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B- Composite 69.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

15329 Danseur Dr · Clinton, MI 48038
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily · 129 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Large island
  • Central air

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE ISLANDAMPLE STORAGEEN-SUITE MASTER BATHROOMCENTRAL AIROFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 3.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
18.61%
Cash-on-cash
44.01%
DSCR
2.96
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,144
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38181 Hayes Rd 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,124 (+6%) 1mo $305,000 $271 80
38021 Orleans St. St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,056 (0%) 7mo $41,000 $39 71
37474 Utica Rd 0.49mi 3/1.0 900 (-15%) 8mo $178,818 $199 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$29,955
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
42.5%
Equity multiple
4.47×
Total profit
$67,826
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48038

Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
257
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,520 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15329 Danseur Dr Unit 795 Clinton Twp, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 3d 1 0.05mi
15353 Dominique Dr Unit 834 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 24d 1 0.12mi
15368 Dominique Dr Unit 868 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 43d 1 0.15mi
15377 Dominique Dr Unit 828 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 2d 1 0.16mi
15386 Danseur Dr Unit 822 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.17mi
15811 Villaire Ave Unit 643 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.24mi
38100 Ducharme Dr Unit 476 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 2d 1 0.29mi
38051 Saint Tropez Dr Unit 990 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,549 $1.38 2d 1 0.31mi
15974 Villaire Ave Unit 445 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,319 $1.72 2d 1 0.33mi
15836 Croatia Dr Unit 544 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 840 $1,349 $1.61 43d 1 0.34mi
16011 Villaire Ave Unit 682 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 2d 1 0.38mi
38033 Ducharme Dr Unit 604 Clinton Twp, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,499 $1.56 43d 1 0.38mi
38055 Leverette Ave Unit 491 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 5d 1 0.38mi
16016 Villaire Ave Unit 402 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 5d 1 0.39mi
16035 Villaire Ave Unit 688 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.42mi
38019 Leverette Ave Unit 500 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,389 $1.45 2d 1 0.43mi
38044 Johannes Dr Unit 521 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.43mi
15835 Marentette Dr Unit 512 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.44mi
38013 Chilver Ave Unit 381 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.47mi
15868 Marentette Dr Unit 339 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 12d 1 0.47mi
16151 Notre Dame St Unit 245 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,309 $1.36 43d 1 0.53mi
38053 Orleans St Unit 124 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,499 $1.56 15d 1 0.54mi
16142 Normandy St Unit 249 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 43d 1 0.54mi
38029 Versailles St Unit 49 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,369 $1.43 5d 1 0.68mi
14357 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 3d 1 0.86mi
14273 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI 2.0 2.0 1373 $2,100 $1.53 43d 1 0.93mi
38271 Fairway Ct Unit 100A Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 24d 1 1.04mi
38271 Fairway Ct Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,188 $1.28 43d 2 1.04mi
38227 Schoenherr Rd Sterling Heights, MI 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,830 $1.46 1d 1 1.05mi
38280 Fairway Ct Unit 140B Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.07mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,325 $1.38 15d 2 1.09mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,250 $1.30 43d 2 1.09mi
13429 Denver Cir S Sterling Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 1216 $2,100 $1.73 43d 1 1.11mi
38255 Fairway Ct Clinton Twp, MI 2.0 1.0 923 $1,250 $1.35 12d 1 1.11mi
38177 Jamestown Dr Sterling Heights, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,850 $1.42 5d 1 1.14mi
17001 Eleanor Dr S Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 790 $1,200 $1.52 43d 1 1.36mi
36607 Holiday Cir E Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $1,249 $1.61 43d 2 1.37mi
0 Woodland MDWS Update, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,052 $2.05 1d 9 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $69,900 Active 128 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,240
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,459
− Management
−$1,459
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$7,975
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,914
After-tax cash flow
$6,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chippewa Valley Schools
NCES district ID
2609570
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$64,964
Composite
39.61/100
National rank
#3922
State rank
#133 of 540 in MI

Livability — Clinton

Score
70/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#7703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
44,422
Household income
$78,567
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
1788.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.31%
Current HPI
261.3877
Rent YoY
▼ -0.92%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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