4312 Old Macon Rd #2 · Columbus, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This fully renovated 2 Bedroom/1.5 Bathroom townhome-style condo features New appliances, backsplash, countertops, LVP flooring, paint throughout, tile shower and vanity. Close to shopping and dinning. Being SOLD AS IS.
Key facts
- Tile vanity
- Backsplash
- New appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.9% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gentian Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 471 students, 97% FRL); Fort Middle School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 511 students, 97% FRL); Hardaway High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 1,184 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 61% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 389 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $529 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $76k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.66%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,402
- List price
- $76,500
- Delta
- -13.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4312 Old Macon Rd #46 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,120 (0%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $54 | 95 |
| 4312 Old Macon Rd #54 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,004 (-10%) | 4mo | $76,500 | $76 | 80 |
| 4232 Old Macon Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,166 (+4%) | 9mo | $159,000 | $136 | 72 |
| 4332 Fay Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,206 (+8%) | 8mo | $123,000 | $102 | 66 |
| 4221 Adams St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-14%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $52 | 54 |
| 2871 Barbara Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,254 (+12%) | 5mo | $57,000 | $45 | 53 |
| 2973 Grant Rd | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,212 (+8%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $83 | 51 |
| 2857 Christine Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+14%) | 1mo | $72,500 | $57 | 50 |
| 2713 Hilyer Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+15%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $128 | 47 |
| 2963 Grant Rd | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-14%) | 2mo | $92,500 | $96 | 45 |
| 1918 Watkins Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,053 (-6%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $133 | 44 |
| 2213 Welch Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,268 (+13%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $110 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $16,648
- Equity at exit
- $11,406
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $58,285
- Equity at exit
- $6,614
Cash invested: $21,420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active · 13 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.3 mo (23%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $154,450 ($130/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 66 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -39.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31907
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 389
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,156 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$401
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $695/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $466 | -5% $444 | +0% $422 | +5% $401 | +10% $379 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $331 | -5% $377 | +0% $422 | +5% $468 | +10% $514 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $461 | -0.5pp $442 | base $422 | +0.5pp $402 | +1.0pp $382 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,125
- Closing costs
- $2,295
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4312 Old Macon Rd #42 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 70d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 2353 Agnes Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 70d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4254 Fort St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 961 | $900 | $0.94 | 93d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4265 Adams St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $995 | $0.94 | 93d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4414 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,195 | $1.21 | 70d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4135 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,375 | $1.51 | 62d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2316 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1047 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 70d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1917 Watkins Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 93d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1719 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 93d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3931 Dexter Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $850 | $0.74 | 70d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3930 Fairview Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1537 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $975 | $0.86 | 70d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1507 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 62d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1519 Baker St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 70d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4970 Gardiner Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,400 | $0.99 | 93d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1722 Emerson Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 70d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4832 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 62d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3625 Arkansas Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 70d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3625 Arkansas Dr Unit A2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 93d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5038 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 62d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3111 Avon Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,100 | $0.99 | 62d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5530 Hunter Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1711 Floyd Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,300 | $1.36 | 62d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3828 Anglin Ct Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 70d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2939 Urban Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 70d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1423 Hagan Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 70d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3227 Urban Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $975 | $0.73 | 70d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4707 Marino St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $995 | $0.94 | 93d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3828 Reese Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $2,450 | $2.21 | 93d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4419 Anglin Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1039 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 62d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $76,500 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $76,500 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $76,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $76,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $76,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $76,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $76,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $76,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $76,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $76,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $76,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $76,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $76,500 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $76,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $76,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $76,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $76,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $76,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $76,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $76,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-11pricedays on market $76,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $79,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $79,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $79,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $79,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $79,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $79,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $79,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $79,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $79,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $79,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $79,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $79,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $79,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $79,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $79,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $79,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $79,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $79,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,500 Active 77 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $695 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $704 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,285
- − Property taxes
- −$695
- − Insurance
- −$382
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,110
- − Management
- −$1,110
- − Depreciation
- −$2,225
- Taxable income
- $4,064
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$975
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,092/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This fully renovated 2-bedroom/1.5-bathroom townhome-style condo is in excellent condition with new appliances and flooring. It offers a good return on investment with minimal maintenance required.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 216,729 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,110
- Household income
- $54,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.88%
- Current HPI
- 151.74
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+55.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $79,500 CBOR
- 2026-03-19 Listed $82,000 CBOR
- 2025-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-06 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CBOR
- 2025-10-03 Pending — CBOR
- 2025-07-21 Relisted — CBOR
- 2025-07-10 Pending — CBOR
- 2025-06-16 Relisted — CBOR
- 2025-05-27 Pending — CBOR
- 2025-03-21 Listed $80,000 CBOR
- 2018-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $695 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…