4320 Casa Verde Dr · Fort Wayne, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Boasting a BRAND NEW ROOF! Ready for move in, this ranch style home is nestled in a great neighborhood. The large picture window welcomes you into a spacious living room, with versatile living options and is open to the eat-in kitchen. Double doors lead out to the large, fenced-in backyard, to expand your living potential outdoors. The cozy kitchen boasts the convenience of a washer and dryer. Down the hallway you'll discover three bedrooms, plenty of closet space, a utility room and a full bathroom. Offers the convenience of a 1 1/2 car garage. (room dimension should be verified by interested parties) Great family home or investment property. Being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Cozy kitchen
- Utility room
- Brand new roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($449/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- East Allen County Schools (suburban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #122 of 301 in IN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.10%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,995
- List price
- $145,200
- Delta
- -17.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4336 Casa Verde Dr Dr | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-1%) | 21mo | $163,000 | $143 | 81 |
| 4221 Casa Verde Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-9%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $212 | 71 |
| 4429 E Paulding Rd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $114 | 68 |
| 6715 Malvern Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,222 (+6%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $106 | 65 |
| 4603 Santa Ana Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,234 (+8%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $138 | 60 |
| 6231 Amarillo Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,214 (+6%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $148 | 55 |
| 6410 Decor Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 16mo | $200,000 | $154 | 50 |
| 4917 Wayne Trce | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (-5%) | 10mo | $158,000 | $145 | 50 |
| 3414 Regis Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+4%) | 23mo | $173,000 | $145 | 47 |
| 5606 Wayne Trce | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (+11%) | 24mo | $155,000 | $122 | 46 |
| 4415 Richfield Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,285 (+12%) | 11mo | $198,000 | $154 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-21,104
- Equity at exit
- $21,650
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-15,135
- Equity at exit
- $12,554
Cash invested: $40,656 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46816
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,364 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$761
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,614/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $37
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,300
- Closing costs
- $4,356
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2754 E Paulding Rd Fort Wayne, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 997 | $1,089 | $1.09 | 14d | 14 | 1.04mi |
| 3702 Trace Cir Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $1,903 | $1.21 | 44d | 6 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Boasting a BRAND NEW ROOF! Ready for move in, this ranch style home is nestled in a great neighborhood. The large picture window welcomes you into a spacious living room, with versatile living options and is open to the eat-in kitchen. Double doors lead out to the large, fenced-in backyard, to expand your living potential outdoors. The cozy kitchen boasts the convenience of a washer and dryer. Down the hallway you'll discover three bedrooms, plenty of closet space, a utility room and a full bathroom. Offers the convenience of a 1 1/2 car garage. (room dimension should be verified by interested parties) Great family home or investment property. Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-04-27status Active 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Boasting a BRAND NEW ROOF! Ready for move in, this ranch style home is nestled in a great neighborhood. The large picture window welcomes you into a spacious living room, with versatile living options and is open to the eat-in kitchen. Double doors lead out to the large, fenced-in backyard, to expand your living potential outdoors. The cozy kitchen boasts the convenience of a washer and dryer. Down the hallway you'll discover three bedrooms, plenty of closet space, a utility room and a full bathroom. Offers the convenience of a 1 1/2 car garage. (room dimension should be verified by interested parties) Great family home or investment property. Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-03-22status Pending 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Boasting a BRAND NEW ROOF! Ready for move in, this ranch style home is nestled in a great neighborhood. The large picture window welcomes you into a spacious living room, with versatile living options and is open to the eat-in kitchen. Double doors lead out to the large, fenced-in backyard, to expand your living potential outdoors. The cozy kitchen boasts the convenience of a washer and dryer. Down the hallway you'll discover three bedrooms, plenty of closet space, a utility room and a full bathroom. Offers the convenience of a 1 1/2 car garage. (room dimension should be verified by interested parties) Great family home or investment property. Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-03-20$145,200 Active 671-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
Boasting a BRAND NEW ROOF! Ready for move in, this ranch style home is nestled in a great neighborhood. The large picture window welcomes you into a spacious living room, with versatile living options and is open to the eat-in kitchen. Double doors lead out to the large, fenced-in backyard, to expand your living potential outdoors. The cozy kitchen boasts the convenience of a washer and dryer. Down the hallway you'll discover three bedrooms, plenty of closet space, a utility room and a full bathroom. Offers the convenience of a 1 1/2 car garage. (room dimension should be verified by interested parties) Great family home or investment property. Being sold AS IS.
-
2025-07-08status Pending
-
2025-07-03price $144,900
-
2025-06-09status Active
-
2025-06-09price $149,900
-
2025-05-04status Pending
-
2025-04-23price $159,900
-
2025-03-17$164,200 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,614 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,614 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,133
- − Property taxes
- −$2,614
- − Insurance
- −$726
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,309
- − Management
- −$1,309
- − Depreciation
- −$4,224
- Taxable loss
- −$1,953
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$469
- After-tax cash flow
- $918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Allen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1802850
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,524
- Composite
- 35.75/100
- National rank
- #4849
- State rank
- #122 of 301 in IN
Livability — Fort Wayne
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Wayne, IN
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- City population
- 326,813
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,514
- Household income
- $45,343
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 921.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Black 30% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Philippines, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 16% Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.64%
- Current HPI
- 279.9884
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-11.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-03-22 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $145,200 IRMLS
- 2025-07-08 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $144,900 IRMLS
- 2025-06-09 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $149,900 IRMLS
- 2025-05-04 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $159,900 IRMLS
- 2025-03-17 Listed $164,200 IRMLS
Property tax history
+16.5%/yrLatest (2024): $2,614 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…