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2627 Ome Ave
A- Composite 80.1
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

2627 Ome Ave · Dayton, OH 45414
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 718 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1945 5,332 sqft lot Est $90k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the charm of Dayton living in this delightful single-family residence, offering a serene escape with immediate access to local conveniences. This inviting home is perfectly designed for comfortable living, presenting a wonderful opportunity for those seeking a harmonious blend of tranquility and accessibility. Experience the ease of a thoughtfully laid-out floor plan spanning 718 square feet, ensuring every space is utilized to its fullest potential. This property also presents an excellent opportunity for investors or those looking for a fixer-upper project to customize and add value. The exterior of this charming one-story abode enhances its appeal with both a welcoming porch and

Key facts

  • Manageable acreage
  • Functional patio
  • Welcoming porch

Tags

WELCOMING PORCHFUNCTIONAL PATIOMANAGEABLE ACREAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Porch; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (15 x 13); Breakfast nook on main level (13 x 6)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level (26 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Partial crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $44k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
13.77%
Cash-on-cash
26.70%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,750
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2423 Ome Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 700 (-2%) 1mo $118,000 $169 83
2422 Oneida Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 758 (+6%) 9mo $132,000 $174 70
2535 Ontario Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 624 (-13%) 18mo $40,000 $64 59
2247 Ontario Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 668 (-7%) 16mo $83,500 $125 49
2016 Neva Dr 0.67mi 2/1.0 628 (-12%) 4mo $67,000 $107 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$14,544
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$58,988
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45414

Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,005 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $976/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $616
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3001 Idylwilde Blvd Unit 1D Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 500 $825 $1.65 2d 1 0.84mi
3001 Idylwilde Blvd Unit 1B Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 500 $750 $1.50 3d 1 0.84mi
4702 Bryant Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 574 $725 $1.26 23d 1 1.06mi
623 Troy St Unit D Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 550 $725 $1.32 2d 1 1.30mi
623 Troy St Unit A Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 550 $695 $1.26 43d 1 1.30mi
235 E Hillcrest Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 43d 1 1.43mi
246 Basswood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 43d 1 1.43mi
410 E Bruce Ave Unit 410-3 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 650 $900 $1.38 43d 1 1.44mi
638 Redwood Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 650 $725 $1.12 3d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $59,900 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 59 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 58 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 57 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 ActiveUnderContract 56 DOM
  16. 2026-04-27
    price $59,900
  17. 2026-03-31
    listed $65,900 Active
  18. 2003-09-03
    soldstatus $43,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$976 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$976 · $81/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,055
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$976
− Insurance
−$1,097
− Repairs & maintenance
−$964
− Management
−$964
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$2,955
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$709
After-tax cash flow
$2,971/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,167
Household income
$54,485
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
801.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.46%
Current HPI
183.1124
Rent YoY
▲ 7.41%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $59,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $65,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2003-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $976 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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