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418 Carol Ann Cv
D- Composite 38.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,500

418 Carol Ann Cv · Southaven, MS 38671
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,222 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 213 Days on market
Built 1990 3,484 sqft lot $168/sqft · at area comps Est $208k · at est. $16/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Water Front Property! This home features two bedrooms and two bathrooms. The open living room and dining room invites you in upon arrival. A side-by-side stainless steel refrigerator welcomes you into the galley kitchen showcasing the stainless steel free standing electric range and the new stainless steel dishwasher. LVP replaced throughout, fresh paint (kitchen and living room), new countertops, and new appliances.

Key facts

  • Water front property
  • Galley kitchen
  • New appliances

Tags

WATER FRONT PROPERTYGALLEY KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL REFRIGERATORSTAINLESS STEEL ELECTRIC RANGENEW COUNTERTOPSNEW APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $206k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-748/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (5.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (24.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#107 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,758 (24.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.30%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$207,824
List price
$205,500
Delta
-1.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
167 Tackett Run 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,160 (-5%) 9mo $199,900 $172 73
7588 Lilly Dr 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-2%) 8mo $215,000 $179 72
7181 Lynnease Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,210 (-1%) 10mo $199,000 $164 70
7629 Iris Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,121 (-8%) 3mo $209,900 $187 63
757 Greencliff Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,342 (+10%) 2mo $255,000 $190 62
7640 Iris Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,100 (-10%) 2mo $199,900 $182 61
6742 Beaumont Cir 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (-5%) 6mo $229,900 $198 58
967 Greencliff Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,284 (+5%) 8mo $209,000 $163 56
7633 Iris Dr 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,100 (-10%) 12mo $200,000 $182 53
7395 White Ash Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,388 (+14%) 6mo $224,900 $162 51
719 White Ash Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,364 (+12%) 2mo $202,000 $148 48
629 Eaglewood Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,390 (+14%) 12mo $214,900 $155 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-37,008
Equity at exit
$30,641
10-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-36,264
Equity at exit
$17,768

Cash invested: $57,540 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38671

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,558 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,078
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,362/yr
Insurance
$86
HOA
$16
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$-62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,636
Max offer price $194,495
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,375
Closing costs
$6,165
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 Avery Jordan Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1221 $1,605 $1.31 4d 1 0.11mi
371 Alex Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,595 $1.23 2d 1 0.17mi
7187 Gazebo Dr Southaven, MS 2.0 2.0 1026 $1,450 $1.41 14d 1 0.25mi
7456 Overlook Dr Southaven, MS 2.0 2.0 1212 $1,550 $1.28 43d 1 0.29mi
7654 Stonycreek Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1293 $1,650 $1.28 21d 1 0.57mi
7711 Iris Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,710 $1.33 3d 1 0.59mi
1104 Atterbury Cir S Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1366 $1,660 $1.22 43d 1 0.70mi
8061 Creekwood Cir W Southaven, MS 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,550 $1.19 17d 1 0.83mi
769 Barrington Woods Cv Unit 6 Southaven, MS 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 23d 1 0.85mi
817 Barrington Woods Cv Southaven, MS 2.0 1.5 1176 $1,395 $1.19 14d 1 0.86mi
8085 Creekwood Cir E Southaven, MS 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 43d 1 0.86mi
818 Barrington Woods Cv Unit 769-6 Southaven, MS 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 23d 1 0.88mi
818 Barrington Woods Cv Unit 817 Southaven, MS 2.0 1.5 1176 $1,395 $1.19 14d 1 0.88mi
8082 Whitebrook Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 23d 1 1.06mi
8375 Old Forge Rd Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,295 $1.20 4d 1 1.18mi
863 Hackberry Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,665 $1.11 3d 1 1.23mi
875 Hackberry Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1283 $1,525 $1.19 21d 1 1.23mi
5910 Garden Walk E Southaven, MS 2.0 2.0 1157 $1,495 $1.29 23d 1 1.28mi
5 Nail Rd Southaven, MS 1.0 1.0 1100 $1,541 $1.40 21d 1 1.32mi
970 Millcreek Pl Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1253 $1,550 $1.24 14d 1 1.34mi
8254 Pinebrook Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1095 $1,385 $1.26 43d 1 1.37mi
845 Rockwall Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1229 $1,450 $1.18 43d 1 1.40mi
8035 Park Pike Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,695 $1.26 3d 1 1.41mi
1688 Sarah Ann Dr W Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,695 $1.19 20d 1 1.42mi
7896 Nature Walk Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1428 $1,705 $1.19 14d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$16 · $192/yr
Likely covers
waterelectric

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,500 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,500 Active 212 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,500 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,500 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,500 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $205,500 Active 205 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,500 Active 204 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,500 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,500 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,500 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,500 Active 197 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,500 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,500 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    price $205,500 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Great Water Front Property! This home features two bedrooms and two bathrooms. The open living room and dining room invites you in upon arrival. A side-by-side stainless steel refrigerator welcomes you into the galley kitchen showcasing the stainless steel free standing electric range and the new stainless steel dishwasher. LVP replaced throughout, fresh paint (kitchen and living room), new countertops, and new appliances.

  15. 2026-02-05
    price $219,900 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Great Water Front Property! This home features two bedrooms and two bathrooms. The open living room and dining room invites you in upon arrival. A side-by-side stainless steel refrigerator welcomes you into the galley kitchen showcasing the stainless steel free standing electric range and the new stainless steel dishwasher. LVP replaced throughout, fresh paint (kitchen and living room), new countertops, and new appliances.

  16. 2025-11-17
    listed $225,000 Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Great Water Front Property! This home features two bedrooms and two bathrooms. The open living room and dining room invites you in upon arrival. A side-by-side stainless steel refrigerator welcomes you into the galley kitchen showcasing the stainless steel free standing electric range and the new stainless steel dishwasher. LVP replaced throughout, fresh paint (kitchen and living room), new countertops, and new appliances.

  17. 2023-02-17
    soldstatus
  18. 2023-02-16
    soldstatus Closed 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Waterfront Patio home - Cute 2BR/2BA, home with covered patio to relax and watch the ducks and catch a fish too!

  19. 2023-01-18
    status Pending 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Waterfront Patio home - Cute 2BR/2BA, home with covered patio to relax and watch the ducks and catch a fish too!

  20. 2023-01-11
    listed $179,900 Active 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Waterfront Patio home - Cute 2BR/2BA, home with covered patio to relax and watch the ducks and catch a fish too!

  21. 2001-03-28
    soldstatus
  22. 1999-06-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,362 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,623 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$261/yr (+$22/mo · 19.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,691
− Mortgage interest
−$11,511
− Property taxes
−$1,362
− Insurance
−$1,028
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,495
− Management
−$1,495
− HOA
−$192
− Depreciation
−$5,978
Taxable loss
−$4,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,049
After-tax cash flow
$301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desoto County School District
NCES district ID
2801320
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,272
Composite
39.56/100
National rank
#3933
State rank
#20 of 130 in MS

Livability — Southaven

Score
65/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#12584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southaven, MS
County
DeSoto County · 176,513 people
City population
53,755
Metro
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
Population (ZIP)
37,319
Household income
$61,843
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
1583.0

Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
203,338 people
By 2030
217,692 · +7.1%
By 2040
245,320 · +20.6%
By 2050
270,133 · +32.8%
By 2075
323,341 · +59.0%
By 2100
348,742 · +71.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.08%
Current HPI
220.7875
Rent YoY
▲ 3.20%
Metro
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+14.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $205,500 MLSU
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $219,900 MLSU
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $225,000 MLSU
  • 2023-02-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-02-16 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-01-18 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-01-11 Listed $179,900 MLSU
  • 2001-03-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-06-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+30.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,362 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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