Duplex
66 Stephenson Ave · West Seneca, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Opportunity to build equity at 66 Stephenson. This 2 family in West Seneca schools has a ton of potential! Lower unit was gutted and renovated 15 years ago with new wiring, drywall, kitchen and bathroom. Tall ceilings and hardwood floors. Second floor needs a full renovation. Full basement and attic. Double lot, detached garage (built in 2002). Cash or Rehab loan only!
Key facts
- New drywall
- New kitchen
- New wiring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property configured as 2 total units; Owner pays trash and water for rental units; Operating expenses include trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; Attached garage with garage door opener; Two or more parking spaces (2-car garage)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electrical system
- Home design: Two-story multifamily building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing structure
- Exterior features: City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 60 x 123); Near public transit
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (in one unit); Formal dining room (in one unit); Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms; One unit with 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Hardwood and varied flooring throughout; Full basement; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas and electric meters for units (2 each)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $721 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $361/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.7% in West Seneca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#130 in NY, #2,089 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- West Seneca Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #336 of 590 in NY (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.18%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Chamberlin Dr | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 | 2,208 (+0%) | 5mo | $239,800 | $109 | 86 |
| 154 Chamberlin Dr | 0.25mi | 5/2.0 | 2,182 (-1%) | 2mo | $242,400 | $111 | 85 |
| 46 Kirkwood Dr | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,128 (-3%) | 5mo | $198,700 | $93 | 82 |
| 146 Chamberlin Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,187 (-1%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $133 | 77 |
| 18 Stephenson Ave | 0.09mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,978 (-10%) | 2mo | $226,000 | $114 | 72 |
| 96 Wildwood Pl | 0.27mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,288 (+4%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $39 | 69 |
| 61 Bellwood Ave | 0.39mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,134 (-3%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $122 | 64 |
| 14 Winegar Pl | 0.21mi | 5/2.5 | 2,469 (+12%) | 5mo | $187,000 | $76 | 64 |
| 71 Buffum St | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 | 2,136 (-3%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $75 | 58 |
| 260 Indian Church Rd | 0.59mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,488 (+13%) | 4mo | $217,000 | $87 | 43 |
| 46 Paxford Pl | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,918 (-13%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $94 | 37 |
| 26 Teresa Pl | 0.69mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,484 (+13%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $85 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $16,917
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $74,443
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14224
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,693 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$388 /mo · $4,656/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$566
- Net cashflow
- $721
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,692 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,346 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,346 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,693 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 371-char remark
-
2026-06-07$179,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,656 · $388/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,656 · $388/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$4,656
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,585
- − Management
- −$2,585
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $6,279
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,507
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,146/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Seneca Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630780
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,231
- Composite
- 44.83/100
- National rank
- #2735
- State rank
- #336 of 590 in NY
Livability — West Seneca
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #2089
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Seneca, NY
- City population
- 440,021
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,101
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 22% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.03%
- Current HPI
- 303.7523
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,656 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…