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1015 Candlestick Dr
D Composite 43.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

1015 Candlestick Dr · Lebanon, IN 46052
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,418 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1996 7,797 sqft lot Est $271k · at est. $8/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You'll enjoy this nicely updated ranch home with fenced in rear yard and swimming pool. Home boasts 3 large bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Dining bar in kitchen with a separate dining room area as well. Great room with gas fireplace and nice rear deck. Great location on the North side of Lebanon.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Gas log fireplace
  • Double vanities

Tags

LAMINATE FLOORINGGAS LOG FIREPLACESAMSUNG KITCHEN APPLIANCESDOUBLE VANITIESWALK IN SHOWERBACKYARD SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership interest: Mandatory fee
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $100 (covers entrance common); Has HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2-car garage
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connection; No solid waste service listed
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl with brick exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Mini barn; Gas grill; Full yard fencing; Sidewalks; Street lights; Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with double sinks, full tub and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic access; Cathedral ceilings; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Painted woodwork
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on the main level; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($582/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#296 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lebanon Community School Corporation (town): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #115 of 301 in IN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harney Elementary School (math 32% / reading 28%, grade F, #693 of 994 statewide, top 70%, 504 students, 44% FRL); Lebanon Middle School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #146 of 330 statewide, top 46%, 807 students, 46% FRL); Lebanon Senior High School (math 43% / reading 68%, grade C, #75 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,027 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 898 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $225k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $216,752 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.80%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,838
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2102 Yosemite Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-1%) 3mo $263,000 $188 92
2114 Yosemite Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+2%) 7mo $252,000 $175 88
1020 Northfield Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,435 (+1%) 1mo $253,864 $177 83
2123 Candlestick Ct 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,492 (+5%) 4mo $285,000 $191 82
1010 Maple Dr W 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,304 (-8%) 3mo $260,000 $199 80
2009 Jason Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-9%) 3mo $225,000 $174 77
2121 Jason Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-14%) 1mo $250,000 $206 68
2114 Hannah Ct 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,326 (-6%) 2mo $275,000 $207 66
208 Tahoe Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,417 (-0%) 6mo $310,000 $219 65
1506 Austin Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,530 (+8%) 5mo $285,000 $186 63
816 Northfield Dr 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,268 (-11%) 5mo $252,000 $199 59
214 Lakeshore Dr 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,624 (+14%) 8mo $290,000 $179 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-39,092
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-30,263
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46052

Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,168 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,209/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,106
Max offer price $260,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $122 +0% $48 +5% $-25 +10% $-99
Rent -10% $-123 -5% $-37 +0% $48 +5% $134 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $179 -0.5pp $115 base $48 +0.5pp $-19 +1.0pp $-87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2102 Yosemite Dr Lebanon, IN 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,300 $1.64 6d 1 0.07mi
2102 Yosemite Dr Lebanon, IN 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,300 $1.64 16d 1 0.07mi
806 Harney Dr Lebanon, IN 3.0 1.0 1170 $2,500 $2.14 19d 1 0.49mi
1704 Crimson Ln Lebanon, IN 3.0 2.0 1110 $2,000 $1.80 19d 1 0.54mi
830 Campbell St Lebanon, IN 2.0–4.0 2.0 1728 $1,604 $0.93 0d 1 0.82mi
721 Crown Pointe Dr Lebanon, IN 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 991 $1,413 $1.43 0d 5 0.88mi
411 East Dr Ulen, IN 3.0 1.0 1588 $1,450 $0.91 13d 1 0.89mi
718 N Lebanon St Lebanon, IN 4.0 1.5 1560 $1,795 $1.15 25d 1 0.99mi
814 Powell St Lebanon, IN 4.0 1.5 1647 $1,650 $1.00 23d 1 1.09mi
702 Edgewood Dr Lebanon, IN 3.0 1.5 1026 $1,595 $1.55 22d 1 1.37mi
114 S Meridian St Lebanon, IN 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 9d 1 1.43mi
230 S Lebanon St Lebanon, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 676 $1,550 $2.29 0d 2 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr
Likely covers
gaspool

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $260,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    remarks 693-char remark
  3. 2026-06-13
    listed $260,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,209 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,209 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$1/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,010
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$2,209
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,081
− Management
−$2,081
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$3,884
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$932
After-tax cash flow
$1,514/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lebanon Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1805790
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,178
Composite
36.77/100
National rank
#4571
State rank
#115 of 301 in IN

Livability — Lebanon

Score
66/100
State rank
#296
US rank
#11943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lebanon, IN
County
Boone County · 69,822 people
City population
23,553
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
23,553
Household income
$68,930
Rent vs Own
25.2% rent · 74.8% own
Severe rent burden
235.0

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,877 people
By 2030
85,185 · +9.4%
By 2040
99,753 · +28.1%
By 2050
113,572 · +45.8%
By 2075
145,674 · +87.1%
By 2100
161,165 · +106.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
R (+16.0) · D 41.0% · R 57.0% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -16.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.0 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.5 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -188.54%
Current HPI
229.2844
Rent YoY
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $260,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-01 Sold (MLS) $225,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-01 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-27 Listed $212,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-01 Sold (MLS) $181,750 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-03 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-03 Listed $181,750 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-11 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-11 Sold (MLS) $119,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-09-27 Listed $119,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,209 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…