2629 Morgans Choice Rd · Camden, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!
Key facts
- Built 2007
- Listed 318 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.8% vs local median 3.5% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#47 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Caesar Rodney School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #9 of 26 in DE (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.93%
- DSCR
- 4.42
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,183
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -63.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $63,827
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 80.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.32×
- Total profit
- $151,451
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19934
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,223/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $1,167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,204 | -5% $1,185 | +0% $1,167 | +5% $1,148 | +10% $1,130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,003 | -5% $1,085 | +0% $1,167 | +5% $1,249 | +10% $1,330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,200 | -0.5pp $1,183 | base $1,167 | +0.5pp $1,150 | +1.0pp $1,133 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-03-09status Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!
-
2026-03-06historical 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!
-
2026-01-20price $65,000 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!
-
2025-08-01$55,000 Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
LAND NOT FOR SALE, ONLY THE HOME! MUST BE MOVED BY A LICENSED MH MOVING COMPANY. Purchase this 3-bedroom 2-bath home and move it to your own lot. All appliances and systems go with the home and are all in as-is where-is condition. Do not walk the property without an appointment. Take advantage of this great offer!
-
2018-11-20soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,223 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,223 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,223
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,989
- − Management
- −$1,989
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $13,803
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,313
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caesar Rodney School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000180
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,187
- Composite
- 33.4/100
- National rank
- #5475
- State rank
- #9 of 26 in DE
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #13717
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,579
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,477 people
- By 2030
- 204,351 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 222,135 · +14.2%
- By 2050
- 236,483 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 266,327 · +36.9%
- By 2100
- 275,335 · +41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 24% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.19%
- Current HPI
- 185.0938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-50.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-01 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,223 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…