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127 Clearview Dr
D Composite 43.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$185,000

127 Clearview Dr · Belleville, IL 62223
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1954 9,583 sqft lot Est $192k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent candidate for rehab. This home is ready for you to update it and put your own personal touch on it. The dining room can easily be converted to a bedroom. The family room, once garage, can be bedroom also. Property is being sold 100% as is and the personal property in the home stays with the home. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information. Property is being sold as is, buyer's inspections are for buyer's knowledge only. Seller will not be doing any inspections including occupancy. Buyer is responsible for bringing home up to code.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller may consider concessions; Home warranty not included; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car carport; Concrete parking surface; Total parking spaces: 1
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (220 volts, Ameren); Natural gas connected; Cable available; Phone available; Electricity, sewer, and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Private ownership; Updated/Remodeled condition; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built year available from public records
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Patio; Back yard; Landscaped, level lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Built-in electric oven; Exhaust fan; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Accessible bedroom; Accessible central living area; Accessible closets; Decorative living room fireplace; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (14.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (29.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $185k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,774 (29.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.34%
Cash-on-cash
-3.40%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,980
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
127 Clearview Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,324 (0%) 1mo $185,000 $140 91
209 Southgate Dr 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,302 (-2%) 5mo $200,000 $154 81
213 Springdale Dr 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,383 (+4%) 2mo $215,000 $155 79
505 Longview Dr 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,372 (+4%) 4mo $180,000 $131 68
204 Southgate Dr 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-13%) 1mo $195,000 $169 64
27 Chadwick Dr 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,313 (-1%) 7mo $120,000 $91 64
212 Springdale Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,519 (+15%) 6mo $205,000 $135 63
311 Chevy Chase Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,176 (-11%) 1mo $245,000 $208 58
1210 Express Dr 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,300 (-2%) 7mo $188,000 $145 51
7000 Gary Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,496 (+13%) 1mo $165,000 $110 36
905 Blue Ridge Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-13%) 6mo $181,500 $158 35
18 Jonathon Lee Dr 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+13%) 7mo $139,900 $93 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$85,041
Equity at exit
$159,952
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
5.95×
Total profit
$256,190
Equity at exit
$338,044

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62223

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,298 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,499/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$-147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,484
Max offer price $159,035
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6105 W Washington St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,575 $1.41 24d 1 0.28mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-G Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 4d 1 0.69mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-Q Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 18d 1 0.69mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-P Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $970 $1.04 24d 1 0.69mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-B Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 24d 1 0.69mi
4824 Bier St Belleville, IL 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 3d 1 0.73mi
7235 Westfield Plaza Dr Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 795 $975 $1.23 2d 1 0.83mi
920 S 74th St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 12d 1 0.85mi
56 Friendly Dr Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 24d 1 0.91mi
5784 Brett Michael Ln Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 801 $1,195 $1.49 7d 7 1.09mi
654 N 39th St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 984 $1,400 $1.42 18d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-22
    listed $185,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-21
    historical $185,000
  5. 2026-01-29
    soldstatus 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    Excellent candidate for rehab. This home is ready for you to update it and put your own personal touch on it. The dining room can easily be converted to a bedroom. The family room, once garage, can be bedroom also. Property is being sold 100% as is and the personal property in the home stays with the home. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information. Property is being sold as is, buyer's inspections are for buyer's knowledge only. Seller will not be doing any inspections including occupancy. Buyer is responsible for bringing home up to code.

  6. 2026-01-29
    listed $60,000 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    Excellent candidate for rehab. This home is ready for you to update it and put your own personal touch on it. The dining room can easily be converted to a bedroom. The family room, once garage, can be bedroom also. Property is being sold 100% as is and the personal property in the home stays with the home. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information. Property is being sold as is, buyer's inspections are for buyer's knowledge only. Seller will not be doing any inspections including occupancy. Buyer is responsible for bringing home up to code.

  7. 2026-01-29
    soldstatus $60,000
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    Excellent candidate for rehab. This home is ready for you to update it and put your own personal touch on it. The dining room can easily be converted to a bedroom. The family room, once garage, can be bedroom also. Property is being sold 100% as is and the personal property in the home stays with the home. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information. Property is being sold as is, buyer's inspections are for buyer's knowledge only. Seller will not be doing any inspections including occupancy. Buyer is responsible for bringing home up to code.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,499 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,849 · $237/mo
Expected delta
+$1,350/yr (+$113/mo · 90.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,573
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,499
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,246
− Management
−$1,246
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$5,088
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,221
After-tax cash flow
$-543/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
16,269
Household income
$73,700
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
656.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
259.15
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+208.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $185,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Coming Soon $185,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-29 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,499 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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