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307 State Street, A-3 St Unit A-3
D+ Composite 49.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,000

307 State Street, A-3 St Unit A-3 · Southmont, PA 15905
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 801 sqft · Condo · 67 Days on market
Built 1984 Good condition $92/sqft · 14% below area Est $86k · 14% under $232/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready!! Stop shoveling snow and cutting grass! Enjoy carefree living in this tastefully furnished 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo including stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer. Located in the Southmont Park Condominiums. 1 mile to Conemaugh Hospital and the Hiram G Andrews/Technical Center. Located on public bus line. Sq ft by condo floor plans. Association fees include garbage, snow and lawn care. Unit owner pays electric, water, city and municipal sewer fees. Association fees are $232.17 month. No pets. Assigned parking lot spaces. Offered furnished but could be purchased unfurnished.

Key facts

  • Public bus line
  • Built 1984
  • Listed 67 days

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPUBLIC BUS LINEASSIGNED PARKING LOT SPACES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $61k (18.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($907 rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#351 in PA, #3,081 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Westmont Hilltop SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #252 of 539 in PA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westmont Hilltop El Sch (math 37% / reading 49%, grade F, #873 of 1,518 statewide, top 58%, 739 students, 47% FRL); Westmont Hilltop Jshs (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #138 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 725 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 24% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,509 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.55%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,444
List price
$74,000
Delta
-14.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.1%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-17,732
Equity at exit
$11,034
10-year hold
IRR
-20.1%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-22,286
Equity at exit
$6,398

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15905

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$907 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax est. 1.5%
$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$232
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $60,509
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-42 -5% $-68 +0% $-93 +5% $-119 +10% $-144
Rent -10% $-165 -5% $-129 +0% $-93 +5% $-57 +10% $-22
Rate -1.0pp $-56 -0.5pp $-74 base $-93 +0.5pp $-112 +1.0pp $-132

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,500
Closing costs
$2,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1781 Goucher St Johnstown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 592 $740 $1.25 25d 4 1.33mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$232 · $2,784/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashelectriclandscapingparking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,000 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,000 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $74,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,000 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,000 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,000 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,000 Active 46 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,000 Active 45 DOM
  18. 2026-04-21
    status Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Move in ready!! Stop shoveling snow and cutting grass! Enjoy carefree living in this tastefully furnished 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo including stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer. Located in the Southmont Park Condominiums. 1 mile to Conemaugh Hospital and the Hiram G Andrews/Technical Center. Located on public bus line. Sq ft by condo floor plans. Association fees include garbage, snow and lawn care. Unit owner pays electric, water, city and municipal sewer fees. Association fees are $232.17 month. No pets. Assigned parking lot spaces. Offered furnished but could be purchased unfurnished.

  19. 2026-04-21
    status Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Move in ready!! Stop shoveling snow and cutting grass! Enjoy carefree living in this tastefully furnished 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo including stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer. Located in the Southmont Park Condominiums. 1 mile to Conemaugh Hospital and the Hiram G Andrews/Technical Center. Located on public bus line. Sq ft by condo floor plans. Association fees include garbage, snow and lawn care. Unit owner pays electric, water, city and municipal sewer fees. Association fees are $232.17 month. No pets. Assigned parking lot spaces. Offered furnished but could be purchased unfurnished.

  20. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Move in ready!! Stop shoveling snow and cutting grass! Enjoy carefree living in this tastefully furnished 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo including stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer. Located in the Southmont Park Condominiums. 1 mile to Conemaugh Hospital and the Hiram G Andrews/Technical Center. Located on public bus line. Sq ft by condo floor plans. Association fees include garbage, snow and lawn care. Unit owner pays electric, water, city and municipal sewer fees. Association fees are $232.17 month. No pets. Assigned parking lot spaces. Offered furnished but could be purchased unfurnished.

  21. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Move in ready!! Stop shoveling snow and cutting grass! Enjoy carefree living in this tastefully furnished 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo including stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer. Located in the Southmont Park Condominiums. 1 mile to Conemaugh Hospital and the Hiram G Andrews/Technical Center. Located on public bus line. Sq ft by condo floor plans. Association fees include garbage, snow and lawn care. Unit owner pays electric, water, city and municipal sewer fees. Association fees are $232.17 month. No pets. Assigned parking lot spaces. Offered furnished but could be purchased unfurnished.

  22. 2026-03-20
    listed $74,000 Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Move in ready!! Stop shoveling snow and cutting grass! Enjoy carefree living in this tastefully furnished 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo including stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer. Located in the Southmont Park Condominiums. 1 mile to Conemaugh Hospital and the Hiram G Andrews/Technical Center. Located on public bus line. Sq ft by condo floor plans. Association fees include garbage, snow and lawn care. Unit owner pays electric, water, city and municipal sewer fees. Association fees are $232.17 month. No pets. Assigned parking lot spaces. Offered furnished but could be purchased unfurnished.

  23. 2026-03-19
    listed $74,000 Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Move in ready!! Stop shoveling snow and cutting grass! Enjoy carefree living in this tastefully furnished 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo including stainless steel appliances and washer/dryer. Located in the Southmont Park Condominiums. 1 mile to Conemaugh Hospital and the Hiram G Andrews/Technical Center. Located on public bus line. Sq ft by condo floor plans. Association fees include garbage, snow and lawn care. Unit owner pays electric, water, city and municipal sewer fees. Association fees are $232.17 month. No pets. Assigned parking lot spaces. Offered furnished but could be purchased unfurnished.

  24. 2024-04-01
    listed $72,000 Active
  25. 2024-04-01
    soldstatus $68,500 Closed
  26. 2024-04-01
    soldstatus $68,500 Closed
  27. 2024-02-09
    status Pending
  28. 2024-01-22
    listed $72,000 Active
  29. 2013-03-25
    soldstatus $40,000
  30. 2012-04-27
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,885
− Mortgage interest
−$4,145
− Property taxes
−$1,110
− Insurance
−$1,168
− Repairs & maintenance
−$871
− Management
−$871
− HOA
−$2,784
− Depreciation
−$2,153
Taxable loss
−$2,216
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$532
After-tax cash flow
$-587/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready condo in Southmont Park Condominiums offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed for optimal value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace window seals — Improves energy efficiency and reduces heating/cooling costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace window seals — Improves energy efficiency and reduces heating/cooling costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westmont Hilltop SD
NCES district ID
4226130
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$59,325
Composite
39.49/100
National rank
#3955
State rank
#252 of 539 in PA

Livability — Southmont

Score
77/100
State rank
#351
US rank
#3081

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southmont, PA
County
Cambria County · 30,791 people
Metro
Johnstown, PA
Population (ZIP)
19,329
Household income
$69,212
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
359.0

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.18%
Current HPI
142.5218
Rent YoY
Metro
Johnstown, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted CSMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted CSMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $74,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $74,000 CSMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Listed $72,000 AHARMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Sold (MLS) $68,500 CSMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Sold (MLS) $68,500 AHARMLS
  • 2024-02-09 Pending CSMLS
  • 2024-01-22 Listed $72,000 CSMLS
  • 2013-03-25 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CSMLS
  • 2012-04-27 Listed $49,900 CSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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