326 5th St St SW · Chisholm, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$81,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready home in a convenient location near Chisholm High School - with a fenced back yard and new gas furnace! 3 bedrooms / 1 bathroom / Vinyl siding / Main floor laundry / Large kitchen. A great alternative to renting!
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Convenient location
- New gas furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $81k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $81k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.7% in Chisholm — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#224 in MN, #4,803 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Chisholm Public School District (town): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #219 of 301 in MN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $560 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.51%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,680
- List price
- $81,000
- Delta
- -17.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 SW 6th St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (+3%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $124 | 89 |
| 506 5th St SW | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 992 (-1%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $131 | 82 |
| 322 6th St St SW | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 970 (-3%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $149 | 80 |
| 309 SW 6th St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 891 (-11%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $140 | 76 |
| 22 SW 3rd St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (+6%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $108 | 74 |
| 504 SW 5th St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,106 (+11%) | 7mo | $129,900 | $117 | 66 |
| 410 SW 9th St SW | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 871 (-13%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $132 | 60 |
| 801 NW 3rd St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 946 (-5%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $211 | 56 |
| 327 7th St St SW | 0.15mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,131 (+13%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 401 NW 1st Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.2 (-1) | 924 (-8%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $54 | 52 |
| 214 5th St St NW | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 908 (-9%) | 13mo | $115,540 | $127 | 44 |
| 304 NW 2nd St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 856 (-14%) | 8mo | $49,000 | $57 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $6,727
- Equity at exit
- $12,077
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $31,348
- Equity at exit
- $7,003
Cash invested: $22,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55719
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,017 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$425
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $392/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,250
- Closing costs
- $2,430
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-19days on market $81,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $81,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $81,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $81,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $81,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $81,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $81,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $81,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $81,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $81,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $81,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $81,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $81,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $81,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $81,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $81,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $81,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-04-25price $81,000 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Move-in ready home in a convenient location near Chisholm High School - with a fenced back yard and new gas furnace! 3 bedrooms / 1 bathroom / Vinyl siding / Main floor laundry / Large kitchen. A great alternative to renting!
-
2026-04-09$85,000 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Move-in ready home in a convenient location near Chisholm High School - with a fenced back yard and new gas furnace! 3 bedrooms / 1 bathroom / Vinyl siding / Main floor laundry / Large kitchen. A great alternative to renting!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $392 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $650 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$258/yr (+$21/mo · 65.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,537
- − Property taxes
- −$392
- − Insurance
- −$405
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$976
- − Management
- −$976
- − Depreciation
- −$2,356
- Taxable income
- $2,559
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$614
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chisholm Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2708910
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,419
- Composite
- 34.79/100
- National rank
- #5114
- State rank
- #219 of 301 in MN
Livability — Chisholm
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #4803
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chisholm, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,642
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Romanian 5% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · South Korea
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.24%
- Current HPI
- 222.3957
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-4.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $81,000 RAOR
- 2026-04-09 Listed $85,000 RAOR
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $392 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…