1015 Candlestick Dr · Lebanon, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You'll enjoy this nicely updated ranch home with fenced in rear yard and swimming pool. Home boasts 3 large bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Dining bar in kitchen with a separate dining room area as well. Great room with gas fireplace and nice rear deck. Great location on the North side of Lebanon.
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Gas log fireplace
- Double vanities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership interest: Mandatory fee
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $100 (covers entrance common); Has HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2-car garage
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connection; No solid waste service listed
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl with brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Mini barn; Gas grill; Full yard fencing; Sidewalks; Street lights; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with double sinks, full tub and separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic access; Cathedral ceilings; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Painted woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on the main level; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($582/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#296 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lebanon Community School Corporation (town): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #115 of 301 in IN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harney Elementary School (math 32% / reading 28%, grade F, #693 of 994 statewide, top 70%, 504 students, 44% FRL); Lebanon Middle School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #146 of 330 statewide, top 46%, 807 students, 46% FRL); Lebanon Senior High School (math 43% / reading 68%, grade C, #75 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,027 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 898 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $225k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.80%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,838
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2102 Yosemite Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-1%) | 3mo | $263,000 | $188 | 92 |
| 2114 Yosemite Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+2%) | 7mo | $252,000 | $175 | 88 |
| 1020 Northfield Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (+1%) | 1mo | $253,864 | $177 | 83 |
| 2123 Candlestick Ct | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,492 (+5%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $191 | 82 |
| 1010 Maple Dr W | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (-8%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $199 | 80 |
| 2009 Jason Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-9%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $174 | 77 |
| 2121 Jason Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-14%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $206 | 68 |
| 2114 Hannah Ct | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,326 (-6%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $207 | 66 |
| 208 Tahoe Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,417 (-0%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $219 | 65 |
| 1506 Austin Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,530 (+8%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $186 | 63 |
| 816 Northfield Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,268 (-11%) | 5mo | $252,000 | $199 | 59 |
| 214 Lakeshore Dr | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (+14%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $179 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-39,092
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-30,263
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46052
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,168 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,209/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$8
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $122 | +0% $48 | +5% $-25 | +10% $-99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-123 | -5% $-37 | +0% $48 | +5% $134 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $179 | -0.5pp $115 | base $48 | +0.5pp $-19 | +1.0pp $-87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2102 Yosemite Dr Lebanon, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2102 Yosemite Dr Lebanon, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 16d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 806 Harney Dr Lebanon, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $2,500 | $2.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1704 Crimson Ln Lebanon, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 830 Campbell St Lebanon, IN | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,604 | $0.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 721 Crown Pointe Dr Lebanon, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 991 | $1,413 | $1.43 | 0d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 411 East Dr Ulen, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1588 | $1,450 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 718 N Lebanon St Lebanon, IN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1560 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 814 Powell St Lebanon, IN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1647 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 702 Edgewood Dr Lebanon, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1026 | $1,595 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 114 S Meridian St Lebanon, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 9d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 230 S Lebanon St Lebanon, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 676 | $1,550 | $2.29 | 0d | 2 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $8 · $96/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $260,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$260,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,209 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,209 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$2,209
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,081
- − Management
- −$2,081
- − HOA
- −$96
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$3,884
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$932
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lebanon Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805790
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,178
- Composite
- 36.77/100
- National rank
- #4571
- State rank
- #115 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lebanon
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #296
- US rank
- #11943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lebanon, IN
- County
- Boone County · 69,822 people
- City population
- 23,553
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,553
- Household income
- $68,930
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 235.0
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,877 people
- By 2030
- 85,185 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 99,753 · +28.1%
- By 2050
- 113,572 · +45.8%
- By 2075
- 145,674 · +87.1%
- By 2100
- 161,165 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.0) · D 41.0% · R 57.0% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -16.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.0 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.5 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.54%
- Current HPI
- 229.2844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+116.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $260,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-01 Sold (MLS) $225,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-01 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-27 Listed $212,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-01 Sold (MLS) $181,750 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-03 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-03 Listed $181,750 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-11 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-11 Sold (MLS) $119,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-27 Listed $119,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,209 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…