15840 Florida 50 Fl -50 · Clermont, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 924 square foot mobile / manufactured home has 2 bedrooms and 2.0 bathrooms. This home is located at 15840 State Route 50 #5, Clermont, FL 34711.
Key facts
- Built 1995
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 3.1% in Clermont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#499 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools A-, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 685 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.45%
- DSCR
- 3.16
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $46,411
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 49.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.32×
- Total profit
- $108,828
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34711
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 685
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $1,017
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13600 Hartle Groves Pl Clermont, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1064 | $2,002 | $1.88 | 3d | 31 | 0.52mi |
| 2300 Hooks St Clermont, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1249 | $2,364 | $1.89 | 2d | 108 | 1.23mi |
| 13600 Hilltop Groves Blvd Clermont, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $2,238 | $2.01 | 2d | 27 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $90,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $55,900
-
2026-05-12$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,901
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,992
- − Management
- −$1,992
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $11,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,750
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,459/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This mobile home is in fair condition with basic maintenance needs. Painting the exterior and replacing windows would significantly improve its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
- Both Replace windows — Enhances energy efficiency and curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Replace windows — Enhances energy efficiency and curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Clermont
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #8786
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 98,517
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 70,317
- Household income
- $90,245
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1807.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 18% Black 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.66%
- Current HPI
- 276.2528
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.13%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-13.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $55,900 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $64,900 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…