🏷️ Likely Rental
931 Franklin St · Camden, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$8,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is in Camden, Arkansas of Ouachita County. Great opportunity to bring new life to this interesting house situated on a spacious lot. The property features a large yard for potential outdoor living improvements. This property is ready for updates and repairs, making it ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their own style. Bring your vision and toolbelt!
Key facts
- Large yard
- Spacious lot
- 7,840 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
- Recommended offer: $8k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 159.7% vs local median 4.9% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $55 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $240 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 16.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 159.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 547.72%
- DSCR
- 25.37
- GRM
- 0.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,648
- List price
- $8,000
- Delta
- -90.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 N Agee | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,329 (-0%) | 13mo | $25,000 | $19 | 73 |
| 779 Brenda St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-4%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $132 | 50 |
| 922 Lyons | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+10%) | 10mo | $25,000 | $17 | 48 |
| 220 Wilson Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (+10%) | 12mo | $139,500 | $95 | 39 |
| 1015 Austin St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-4%) | 24mo | $125,000 | $97 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.50×
- Total profit
- $63,837
- Equity at exit
- $1,193
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 63.28×
- Total profit
- $139,501
- Equity at exit
- $692
Cash invested: $2,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71701
- Home prices YoY
- -20.5%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 0.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,354 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$42
- Tax from tax record
- −$2 /mo · $24/yr
- Insurance
- −$3
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $1,022
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,027 | -5% $1,025 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $1,020 | +10% $1,018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $915 | -5% $969 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $1,076 | +10% $1,129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,026 | -0.5pp $1,024 | base $1,022 | +0.5pp $1,020 | +1.0pp $1,018 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,000
- Closing costs
- $240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $8,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $8,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $8,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $8,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $8,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $8,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $8,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $8,000 Price Change 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $8,000 Price Change 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $8,000 Price Change 66 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $15,000 Back on Market 64 DOM
-
2026-03-25$15,000 New Listing 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This home is in Camden, Arkansas of Ouachita County. Great opportunity to bring new life to this interesting house situated on a spacious lot. The property features a large yard for potential outdoor living improvements. This property is ready for updates and repairs, making it ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their own style. Bring your vision and toolbelt!
-
2026-03-25$15,000 Active 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This home is in Camden, Arkansas of Ouachita County. Great opportunity to bring new life to this interesting house situated on a spacious lot. The property features a large yard for potential outdoor living improvements. This property is ready for updates and repairs, making it ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their own style. Bring your vision and toolbelt!
-
2026-03-24$15,000 Active
-
2012-11-14soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $24 · $2/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $51 · $4/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 113.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$448
- − Property taxes
- −$24
- − Insurance
- −$40
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,300
- − Management
- −$1,300
- − Depreciation
- −$233
- Taxable income
- $12,904
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden Fairview School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506060
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,854
- Composite
- 9.43/100
- National rank
- #9853
- State rank
- #229 of 238 in AR
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #22245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, AR
- City population
- 17,883
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,883
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,485 people
- By 2030
- 19,947 · -7.2%
- By 2040
- 16,990 · -20.9%
- By 2050
- 14,431 · -32.8%
- By 2075
- 10,003 · -53.4%
- By 2100
- 7,418 · -65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.1) · D 39.5% · R 58.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+10.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.0106
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $15,000 WRVBOR
- 2026-03-25 Listed $15,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $15,000 NWARMLS
- 2012-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-15.6%/yrLatest (2025): $24 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…