1536 S state St #112 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful brand-new 2026 home 1,782 square feet , 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home on a Huge corner lot located in Hemet’s award-winning #1 all-ages park , This home features an open floor plan with a spacious kitchen, large center island, and walk-in pantry—perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The kitchen opens seamlessly to the living room, creating a bright inviting space, Ceiling fans are installed throughout the home for added comfort. Exterior features include a storage shed, a large carport accommodating 2–3 vehicles, and a charming front porch ideal for enjoying stunning views. Enjoy the community pool and park for the kids with clubhouse and activities, Don&
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 2025
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: When you enter the park off of State Street go straight to the stop sign on Roadrunner, turn right on Robin St — home is at the end of the street
- HOA & community: Located in Saddleback park; Community features: Valley; Manager approval required; Land lease: $1,499 monthly (park)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport for 2 cars; Has parking
- Security: Automatic gate
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (mobile remains); Single-story; Turnkey condition; Entry at front door; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Shingle roof; Brick skirt
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Community pool; Shed (1); Sprinklers with drip system; Brick skirt; Shingle roof; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen open to family room; Kitchen island; Walk-in pantry; Quartz counters; Utility sink; Energy Star appliances; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator with water line; Self-cleaning oven; Gas range and gas oven; Vented exhaust fan; Water heater unit
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Double sinks in primary bath; Walk-in shower; Shower in tub; Privacy toilet door; Exhaust fan(s); Closet in bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Quartz counters throughout; Ceiling fan(s); Pantry; Blinds; Automatic gate (security); Community spa
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a dedicated room; Individual laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $252k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mcsweeny Elementary (746 students, 90% FRL); Diamond Valley Middle (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #474 of 498 statewide, top 99%, 1,078 students, 91% FRL); West Valley High (math 18% / reading 40%, grade F, #770 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 1,898 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 66% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,615/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.44%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,000
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- 44.39%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1457 Martinique Dr | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (-2%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $172 | 76 |
| 521 Bermuda Dr | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,672 (-6%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $170 | 69 |
| 1456 Saint Croix Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (-6%) | 14mo | $299,000 | $179 | 63 |
| 1536 S State St #56 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-9%) | 21mo | $205,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 1536 S State St #57 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-9%) | 23mo | $218,500 | $135 | 60 |
| 1536 S State St #180 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (-14%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $130 | 59 |
| 1444 Saint Croix Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 2,036 (+14%) | 8mo | $352,000 | $173 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-28,134
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-15,135
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,615 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $449 | -5% $359 | +0% $269 | +5% $180 | +10% $90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $63 | -5% $166 | +0% $269 | +5% $373 | +10% $476 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $336 | base $269 | +0.5pp $202 | +1.0pp $134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640 Vista del Monte Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,650 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 795 Cameo Ave Hemet, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,900 | $1.81 | 16d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1460 Caprice Ct Hemet, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1898 | $3,250 | $1.71 | 26d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 716 Robert Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,300 | $1.59 | 7d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1018 San Nicolas St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2448 | $1,750 | $0.71 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 9d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 26450 San Jacinto St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,295 | $1.84 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1241 Sandlewood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1504 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1955 Silver Oak Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 415 S Tahquitz Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 20d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 310 S Carmalita St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $3,200 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $259,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $259,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$259,900 Active 794-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,898
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,510
- − Management
- −$2,510
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$961
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$231
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,465/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This brand-new 2026 mobile home is in excellent condition with modern features and a spacious floor plan. It offers a great opportunity for investors looking to rent or sell in a desirable location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Installing new flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Adding a small outdoor patio or garden area — An outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Adding a small outdoor patio or garden area — An outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Installing new flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a small outdoor patio or garden area — An outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a small outdoor patio or garden area — An outdoor space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $259,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…