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127 Arkansas Ave Triplex
D+ Composite 49.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$335,000

127 Arkansas Ave · Ordway, CO 81063
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,606 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1970 10,125 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This property is situated on a corner lot in Odway, Colorado. Ordway is 50 miles east of Pueblo, Colorado, and 30 miles from La Junta, Colorado. This location offers peaceful small-town living, yet is conveniently close to shopping. It features 2 two-bedroom, 1-bath apartments. The main house features 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with stucco and stone siding, and a large storage/shop. The spacious front room and kitchen combine to allow you to entertain your guests in style. The AC will keep you cool. A cement path around the house joins with the patio. Having two apartments makes this property perfect for elderly parents, children, or extended family to live nearby. This is a quiet place to

Key facts

  • Cement path
  • Large storage/shop
  • Patio

Tags

CORNER LOTCONVENIENTLY CLOSE TO SHOPPINGSTUCCO AND STONE SIDINGLARGE STORAGE/SHOPCEMENT PATHPATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Three total units; Unit sizes: Unit 1 about 1,800, Unit 2 about 735, Unit 3 about 735
  • Financial info: Financing available: Cash, Conventional

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal water; Electricity
  • Home design: Triplex; Existing structure
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Stone and stucco siding; Composite shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Rear fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total 3 bedrooms; Unit 1: 4 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms; Unit 3: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Total 4 bathrooms; Unit 1: 2 bathrooms; Unit 2: 1 bathroom; Unit 3: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Central air; Natural gas heating; Kitchen vent fan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric laundry hook-up

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $107/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (11.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $297k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#233 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J (rural): math 16% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #150 of 176 in CO (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Crowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crowley County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $98k; list at $335k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $296,900 (11.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.11%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-25,810
Equity at exit
$58,611
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$10,440
Equity at exit
$44,065

Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81063

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
28.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,969 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,534/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$321

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,562
Max offer price $335,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $511 -5% $416 +0% $321 +5% $227 +10% $132
Rent -10% $87 -5% $204 +0% $321 +5% $439 +10% $556
Rate -1.0pp $490 -0.5pp $407 base $321 +0.5pp $235 +1.0pp $146

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $2,969

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,750
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $335,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $335,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $335,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $335,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $335,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $335,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $335,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $335,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $335,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $335,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $375,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $375,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-04-08
    listed $375,000 Active
  15. 2025-12-18
    price $375,000
  16. 2017-12-14
    soldstatus $97,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,534 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,842 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$309/yr (+$26/mo · 20.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,628
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$1,534
− Insurance
−$1,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,850
− Management
−$2,850
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable loss
−$1,792
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$430
After-tax cash flow
$4,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J
NCES district ID
0803210
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$35,031
Composite
21.28/100
National rank
#13663
State rank
#150 of 176 in CO

Livability — Ordway

Score
61/100
State rank
#233
US rank
#18425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ordway, CO
Population (ZIP)
3,060

Population outlook (Crowley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,612 people
By 2030
5,725 · +2.0%
By 2040
6,092 · +8.6%
By 2050
6,391 · +13.9%
By 2075
6,250 · +11.4%
By 2100
5,349 · -4.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% Black 7% Native American 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Portuguese 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crowley

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 24.7% · R 72.2% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+27.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.42%
Current HPI
211.1097
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+284.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $375,000 elevateMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $375,000 elevateMLS
  • 2017-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+65.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,534 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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