,000 FOR PACKAGE. LAND CONTRACT TERMS ARE NEGOTIABLE.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Above-grade finished area and additional below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (35 x 106.2)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,338/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1k; list at $50k implies a 4900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.09%
- DSCR
- 3.54
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,132
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14210 Wilfred St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+6%) | 0mo | $17,000 | $13 | 89 |
| 13312 Jane St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-0%) | 6mo | $124,000 | $104 | 84 |
| 13124 Flanders St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-4%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $100 | 78 |
| 14434 Houston Whittier St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,264 (+6%) | 6mo | $7,000 | $6 | 70 |
| 14750 Lannette St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,099 (-8%) | 3mo | $78,000 | $71 | 69 |
| 13334 Elmdale St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,221 (+2%) | 3mo | $89,254 | $73 | 65 |
| 14728 Wilfred St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-12%) | 3mo | $30,500 | $29 | 65 |
| 10709 Bonita St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,226 (+2%) | 4mo | $82,000 | $67 | 62 |
| 13302 Jane St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-14%) | 4mo | $37,000 | $36 | 62 |
| 14920 longview Longview St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,085 (-9%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $32 | 52 |
| 8801 E Outer Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,047 (-12%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $38 | 50 |
| 10904 N Mogul St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (-13%) | 0mo | $113,000 | $108 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $34,369
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.05×
- Total profit
- $84,751
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,338 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,299/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $666
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
NICE COLONIAL FOR POSSIBLE OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTMENT. PROPERTY IS ALSO BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH MLS 20261040293. $100,000 FOR PACKAGE. LAND CONTRACT TERMS ARE NEGOTIABLE.
-
2026-06-02$50,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
NICE COLONIAL FOR POSSIBLE OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTMENT. PROPERTY IS ALSO BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH MLS 20261040293. $100,000 FOR PACKAGE. LAND CONTRACT TERMS ARE NEGOTIABLE.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,299 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,299 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,062
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,299
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $7,687
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,845
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+2531.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-02 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-11-14 Sold (MLS) $1,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-11-14 Sold (MLS) $1,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-10-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-04-15 Listed $1,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-04-15 Listed $1,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,299 · -9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…