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307 Front St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 84.35
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,000

307 Front St · Meyersdale, PA 15552
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1870 6,534 sqft lot Est $147k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well kept Duplex in Meyersdale. It has long time tenants ( 27 years and 7 years) Tenants pay all utilities. There are 2 gas meters, 2 electric meters and 2 water meters. The property has a nice back yard off the lower porch. Tenant on lower level also has a back porch to sit and relax.

Key facts

  • Back yard
  • Back porch
  • Duplex

Tags

DUPLEXBACK YARDBACK PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential
  • Financial info: Actual rent: $400 per unit (two units)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas hot water heating
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$146,880) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#880 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Meyersdale Area SD (rural): math 38% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #177 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Meyersdale Area El Sch (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 320 students, 60% FRL); Meyersdale Area Ms (math 27% / reading 62%, grade D, #194 of 512 statewide, top 39%, 186 students, 57% FRL); Meyersdale Area Hs (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #49 of 437 statewide, top 12%, 271 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $89k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.83%
Cash-on-cash
19.79%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
122 Market St 0.11mi 4/1.0 1,727 (-0%) 22mo $48,000 $28 72
725 Grant Street Ext 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,684 (-2%) 7mo $130,000 $77 64
227 Broadway St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,792 (+4%) 14mo $160,000 $89 61
203 Hill St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,845 (+7%) 3mo $150,000 $81 58
414 High St 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,792 (+4%) 17mo $117,000 $65 57
314 Broadway St 0.36mi 4/2.0 1,578 (-9%) 15mo $115,000 $73 56
237 Lincoln Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,680 (-3%) 22mo $63,600 $38 56
118 Olinger St 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-11%) 3mo $170,500 $111 54
223 Olinger St 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,652 (-4%) 20mo $140,000 $85 48
521 Thomas St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,482 (-14%) 8mo $225,000 $152 43
314 Olinger St 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,496 (-13%) 12mo $130,000 $87 40
613 North St 0.51mi 4/1.0 1,882 (+9%) 22mo $187,000 $99 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$42,282
Equity at exit
$45,722
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
5.32×
Total profit
$107,562
Equity at exit
$75,264

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15552

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $780
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $461 -5% $436 +0% $411 +5% $386 +10% $361
Rent -10% $308 -5% $360 +0% $411 +5% $462 +10% $514
Rate -1.0pp $456 -0.5pp $434 base $411 +0.5pp $388 +1.0pp $365

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-13
    listed $89,000 Active
  4. 1989-07-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,350 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,378 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$28/yr (+$2/mo · 2.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,606
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$3,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$897
After-tax cash flow
$4,035/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Meyersdale Area SD
NCES district ID
4215150
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,823
Composite
42.83/100
National rank
#3137
State rank
#177 of 539 in PA

Livability — Meyersdale

Score
68/100
State rank
#880
US rank
#9398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meyersdale, PA
Population (ZIP)
5,551

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,318 people
By 2030
68,555 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,447 · -12.4%
By 2050
56,437 · -20.9%
By 2075
44,453 · -37.7%
By 2100
32,408 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Polish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Languages at home
88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.11%
Current HPI
153.4081
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Contingent CSMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $89,000 CSMLS
  • 1989-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,350 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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