2802 Wenonah Ave · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special with potential! This 3 bed, 1 bath fixer-upper is a blank canvas for your next flip or rental project. Bring your vision & tools, home needs updating & TLC throughout, but it's ready for you to work your magic. Features a carport & gated front yard for added privacy, plus a double gate to the alley for easy access. Bonus: a shop with electricity & a garage door, perfect for storage, workspace, or equipment. Solar equipment is present on site for future potential. Sold as-is. Priced to sell!
Key facts
- Gated front yard
- Double gate
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $342 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.56%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,123
- List price
- $49,400
- Delta
- -49.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3105 Grant St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (-10%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $116 | 61 |
| 2801 Sherman Rd | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (-12%) | 16mo | $25,000 | $26 | 60 |
| 3010 Hollywood Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (-14%) | 3mo | $117,500 | $124 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $23,581
- Equity at exit
- $7,366
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.72×
- Total profit
- $79,070
- Equity at exit
- $4,271
Cash invested: $13,832 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76309
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,027 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$259
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $438 | -5% $424 | +0% $410 | +5% $396 | +10% $382 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $329 | -5% $369 | +0% $410 | +5% $450 | +10% $491 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $435 | -0.5pp $422 | base $410 | +0.5pp $397 | +1.0pp $384 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,350
- Closing costs
- $1,482
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2812 Avenue R Unit R Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $925 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2204 Tilden St Unit A Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $930 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $800 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3706 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1100 | $1,188 | $1.08 | 45d | 13 | 0.68mi |
| 2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1901 Wenonah Ave Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1515 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,225 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,390 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1507 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,175 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-20price $49,400 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Investor special with potential! This 3 bed, 1 bath fixer-upper is a blank canvas for your next flip or rental project. Bring your vision & tools, home needs updating & TLC throughout, but it's ready for you to work your magic. Features a carport & gated front yard for added privacy, plus a double gate to the alley for easy access. Bonus: a shop with electricity & a garage door, perfect for storage, workspace, or equipment. Solar equipment is present on site for future potential. Sold as-is. Priced to sell!
-
2026-01-06$49,900 Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Investor special with potential! This 3 bed, 1 bath fixer-upper is a blank canvas for your next flip or rental project. Bring your vision & tools, home needs updating & TLC throughout, but it's ready for you to work your magic. Features a carport & gated front yard for added privacy, plus a double gate to the alley for easy access. Bonus: a shop with electricity & a garage door, perfect for storage, workspace, or equipment. Solar equipment is present on site for future potential. Sold as-is. Priced to sell!
-
2023-10-24soldstatus Closed 54-char remark
Show marketing remark (54 chars)
"Needs work" special! Get it while it lasts.
-
2023-09-11historical 54-char remark
Show marketing remark (54 chars)
"Needs work" special! Get it while it lasts.
-
2023-08-16$39,000 Active 54-char remark
Show marketing remark (54 chars)
"Needs work" special! Get it while it lasts.
-
2022-07-27soldstatus
-
2022-07-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,327
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,767
- − Property taxes
- −$1,464
- − Insurance
- −$247
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$986
- − Management
- −$986
- − Depreciation
- −$1,437
- Taxable income
- $4,439
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,065
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,395
- Household income
- $54,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 469.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.35%
- Current HPI
- 137.2935
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.33%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+26.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $49,400 WFAOR
- 2026-01-06 Listed $49,900 WFAOR
- 2023-10-24 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2023-09-11 Delisted — WFAOR
- 2023-08-16 Listed $39,000 WFAOR
- 2022-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-07-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,464 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…