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204 W End St
D Composite 40.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

204 W End St · Terrell, TX 75160
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 798 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1960 0.35 ac lot Est $151k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MULTIPLE OFFERS - HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS DUE BY 5 P. M. ON TUESDAY, JUNE 26TH. INVESTORS! INVESTORS!! Opportunity for a flip house, would be a great first-time home, downsize or a rental. 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath home with potential. (1) One Car Carport Priced to Sell - AS-IS, Where Is, with any and all faults. ALL OFFERS WILL BE REVIEWED. Oversized Lot Investment in High-Growth Kaufman County - Introducing 204 West End - a fantastic investment located in one of North-East Texas’s fastest-growing corridors. This property boasts an oversized lot, offering valuable space for expansion or premium outdoor amenities. While it requires a full rehab, its location in Kaufman County is key, placing

Key facts

  • Oversized lot
  • 0.35 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTINVESTMENT IN KAUFMAN COUNTYLOCATION IN KAUFMAN COUNTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel ID available; County: Kaufman; Country: United States
  • Financial info: Listing status: Active; Transaction type: For Sale; Listing agreement: Exclusive Right To Sell; Loan type: Treat As Clear; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with 2 covered spaces; Driveway parking; On-site parking
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property is not attached
  • Construction: Built in 1960
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.35 acre); Less than 0.5-acre lot; Subdivision: Western; Directions: Travel east on US Highway 80 into Terrell. Turn right onto S. Ann Street and continue approximately 0.2 miles. Turn right onto West End Street. Property is located immediately ahead at 204 West End Street.

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No smart home features listed
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-45/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (0.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
  • Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: W H Burnett El (329 students, 79% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.11%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,822
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
809 S Frances St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (-2%) 1mo $139,999 $179 70
911 S Medora St 0.49mi 3/1.0 800 (+0%) 16mo $170,000 $213 63
606 Warren St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-4%) 4mo $144,900 $189 61
707 S Catherine St 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 840 (+5%) 8mo $180,000 $214 54
309 Houston St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 868 (+9%) 19mo $132,000 $152 44
921 S Medora St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (+14%) 19mo $60,000 $66 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-24,423
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-21,074
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75160

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,515 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$352 /mo · $4,219/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$-4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,520
Max offer price $149,334
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
204 Pacific Ave Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 714 $1,350 $1.89 10d 1 0.27mi
510 Frazier St Terrell, TX 3.0 1.0 840 $1,285 $1.53 44d 1 0.40mi
514 Frazier St Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 44d 1 0.42mi
904 N Frances St Unit A Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 732 $1,350 $1.84 11d 1 0.77mi
1001 Mineral Wells St Terrell, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 1018 $1,299 $1.28 1d 3 0.93mi
1300 S Adelaide St Terrell, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 785 $1,413 $1.80 1d 9 0.98mi
920 N Virginia St Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 924 $1,650 $1.79 17d 1 1.17mi
201 Timber Ct Terrell, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,825 $1.94 1d 10 1.19mi
1451 Colquitt Rd Terrell, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,295 $1.40 1d 1 1.19mi
115 Charles Ln Terrell, TX 3.0 1.0 986 $1,300 $1.32 44d 1 1.23mi
400 Oak Dr Unit 2D Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 910 $950 $1.04 18d 1 1.25mi
301 Charles Ln Terrell, TX 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,600 $1.59 18d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 693-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,219 · $352/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,219 · $352/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,182
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$4,219
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,455
− Management
−$1,455
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$591
After-tax cash flow
$546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Terrell ISD
NCES district ID
4842450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,265
Composite
23.57/100
National rank
#7855
State rank
#677 of 826 in TX

Livability — Terrell

Score
67/100
State rank
#520
US rank
#10213

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Terrell, TX
County
Kaufman County · 122,338 people
City population
28,206
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,206
Household income
$71,801
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
845.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 19% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.39%
Current HPI
278.507
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $150,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,219 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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