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8524 Ridge Hollow Dr
D Composite 40.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • DSCR +0.5/10.0

$290,000

8524 Ridge Hollow Dr · Lincoln, NE 68526
2 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,950 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2011 5,227 sqft lot Est $322k · 10% under $175/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Walk out Basement. 1200 sq ft 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage BRAND NEW and with GRANITE countertops AND CLEAN STEEL APPLIANCES! Includes Refrigerator with ice and water in door, smooth top range, Spacesaver microwave, dishwasher AND includes extra large capacity stackable washer and dryer! Everything you need! Just move in!

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Open floor plan
  • Walkout basement

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANCATHEDRAL CEILINGSPRIVATE DECKWALK-IN CLOSETWALKOUT BASEMENTHUGE THIRD BEDROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Yankee Hill Townhomes association; Monthly association fee of $175; Association covers grounds maintenance, snow removal, common area maintenance and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Two covered parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; Attached property; Not new / not a model; Below-grade finished area included (approximately 750 finished below grade); Above-grade finished area approximately 1,200
  • Construction: Built in 2011; Composition roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Wood fencing; City lot up to 1/4 acre (approximately 0.12 acres); Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 128 x 39 x 128

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main floor (10 x 14)
  • Bedrooms: Main floor primary bedroom (13 x 13); Main floor secondary bedroom (11 x 13); Basement bedroom
  • Bathrooms: Three total bathrooms: one full bath and two 3/4 baths; Two bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-out basement; No fireplaces

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-525 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (32.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (32.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Maxey Elementary School (math 69% / reading 70%, grade A-, #39 of 502 statewide, top 11%, 688 students, 19% FRL); Moore Middle School (math 78% / reading 69%, grade A, #4 of 128 statewide, top 2%, 738 students, 10% FRL); Lincoln Southeast High School (math 51% / reading 52%, grade D+, #105 of 261 statewide, top 40%, 1,929 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools average 15% FRL vs 37% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lincoln Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $147k; list at $290k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $197,202 (32.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.12%
Cash-on-cash
-7.76%
DSCR
0.65
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$321,750
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8323 Sutherland St 0.11mi 3/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+13%) 11mo $349,900 $159 56
8821 Ridge Hollow Dr 0.23mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,739 (-11%) 8mo $287,000 $165 49
8305 Flintlock St 0.16mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,700 (-13%) 13mo $270,000 $159 49
8248 S 85th St 0.10mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,739 (-11%) 22mo $269,900 $155 48
9716 S 89th Pl 0.53mi 3/3.0 (+1) 2,173 (+11%) 14mo $387,999 $179 36
9722 S 89th Pl 0.53mi 3/3.0 (+1) 2,173 (+11%) 15mo $369,999 $170 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.8% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-7,525
Equity at exit
$127,184
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$16,921
Equity at exit
$193,544

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68526

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Rents YoY
-3.0%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,088 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$358 /mo · $4,300/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$175
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$-525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,753
Max offer price $197,202
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-361 -5% $-443 +0% $-525 +5% $-607 +10% $-689
Rent -10% $-690 -5% $-608 +0% $-525 +5% $-443 +10% $-360
Rate -1.0pp $-379 -0.5pp $-452 base $-525 +0.5pp $-600 +1.0pp $-677

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7920 Patrick Ave Lincoln, NE 3.0 2.0 1515 $3,150 $2.08 45d 1 0.43mi
8300 Renatta Dr Lincoln, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 979 $1,715 $1.75 15d 18 0.52mi
7210 S 89th St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0–2.0 928 $1,815 $1.96 15d 46 0.88mi
8812 Bristlecone Dr Lincoln, NE 2.0 2.5 1770 $2,195 $1.24 45d 1 0.91mi
9746 S 89th St Lincoln, NE 3.0 3.0 2157 $2,550 $1.18 15d 1 0.94mi
9100 Heritage Lakes Dr Lincoln, NE 3.0 1.0–2.0 953 $1,600 $1.68 15d 18 1.05mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$175 · $2,100/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $290,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $290,000 New 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    remarks 562-char remark
  4. 2026-06-14
    listed $290,000 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,300 · $358/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,017 · $418/mo
Expected delta
+$717/yr (+$60/mo · 16.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,058
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$4,300
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,005
− Management
−$2,005
− HOA
−$2,100
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$11,482
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,756
After-tax cash flow
$-3,548/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Public Schools
NCES district ID
3172840
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,273
Composite
44.05/100
National rank
#2880
State rank
#59 of 111 in NE

Livability — Lincoln

Score
85/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#545

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln, NE
County
Lancaster County · 291,509 people
City population
291,509
Metro
Lincoln, NE
Population (ZIP)
7,944
Household income
$113,910
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
209.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
352,806 people
By 2030
377,899 · +7.1%
By 2040
428,582 · +21.5%
By 2050
483,103 · +36.9%
By 2075
632,390 · +79.2%
By 2100
759,513 · +115.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.80%
Current HPI
263.2041
Rent YoY
▼ -3.02%
Metro
Lincoln, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $290,000 GPRMLS
  • 2011-12-28 Sold (MLS) $146,900 GPRMLS
  • 2011-11-17 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2011-11-01 Listed $146,900 GPRMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $4,300 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…