CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2629 Morgans Choice Rd
B- Composite 69.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

2629 Morgans Choice Rd · Camden, DE 19934
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 319 Days on market
Built 2007 $45/sqft · 65% below area ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!

Key facts

  • Built 2007
  • Listed 318 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.8% vs local median 3.5% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#47 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caesar Rodney School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #9 of 26 in DE (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.19%
Cap rate
27.83%
Cash-on-cash
76.93%
DSCR
4.42
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,183
List price
$65,000
Delta
-63.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
76.9%
Equity multiple
4.51×
Total profit
$63,827
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
80.6%
Equity multiple
9.32×
Total profit
$151,451
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19934

Home prices YoY
-25.1%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,072 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,223/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$1,167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,204 -5% $1,185 +0% $1,167 +5% $1,148 +10% $1,130
Rent -10% $1,003 -5% $1,085 +0% $1,167 +5% $1,249 +10% $1,330
Rate -1.0pp $1,200 -0.5pp $1,183 base $1,167 +0.5pp $1,150 +1.0pp $1,133

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 319 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 318 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 317 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 316 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 315 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 313 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 312 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 310 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 309 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 308 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 307 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 302 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 301 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 300 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 299 DOM
  16. 2026-03-09
    status Active 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!

  17. 2026-03-06
    historical 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!

  18. 2026-01-20
    price $65,000 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!

  19. 2025-08-01
    listed $55,000 Active 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!

  20. 2018-11-20
    soldstatus $130,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,223 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,223 · $102/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,861
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,223
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,989
− Management
−$1,989
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$13,803
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,313
After-tax cash flow
$10,689/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caesar Rodney School District
NCES district ID
1000180
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$61,187
Composite
33.4/100
National rank
#5475
State rank
#9 of 26 in DE

Livability — Camden

Score
64/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#13717

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,579

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,477 people
By 2030
204,351 · +5.1%
By 2040
222,135 · +14.2%
By 2050
236,483 · +21.6%
By 2075
266,327 · +36.9%
By 2100
275,335 · +41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 24% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.19%
Current HPI
185.0938
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-50.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,223 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…