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66 Stephenson Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 76.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

66 Stephenson Ave · West Seneca, NY 14224
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,200 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1913 7,410 sqft lot Est $207k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Opportunity to build equity at 66 Stephenson. This 2 family in West Seneca schools has a ton of potential! Lower unit was gutted and renovated 15 years ago with new wiring, drywall, kitchen and bathroom. Tall ceilings and hardwood floors. Second floor needs a full renovation. Full basement and attic. Double lot, detached garage (built in 2002). Cash or Rehab loan only!

Key facts

  • New drywall
  • New kitchen
  • New wiring

Tags

GUTTED AND RENOVATEDNEW WIRINGNEW DRYWALLNEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMTALL CEILINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property configured as 2 total units; Owner pays trash and water for rental units; Operating expenses include trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; Attached garage with garage door opener; Two or more parking spaces (2-car garage)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electrical system
  • Home design: Two-story multifamily building; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 60 x 123); Near public transit

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (in one unit); Formal dining room (in one unit); Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms; One unit with 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Wall furnace
  • Interior features: Hardwood and varied flooring throughout; Full basement; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas and electric meters for units (2 each)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $721 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $361/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.7% in West Seneca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#130 in NY, #2,089 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • West Seneca Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #336 of 590 in NY (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
11.10%
Cash-on-cash
17.18%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
30 Chamberlin Dr 0.19mi 5/2.0 2,208 (+0%) 5mo $239,800 $109 86
154 Chamberlin Dr 0.25mi 5/2.0 2,182 (-1%) 2mo $242,400 $111 85
46 Kirkwood Dr 0.07mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,128 (-3%) 5mo $198,700 $93 82
146 Chamberlin Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,187 (-1%) 8mo $290,000 $133 77
18 Stephenson Ave 0.09mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,978 (-10%) 2mo $226,000 $114 72
96 Wildwood Pl 0.27mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,288 (+4%) 8mo $90,000 $39 69
61 Bellwood Ave 0.39mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,134 (-3%) 9mo $260,000 $122 64
14 Winegar Pl 0.21mi 5/2.5 2,469 (+12%) 5mo $187,000 $76 64
71 Buffum St 0.69mi 5/2.0 2,136 (-3%) 6mo $160,000 $75 58
260 Indian Church Rd 0.59mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,488 (+13%) 4mo $217,000 $87 43
46 Paxford Pl 0.67mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,918 (-13%) 7mo $179,900 $94 37
26 Teresa Pl 0.69mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,484 (+13%) 10mo $210,000 $85 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$16,917
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$74,443
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14224

Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,693 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$388 /mo · $4,656/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$566
Net cashflow
$721

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,780
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 68%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,693

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 371-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $179,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,656 · $388/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,656 · $388/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,316
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$4,656
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,585
− Management
−$2,585
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$6,279
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,507
After-tax cash flow
$7,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Seneca Central School District
NCES district ID
3630780
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$54,231
Composite
44.83/100
National rank
#2735
State rank
#336 of 590 in NY

Livability — West Seneca

Score
79/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#2089

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Seneca, NY
City population
440,021
Population (ZIP)
41,101

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 22% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.03%
Current HPI
303.7523
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,656 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…